Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.2000 (-3.28%) ($24.0400 - $24.5400) on Mon. Nov. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.46% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $24.2000(-3.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.73% (StdDev 3.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $15.1(-37.6%)
Resistance Level   $26.16
5 Day Moving Average   $24.9(-2.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.34(-4.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.16(-7.49%)
To recent high   -18.5%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.39% (three month std-dev: 3.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.77%(25%) Average negative next day return: -2.26%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 4.09%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -14.31%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 7.94%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.65%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2011	27.13	26.16	25.34	24.9	24.99	24.79	24.2(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-50	-15	-46	0.24	45%	-0.44	-42.7	3.46%	0	-1.4	49	NAN
2	Nov_18_2011	27.25	26.34	25.57	25.18	25.29	25.17	25.02(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-20	-8	-37	0.06	42%	-0.37	-35.5	3.46%	0	-1	43	NAN
3	Nov_17_2011	27.35	26.46	25.68	25.47	25.41	25.19	24.7(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-70	-9	-43	0.14	42%	-0.36	-32.1	3.54%	0	-1.3	36	NAN
4	Nov_16_2011	27.45	26.57	25.91	25.62	25.73	25.42	25.08(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-70	-1	-51	0.12	42%	-0.33	-31.7	3.54%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
5	Nov_15_2011	27.54	26.68	25.97	25.52	25.78	25.62	25.52(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10	-12	-70	0.14	42%	-0.29	-36.8	3.55%	0	-1	45	NAN

6	Nov_14_2011	27.62	26.77	25.95	25.85	25.62	26.04	25.58(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	90	-5	-69	0.08	42%	-0.25	-29.5	3.56%	0	-1	47	NAN
7	Nov_11_2011	27.69	26.82	26.08	26.03	25.94	25.94	26.48(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10	12	-61	0.11	46%	-0.25	-26.6	3.55%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
8	Nov_10_2011	27.76	26.89	26.29	25.94	25.95	25.21	25.42(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-200	-18	-69	0.21	40%	-0.32	-18.6	3.59%	0	-1.3	45	NAN
9	Nov_9_2011	27.85	26.97	26.7	26.26	26.08	25.93	24.6(-9.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-60	-18	-42	0.25	43%	-0.43	-4.1	3.71%	0	-2.1	46	NAN
10	Nov_8_2011	27.97	27.13	26.7	26.46	26.52	26.69	27.16(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	50	18	-19	0.22	43%	-0.25	16.5	3.59%	0	0	51	NAN

11	Nov_7_2011	28.04	27.12	27.02	26.05	26.18	26.23	26.5(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	30	-1	-40	0.13	43%	-0.32	20.2	3.75%	0	-0.6	48	NAN
12	Nov_4_2011	28.13	27.14	27.15	26.15	25.85	26.35	26.02(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	100	-11	-34	0.14	43%	-0.28	37.1	3.8%	0	-1	51	NAN
13	Nov_3_2011	28.21	27.1	27.3	26.73	26.19	26.12	27(5.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-80	-4	-15	0.34	43%	-0.25	55.6	3.92%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
14	Nov_2_2011	28.28	27.02	27.28	27.27	26.74	25.35	25.6(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-420	-27	-9	0.14	39%	-0.39	63.3	3.86%	0	-1.1	47	NAN
15	Nov_1_2011	28.39	26.97	27.45	27.67	27.71	26.27	25.12(-6.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-28	-360	-36	-2	1.08	38%	-0.35	67	3.88%	0	-1.3	43	NAN

16	Oct_31_2011	28.49	26.93	27.7	28.09	28.33	28.12	27(-6.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-30	-16	22	0.51	40%	-0.28	67.2	3.81%	0	0	52	NAN
17	Oct_28_2011	28.57	26.75	27.67	28.24	28.31	29.16	28.92(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	220	17	41	0.15	42%	-0.28	64.5	3.72%	0	1.3	62	NAN
18	Oct_27_2011	28.65	26.49	27.54	27.95	27.94	28.54	29.7(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	150	31	53	0.25	41%	-0.21	65.4	3.71%	0	1.9	72	NAN
19	Oct_26_2011	28.71	26.23	27.24	27.34	27.41	27.45	27.6(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	20	5	34	0.24	36%	-0.31	66.4	3.62%	0	0.9	66	NAN
20	Oct_25_2011	28.8	26.05	27.23	27.24	27.21	27.35	27.24(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	30	-1	48	0.11	36%	-0.35	67.5	3.62%	0	0.8	69	NAN

21	Oct_24_2011	28.9	25.89	27.21	27.26	27.2	27.38	27.74(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	40	10	74	0.13	36%	-0.31	67.9	3.63%	0	1.1	74	NAN
22	Oct_21_2011	28.99	25.68	27.1	27.01	27.1	27.07	27.46(2.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	0	-0	84	0.38	39%	-0.34	61.1	3.62%	0	1.1	76	NAN
23	Oct_20_2011	29.09	25.44	26.87	27.08	27	27.03	26.68(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-0	-4	95	0.24	40%	-0.31	55.2	3.65%	0	0.7	67	NAN
24	Oct_19_2011	29.18	25.23	26.73	27.12	27.25	27.14	27.08(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10	1	104	0.05	42%	-0.38	48.5	3.67%	0	1	62	NAN
25	Oct_18_2011	29.29	25.02	26.46	27.22	27.15	26.98	27.34(3.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-50	-5	110	0.35	41%		48.9	3.68%	0	1.3	67	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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