Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.7000 (-3.06%) ($24.6200 - $25.0600) on Wed. Apr. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $24.7000(-3.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    EMHY(-8%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.7(-16.19%)
Resistance Level   $26.7
5 Day Moving Average   $25.72(-3.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.24(-5.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.7(-7.49%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 3.46%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.94%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.32%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.45%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.36%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2012	25.53	26.7	26.24	25.72	25.68	25.26	24.7(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-60	-120	-38	-125	0.67	31%	-0.04	-45.9	1.8%	0	-2.8	27	0
2	Apr_3_2012	25.54	26.8	26.48	26.12	25.99	25.84	25.48(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-60	-24	-94	0.3	42%	0	-41.2	1.78%	0	-2.3	37	0
3	Apr_2_2012	25.54	26.84	26.68	26.4	26.28	26.09	26.24(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-60	-14	-68	0.12	46%	0	-41.1	1.82%	0	-1.2	40	0
4	Mar_30_2012	25.54	26.9	26.84	26.6	26.54	26.14	26.16(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-110	-17	-44	0.46	46%	0	-28	1.83%	0	-1.5	47	0
5	Mar_29_2012	25.54	26.96	26.98	26.7	26.78	26.48	26.02(-2.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-70	-20	-29	0.17	46%	0.08	-22.5	1.83%	0	-1.9	47	0

6	Mar_28_2012	25.52	27.04	27.12	26.82	26.9	26.95	26.7(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	20	-5	-13	0.13	50%	-0.04	-10.4	1.82%	0	-0.8	46	0
7	Mar_27_2012	25.53	27.05	27.16	26.89	26.82	27.08	26.88(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	60	1	-1	0.27	50%	0.04	-8.6	1.84%	0	-0.4	56	0
8	Mar_26_2012	25.52	27.06	27.2	27.01	26.86	26.85	27.22(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-20	1	21	0.1	50%	0.04	-1.8	1.84%	0	0.4	62	0
9	Mar_23_2012	25.51	27.04	27.2	27.15	26.94	26.57	26.66(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-11	-120	-20	17	0.48	46%	0	6.1	1.83%	0	-0.9	46	0
10	Mar_22_2012	25.51	27.07	27.15	27.32	27.24	26.86	26.66(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-12	-110	-22	20	0.18	46%	0.04	23.9	1.84%	0	-1	45	0

11	Mar_21_2012	25.5	27.09	27.21	27.46	27.24	27.32	27.02(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-40	-8	31	0.04	46%	0.08	40	1.84%	0	-0.2	45	0
12	Mar_20_2012	25.48	27.08	27.16	27.45	27.46	27.62	27.5(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	40	4	32	0.06	46%	0	44.5	1.82%	0	1	56	0
13	Mar_19_2012	25.48	27.06	27.02	27.4	27.36	27.6	27.92(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	60	21	25	0.43	46%	-0.04	45.8	1.85%	0	2	56	0
14	Mar_16_2012	25.49	27.01	26.95	27.15	27.16	27.3	27.52(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	40	16	11	0.06	46%	-0.08	36.9	1.84%	0	1.3	55	0
15	Mar_15_2012	25.51	26.97	26.92	26.97	26.94	27.12	27.34(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	40	6	-5	0.07	46%	0	16.5	1.84%	0	1	50	0

16	Mar_14_2012	25.51	26.92	26.93	26.94	26.94	27.03	26.96(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	40	12	3	0.11	46%	-0.04	2.1	1.84%	0	0.1	51	0
17	Mar_13_2012	25.52	26.9	26.91	26.83	26.8	26.77	27.25(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	-10	17	-4	0.09	46%	0	-9.9	1.86%	0	0.9	53	0
18	Mar_12_2012	25.52	26.9	26.89	26.59	26.64	26.58	26.7(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10	-10	-33	0.09	35%	-0.04	-25.5	1.87%	0	-0.4	47	0
19	Mar_9_2012	25.53	26.87	26.91	26.71	26.55	26.82	26.58(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	50	-5	-23	0.16	43%	0	-21.3	1.98%	0	-0.8	48	0
20	Mar_8_2012	25.53	26.87	26.98	26.86	26.71	26.71	27.2(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-20	6	-3	0.14	39%	0	0	2.02%	0	0.7	55	0

21	Mar_7_2012	25.53	26.91	26.95	26.94	26.79	26.28	26.44(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-150	-16	-1	0.3	34%	-0.04	15.4	2.14%	0	-1.2	54	0
22	Mar_6_2012	25.54	26.94	27.01	27	27.07	26.71	26.02(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-17	-90	-24	3	0.14	34%	0	33.3	2.14%	0	-2.4	48	0
23	Mar_5_2012	25.54	26.97	27.13	27.21	27.27	27.3	27.3(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	10	1	30	0.09	39%	-0.04	68	2.05%	0	1	58	0
24	Mar_2_2012	25.55	26.95	27.09	27.21	27.19	27.42	27.34(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	70	6	31	0.09	39%	0.04	75.4	2.08%	0	1.2	60	0
25	Mar_1_2012	25.54	26.91	27.03	27.12	27.03	27.25	27.62(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	50	13	28	0.11	39%		84	2.07%	0	2.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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