Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $27.9200 (1.45%) ($27.5600 - $27.9900) on Mon. Mar. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $27.9200(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(8%)    IGOV(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.4(1.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.02(3.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.06(3.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(63%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.08%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.48%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.09%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.3%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2012	25.48	27.06	27.02	27.4	27.36	27.6	27.92(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	22	60	21	25	0.43	46%	-0.04	45.8	1.85%	0	2	56	NAN
2	Mar_16_2012	25.49	27.01	26.95	27.15	27.16	27.3	27.52(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	40	16	11	0.06	46%	-0.08	36.9	1.84%	0	1.3	55	NAN
3	Mar_15_2012	25.51	26.97	26.92	26.97	26.94	27.12	27.34(1.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	40	6	-5	0.07	46%	0	16.5	1.84%	0	1	50	NAN
4	Mar_14_2012	25.51	26.92	26.93	26.94	26.94	27.03	26.96(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	40	12	3	0.11	46%	-0.04	2.1	1.84%	0	0.1	51	NAN
5	Mar_13_2012	25.52	26.9	26.91	26.83	26.8	26.77	27.25(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	-10	17	-4	0.09	46%	0	-9.9	1.86%	0	0.9	53	NAN

6	Mar_12_2012	25.52	26.9	26.89	26.59	26.64	26.58	26.7(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10	-10	-33	0.09	35%	-0.04	-25.5	1.87%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
7	Mar_9_2012	25.53	26.87	26.91	26.71	26.55	26.82	26.58(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	50	-5	-23	0.16	43%	0	-21.3	1.98%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
8	Mar_8_2012	25.53	26.87	26.98	26.86	26.71	26.71	27.2(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-20	6	-3	0.14	39%	0	0	2.02%	0	0.7	55	NAN
9	Mar_7_2012	25.53	26.91	26.95	26.94	26.79	26.28	26.44(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-12	-150	-16	-1	0.3	34%	-0.04	15.4	2.14%	0	-1.2	54	NAN
10	Mar_6_2012	25.54	26.94	27.01	27	27.07	26.71	26.02(-4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-17	-90	-24	3	0.14	34%	0	33.3	2.14%	0	-2.4	48	NAN

11	Mar_5_2012	25.54	26.97	27.13	27.21	27.27	27.3	27.3(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	10	1	30	0.09	39%	-0.04	68	2.05%	0	1	58	NAN
12	Mar_2_2012	25.55	26.95	27.09	27.21	27.19	27.42	27.34(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	70	6	31	0.09	39%	0.04	75.4	2.08%	0	1.2	60	NAN
13	Mar_1_2012	25.54	26.91	27.03	27.12	27.03	27.25	27.62(3.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	50	13	28	0.11	39%	0	84	2.07%	0	2.2	51	NAN
14	Feb_29_2012	25.54	26.85	26.9	26.98	26.97	26.96	26.74(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	4	-0	3	6	0.44	44%	-0.04	87	2.16%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
15	Feb_28_2012	25.55	26.81	26.89	27.02	26.91	26.82	27.04(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-40	-4	1	0.45	53%	0.04	78.4	2.15%	0	0.6	52	NAN

16	Feb_27_2012	25.54	26.75	26.86	27.03	26.93	26.98	26.88(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	0	-2	5	0.08	53%	0.08	70.2	2.28%	0	0.3	56	NAN
17	Feb_24_2012	25.52	26.7	26.83	27.05	27.03	27	27.3(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10	8	7	0.09	53%	0.08	77.3	2.28%	0	1.3	54	NAN
18	Feb_23_2012	25.5	26.64	26.82	26.93	26.96	26.88	26.92(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2	-20	1	5	0.07	48%	0.12	82.7	2.29%	0	0.6	56	NAN
19	Feb_22_2012	25.47	26.6	26.82	26.82	26.87	27.06	26.94(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	60	5	8	0.04	48%	0.12	93.2	2.37%	0	0.7	57	NAN
20	Feb_21_2012	25.44	26.54	26.86	26.73	26.76	27.03	27.12(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	70	11	15	0.07	48%	0.24	99.5	2.37%	0	1.1	65	NAN

21	Feb_17_2012	25.38	26.45	26.8	26.66	26.62	26.68	26.96(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	10	7	17	0.21	48%	0.12	94.9	2.4%	0	0.8	66	NAN
22	Feb_16_2012	25.35	26.35	26.79	26.58	26.59	26.5	26.72(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-20	-6	16	0.08	48%	0.12	92.2	2.41%	0	0.5	60	NAN
23	Feb_15_2012	25.32	26.27	26.78	26.71	26.64	26.57	26.34(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-30	-11	26	0.3	48%	0.08	92.9	2.41%	0	0.1	55	NAN
24	Feb_14_2012	25.3	26.17	26.8	26.91	26.83	26.68	26.52(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-50	-5	44	0.32	48%	0.12	90.9	2.41%	0	0.4	58	NAN
25	Feb_13_2012	25.27	26.04	26.75	26.99	27.01	26.7	26.74(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-80	-4	51	0.17	48%		98.1	2.45%	0	0.7	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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