Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.0000 (-0.24%) ($24.9800 - $25.6000) on Fri. Oct. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.59% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $25.0000(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(72%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    XAR(0%)    GLD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.795% (StdDev 3.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.19(3.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.1(3.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.78(5.13%)
To recent high   -26.8%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.36% (three month std-dev: 3.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 6.54%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.37%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.85%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_7_2011	29.84	23.78	24.1	24.19	24.24	24.93	25(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	27	210	19	49	0.54	37%	-0.43	-9.5	3.59%	0	1.5	57	NAN
2	Oct_6_2011	29.97	23.69	23.87	23.94	23.78	24.28	25.06(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	16	130	13	25	0.39	36%	-0.4	-38.9	3.6%	0	1.8	51	NAN
3	Oct_5_2011	30.09	23.66	23.58	23.87	23.62	23.56	24.2(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-50	4	2	0.11	35%	-0.43	-54.1	3.58%	0	0.7	45	NAN
4	Oct_4_2011	30.22	23.7	23.58	23.8	23.82	23.28	23.68(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-160	-10	-13	0.33	35%	-0.46	-64.2	3.57%	0	-0	49	NAN
5	Oct_3_2011	30.36	23.73	23.46	23.9	24.07	23.68	23(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-90	-13	-8	0.17	35%	-0.46	-73.1	3.57%	0	-0.9	51	NAN

6	Sep_30_2011	30.5	23.86	23.53	23.98	24.3	24.37	23.76(-3.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	60	6	9	0.1	37%	-0.46	-66.1	3.56%	0	-0.1	58	NAN
7	Sep_29_2011	30.64	24	23.59	23.74	24.08	24.46	24.72(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	150	21	15	0.16	39%	-0.42	-57.4	3.56%	0	0.7	59	NAN
8	Sep_28_2011	30.77	24.1	23.58	23.24	23.45	24.23	23.84(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	260	16	-6	0.12	37%	-0.45	-56.6	3.53%	0	-0.2	45	NAN
9	Sep_27_2011	30.91	24.23	23.59	23.07	22.97	23.7	24.16(3.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	210	19	-20	0.19	38%	-0.45	-55.5	3.54%	0	-0.1	43	NAN
10	Sep_26_2011	31.05	24.35	23.49	22.98	22.76	22.67	23.42(3.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-60	4	-38	0.23	38%	-0.45	-51.1	3.52%	0	-0.6	46	NAN

11	Sep_23_2011	31.19	24.48	23.43	23.03	22.92	22.23	22.58(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-230	-21	-65	0.13	35%	-0.51	-47.5	3.5%	0	-1.3	36	NAN
12	Sep_22_2011	31.35	24.65	23.5	23.42	23.26	22.85	22.22(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-140	-29	-77	0.19	34%	-0.54	-42.5	3.49%	0	-1.6	30	NAN
13	Sep_21_2011	31.52	24.86	23.76	23.96	23.87	23.62	22.98(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-80	-8	-64	0.06	35%	-0.54	-39.1	3.49%	0	-1.3	31	NAN
14	Sep_20_2011	31.69	25.03	23.98	24.16	24.21	23.66	23.7(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-150	-4	-63	0.06	35%	-0.53	-40	3.51%	0	-1	37	NAN
15	Sep_19_2011	31.86	25.14	24.05	24.06	24.18	24.13	23.68(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	0	-3	-82	0.11	35%	-0.53	-50.7	3.51%	0	-1.1	36	NAN

16	Sep_16_2011	32.03	25.22	24.24	23.87	24.05	24.75	24.52(-1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	230	19	-84	0.11	36%	-0.5	-64.8	3.5%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
17	Sep_15_2011	32.19	25.29	24.44	23.6	23.51	24.23	24.93(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	200	16	-91	0.35	35%	-0.46	-74.3	3.5%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
18	Sep_14_2011	32.34	25.42	24.63	23.56	23.19	23.34	23.98(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-0	-1	-95	0.14	34%	-0.46	-62.7	3.5%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
19	Sep_13_2011	32.49	25.59	24.88	23.82	23.5	22.8	23.2(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-250	-13	-91	0.2	34%	-0.46	-58.4	3.49%	0	-1.7	34	NAN
20	Sep_12_2011	32.64	25.83	25.25	24.05	24	23.05	22.7(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-280	-34	-87	0.41	34%	-0.34	-49.1	3.47%	0	-2.3	36	NAN

21	Sep_9_2011	32.75	26.08	25.61	24.65	24.38	24.2	23.18(-6.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-39	-80	-32	-60	0.37	33%	-0.46	-47.8	3.48%	0	-2.5	43	NAN
22	Sep_8_2011	32.9	26.27	25.9	25.37	24.97	24.94	24.76(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-60	-10	-26	0.11	35%	-0.39	-40.4	3.41%	0	-1.6	45	NAN
23	Sep_7_2011	33.03	26.31	26.07	25.86	25.5	24.56	25.28(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-300	-17	-19	0.17	35%	-0.36	-47.9	3.41%	0	-1.1	38	NAN
24	Sep_6_2011	33.15	26.42	26.19	26.12	26.03	25	24.34(-5.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-35	-290	-38	-24	0.35	32%	-0.51	-48.9	3.37%	0	-2.2	35	NAN
25	Sep_2_2011	33.32	26.52	26.36	26.62	26.61	26.43	25.68(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-50	-13	-9	0.14	33%		-57.4	3.31%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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