Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $26.4800 (4.17%) ($26.2000 - $26.6000) on Fri. Nov. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.55% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $26.4800(4.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(87%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.775% (StdDev 3.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.54(-33.76%)
Resistance Level   $26.82
5 Day Moving Average   $26.03(1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.08(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.82(-1.27%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.33% (three month std-dev: 3.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2011	27.69	26.82	26.08	26.03	25.94	25.94	26.48(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10	12	-61	0.11	46%	-0.25	-26.6	3.55%	0	-0.3	47	0
2	Nov_10_2011	27.76	26.89	26.29	25.94	25.95	25.21	25.42(3.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-200	-18	-69	0.21	40%	-0.32	-18.6	3.59%	0	-1.3	45	0
3	Nov_9_2011	27.85	26.97	26.7	26.26	26.08	25.93	24.6(-9.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-60	-18	-42	0.25	43%	-0.43	-4.1	3.71%	0	-2.1	46	0
4	Nov_8_2011	27.97	27.13	26.7	26.46	26.52	26.69	27.16(2.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	50	18	-19	0.22	43%	-0.25	16.5	3.59%	0	0	51	0
5	Nov_7_2011	28.04	27.12	27.02	26.05	26.18	26.23	26.5(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	30	-1	-40	0.13	43%	-0.32	20.2	3.75%	0	-0.6	48	0

6	Nov_4_2011	28.13	27.14	27.15	26.15	25.85	26.35	26.02(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	100	-11	-34	0.14	43%	-0.28	37.1	3.8%	0	-1	51	0
7	Nov_3_2011	28.21	27.1	27.3	26.73	26.19	26.12	27(5.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-80	-4	-15	0.34	43%	-0.25	55.6	3.92%	0	-0.1	48	0
8	Nov_2_2011	28.28	27.02	27.28	27.27	26.74	25.35	25.6(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-420	-27	-9	0.14	39%	-0.39	63.3	3.86%	0	-1.1	47	0
9	Nov_1_2011	28.39	26.97	27.45	27.67	27.71	26.27	25.12(-6.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-28	-360	-36	-2	1.08	38%	-0.35	67	3.88%	0	-1.3	43	0
10	Oct_31_2011	28.49	26.93	27.7	28.09	28.33	28.12	27(-6.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-30	-16	22	0.51	40%	-0.28	67.2	3.81%	0	0	52	0

11	Oct_28_2011	28.57	26.75	27.67	28.24	28.31	29.16	28.92(-2.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	220	17	41	0.15	42%	-0.28	64.5	3.72%	0	1.3	62	0
12	Oct_27_2011	28.65	26.49	27.54	27.95	27.94	28.54	29.7(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	37	150	31	53	0.25	41%	-0.21	65.4	3.71%	0	1.9	72	0
13	Oct_26_2011	28.71	26.23	27.24	27.34	27.41	27.45	27.6(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	20	5	34	0.24	36%	-0.31	66.4	3.62%	0	0.9	66	0
14	Oct_25_2011	28.8	26.05	27.23	27.24	27.21	27.35	27.24(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	30	-1	48	0.11	36%	-0.35	67.5	3.62%	0	0.8	69	0
15	Oct_24_2011	28.9	25.89	27.21	27.26	27.2	27.38	27.74(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	40	10	74	0.13	36%	-0.31	67.9	3.63%	0	1.1	74	0

16	Oct_21_2011	28.99	25.68	27.1	27.01	27.1	27.07	27.46(2.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	21	0	-0	84	0.38	39%	-0.34	61.1	3.62%	0	1.1	76	0
17	Oct_20_2011	29.09	25.44	26.87	27.08	27	27.03	26.68(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-0	-4	95	0.24	40%	-0.31	55.2	3.65%	0	0.7	67	0
18	Oct_19_2011	29.18	25.23	26.73	27.12	27.25	27.14	27.08(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-10	1	104	0.05	42%	-0.38	48.5	3.67%	0	1	62	0
19	Oct_18_2011	29.29	25.02	26.46	27.22	27.15	26.98	27.34(3.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-50	-5	110	0.35	41%	-0.07	48.9	3.68%	0	1.3	67	0
20	Oct_17_2011	29.31	24.83	26.11	27.15	27.3	27.36	26.48(-4.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	28	30	0	111	0.13	41%	-0.31	52	3.67%	0	1	62	0

21	Oct_14_2011	29.4	24.69	25.79	27.19	27.2	27.33	27.8(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	30	16	122	0.09	42%	-0.31	57.9	3.63%	0	1.9	72	0
22	Oct_13_2011	29.49	24.51	25.38	26.63	26.86	27.23	26.92(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	120	14	111	0.05	43%	-0.3	57.7	3.6%	0	1.7	73	0
23	Oct_12_2011	29.58	24.39	25.14	26.26	26.44	27.06	27.54(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	180	28	121	0.28	43%	-0.27	55.6	3.61%	0	2.3	77	0
24	Oct_11_2011	29.66	24.19	24.75	25.59	25.71	26.49	27.02(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	49	230	30	104	1.26	41%	-0.3	43.1	3.6%	0	2.4	69	0
25	Oct_10_2011	29.75	23.99	24.45	24.92	25.05	25.82	26.66(6.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	47	230	35	83	0.44	41%		26.1	3.67%	0	2.7	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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