Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 30, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.5000 (6.25%) ($25.1400 - $25.5800) on Wed. Nov. 30, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.65% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $25.5000(6.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.825% (StdDev 3.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.77(-42.08%)
5 Day Moving Average   $23.78(7.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.17(5.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.03(1.88%)
To recent high   -14.1%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.91% (three month std-dev: 3.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.71%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.43%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2011	26.58	25.03	24.17	23.78	24.04	24.71	25.5(6.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	4	230	21	-48	0.23	50%	-0.19	-74.7	3.65%	0	0.4	55	0
2	Nov_29_2011	26.63	25.01	24.14	23.46	23.51	24.02	24(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	160	8	-76	0.1	47%	-0.26	-90	3.57%	0	-0.8	35	0
3	Nov_28_2011	26.7	25.15	24.29	23.5	23.49	23.37	24(6.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-40	-0	-84	0.25	47%	-0.34	-89.8	3.59%	0	-0.9	40	0
4	Nov_25_2011	26.79	25.39	24.52	23.71	23.57	23	22.6(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-40	-190	-24	-87	0.03	43%	-0.7	-70.1	3.5%	0	-1.9	35	0
5	Nov_23_2011	26.98	25.74	24.82	24.13	24.2	23.6	22.82(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-160	-22	-81	0.14	43%	-0.44	-50.8	3.48%	0	-1.8	32	0

6	Nov_22_2011	27.1	25.98	25.02	24.58	24.65	24.14	23.9(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-140	-20	-72	0.43	45%	-0.11	-46.3	3.45%	0	-1.4	45	0
7	Nov_21_2011	27.13	26.16	25.34	24.9	24.99	24.79	24.2(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-50	-15	-46	0.24	45%	-0.44	-42.7	3.46%	0	-1.4	49	0
8	Nov_18_2011	27.25	26.34	25.57	25.18	25.29	25.17	25.02(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-20	-8	-37	0.06	42%	-0.37	-35.5	3.46%	0	-1	43	0
9	Nov_17_2011	27.35	26.46	25.68	25.47	25.41	25.19	24.7(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-70	-9	-43	0.14	42%	-0.36	-32.1	3.54%	0	-1.3	36	0
10	Nov_16_2011	27.45	26.57	25.91	25.62	25.73	25.42	25.08(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-70	-1	-51	0.12	42%	-0.33	-31.7	3.54%	0	-1.2	35	0

11	Nov_15_2011	27.54	26.68	25.97	25.52	25.78	25.62	25.52(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10	-12	-70	0.14	42%	-0.29	-36.8	3.55%	0	-1	45	0
12	Nov_14_2011	27.62	26.77	25.95	25.85	25.62	26.04	25.58(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	90	-5	-69	0.08	42%	-0.25	-29.5	3.56%	0	-1	47	0
13	Nov_11_2011	27.69	26.82	26.08	26.03	25.94	25.94	26.48(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10	12	-61	0.11	46%	-0.25	-26.6	3.55%	0	-0.3	47	0
14	Nov_10_2011	27.76	26.89	26.29	25.94	25.95	25.21	25.42(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-200	-18	-69	0.21	40%	-0.32	-18.6	3.59%	0	-1.3	45	0
15	Nov_9_2011	27.85	26.97	26.7	26.26	26.08	25.93	24.6(-9.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-60	-18	-42	0.25	43%	-0.43	-4.1	3.71%	0	-2.1	46	0

16	Nov_8_2011	27.97	27.13	26.7	26.46	26.52	26.69	27.16(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	50	18	-19	0.22	43%	-0.25	16.5	3.59%	0	0	51	0
17	Nov_7_2011	28.04	27.12	27.02	26.05	26.18	26.23	26.5(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	30	-1	-40	0.13	43%	-0.32	20.2	3.75%	0	-0.6	48	0
18	Nov_4_2011	28.13	27.14	27.15	26.15	25.85	26.35	26.02(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	100	-11	-34	0.14	43%	-0.28	37.1	3.8%	0	-1	51	0
19	Nov_3_2011	28.21	27.1	27.3	26.73	26.19	26.12	27(5.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-80	-4	-15	0.34	43%	-0.25	55.6	3.92%	0	-0.1	48	0
20	Nov_2_2011	28.28	27.02	27.28	27.27	26.74	25.35	25.6(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-420	-27	-9	0.14	39%	-0.39	63.3	3.86%	0	-1.1	47	0

21	Nov_1_2011	28.39	26.97	27.45	27.67	27.71	26.27	25.12(-6.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-28	-360	-36	-2	1.08	38%	-0.35	67	3.88%	0	-1.3	43	0
22	Oct_31_2011	28.49	26.93	27.7	28.09	28.33	28.12	27(-6.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-30	-16	22	0.51	40%	-0.28	67.2	3.81%	0	0	52	0
23	Oct_28_2011	28.57	26.75	27.67	28.24	28.31	29.16	28.92(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	220	17	41	0.15	42%	-0.28	64.5	3.72%	0	1.3	62	0
24	Oct_27_2011	28.65	26.49	27.54	27.95	27.94	28.54	29.7(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	150	31	53	0.25	41%	-0.21	65.4	3.71%	0	1.9	72	0
25	Oct_26_2011	28.71	26.23	27.24	27.34	27.41	27.45	27.6(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	20	5	34	0.24	36%		66.4	3.62%	0	0.9	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.