Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.2200 (3.86%) ($23.7800 - $24.2600) on Tue. Apr. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $24.2200(3.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(8%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $12.9(-46.74%)
Resistance Level   $25.26
5 Day Moving Average   $23.7(2.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.97(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.26(-4.12%)
To recent high   -13.3%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.86% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(25%) Average negative next day return: -3.39%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.13%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.66%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.23%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.39%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2012	25.51	25.26	23.97	23.7	23.68	23.73	24.22(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	10	22	-159	0.32	42%	0.04	-61.3	1.85%	0	-0.7	31	0
2	Apr_16_2012	25.5	25.44	24.15	23.46	23.68	23.39	23.32(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-40	-13	-207	0.16	37%	0	-59.9	1.8%	0	-1.4	21	0
3	Apr_13_2012	25.5	25.66	24.42	23.59	23.6	23.62	23.22(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-66	10	-19	-207	0.18	37%	-0.08	-56.9	1.81%	0	-1.6	27	0
4	Apr_12_2012	25.52	25.87	24.7	23.81	23.77	23.82	24.14(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	10	-0	-198	0.18	40%	0.04	-55.9	1.77%	0	-1.2	30	0
5	Apr_11_2012	25.51	26.01	24.95	23.92	23.88	23.58	23.6(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-71	-90	-26	-205	0.49	37%	0	-54.8	1.78%	0	-1.7	23	0

6	Apr_10_2012	25.51	26.2	25.27	24.3	24.15	23.72	23.02(-3.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-90	-140	-52	-202	0.5	32%	-0.04	-48	1.75%	0	-2.4	14	0
7	Apr_9_2012	25.52	26.41	25.7	24.94	24.72	24.17	23.96(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-72	-180	-41	-166	0.7	36%	0	-45.6	1.71%	0	-2.3	15	0
8	Apr_5_2012	25.52	26.55	25.99	25.38	25.21	24.59	24.32(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-69	-190	-43	-146	0.24	31%	-0.04	-45.9	1.72%	0	-2.5	22	0
9	Apr_4_2012	25.53	26.7	26.24	25.72	25.68	25.26	24.7(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-60	-120	-38	-125	0.67	31%	-0.04	-45.9	1.8%	0	-2.8	27	0
10	Apr_3_2012	25.54	26.8	26.48	26.12	25.99	25.84	25.48(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-60	-24	-94	0.3	42%	0	-41.2	1.78%	0	-2.3	37	0

11	Apr_2_2012	25.54	26.84	26.68	26.4	26.28	26.09	26.24(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-60	-14	-68	0.12	46%	0	-41.1	1.82%	0	-1.2	40	0
12	Mar_30_2012	25.54	26.9	26.84	26.6	26.54	26.14	26.16(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-110	-17	-44	0.46	46%	0	-28	1.83%	0	-1.5	47	0
13	Mar_29_2012	25.54	26.96	26.98	26.7	26.78	26.48	26.02(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-70	-20	-29	0.17	46%	0.08	-22.5	1.83%	0	-1.9	47	0
14	Mar_28_2012	25.52	27.04	27.12	26.82	26.9	26.95	26.7(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	20	-5	-13	0.13	50%	-0.04	-10.4	1.82%	0	-0.8	46	0
15	Mar_27_2012	25.53	27.05	27.16	26.89	26.82	27.08	26.88(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	60	1	-1	0.27	50%	0.04	-8.6	1.84%	0	-0.4	56	0

16	Mar_26_2012	25.52	27.06	27.2	27.01	26.86	26.85	27.22(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-20	1	21	0.1	50%	0.04	-1.8	1.84%	0	0.4	62	0
17	Mar_23_2012	25.51	27.04	27.2	27.15	26.94	26.57	26.66(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-11	-120	-20	17	0.48	46%	0	6.1	1.83%	0	-0.9	46	0
18	Mar_22_2012	25.51	27.07	27.15	27.32	27.24	26.86	26.66(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-12	-110	-22	20	0.18	46%	0.04	23.9	1.84%	0	-1	45	0
19	Mar_21_2012	25.5	27.09	27.21	27.46	27.24	27.32	27.02(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-40	-8	31	0.04	46%	0.08	40	1.84%	0	-0.2	45	0
20	Mar_20_2012	25.48	27.08	27.16	27.45	27.46	27.62	27.5(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	40	4	32	0.06	46%	0	44.5	1.82%	0	1	56	0

21	Mar_19_2012	25.48	27.06	27.02	27.4	27.36	27.6	27.92(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	60	21	25	0.43	46%	-0.04	45.8	1.85%	0	2	56	0
22	Mar_16_2012	25.49	27.01	26.95	27.15	27.16	27.3	27.52(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	40	16	11	0.06	46%	-0.08	36.9	1.84%	0	1.3	55	0
23	Mar_15_2012	25.51	26.97	26.92	26.97	26.94	27.12	27.34(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	40	6	-5	0.07	46%	0	16.5	1.84%	0	1	50	0
24	Mar_14_2012	25.51	26.92	26.93	26.94	26.94	27.03	26.96(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	40	12	3	0.11	46%	-0.04	2.1	1.84%	0	0.1	51	0
25	Mar_13_2012	25.52	26.9	26.91	26.83	26.8	26.77	27.25(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	-10	17	-4	0.09	46%		-9.9	1.86%	0	0.9	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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