Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $24.5200 (-1.64%) ($24.2600 - $25.0900) on Fri. Sep. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.5% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $24.5200(-1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.75% (StdDev 3.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.32(-41.6%)
Resistance Level   $25.22
5 Day Moving Average   $23.87(2.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.24(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.22(-2.78%)
To recent high   -31.5%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.08% (three month std-dev: 3.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.42%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.8%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.72%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 18.29%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.18%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2011	32.03	25.22	24.24	23.87	24.05	24.75	24.52(-1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	230	19	-84	0.11	36%	-0.5	-64.8	3.5%	0	-0.5	43	0
2	Sep_15_2011	32.19	25.29	24.44	23.6	23.51	24.23	24.93(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	200	16	-91	0.35	35%	-0.46	-74.3	3.5%	0	-0.3	46	0
3	Sep_14_2011	32.34	25.42	24.63	23.56	23.19	23.34	23.98(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-25	-0	-1	-95	0.14	34%	-0.46	-62.7	3.5%	0	-1.1	39	0
4	Sep_13_2011	32.49	25.59	24.88	23.82	23.5	22.8	23.2(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-250	-13	-91	0.2	34%	-0.46	-58.4	3.49%	0	-1.7	34	0
5	Sep_12_2011	32.64	25.83	25.25	24.05	24	23.05	22.7(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-280	-34	-87	0.41	34%	-0.34	-49.1	3.47%	0	-2.3	36	0

6	Sep_9_2011	32.75	26.08	25.61	24.65	24.38	24.2	23.18(-6.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-39	-80	-32	-60	0.37	33%	-0.46	-47.8	3.48%	0	-2.5	43	0
7	Sep_8_2011	32.9	26.27	25.9	25.37	24.97	24.94	24.76(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-60	-10	-26	0.11	35%	-0.39	-40.4	3.41%	0	-1.6	45	0
8	Sep_7_2011	33.03	26.31	26.07	25.86	25.5	24.56	25.28(3.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-300	-17	-19	0.17	35%	-0.36	-47.9	3.41%	0	-1.1	38	0
9	Sep_6_2011	33.15	26.42	26.19	26.12	26.03	25	24.34(-5.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-35	-290	-38	-24	0.35	32%	-0.51	-48.9	3.37%	0	-2.2	35	0
10	Sep_2_2011	33.32	26.52	26.36	26.62	26.61	26.43	25.68(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-50	-13	-9	0.14	33%	-0.39	-57.4	3.31%	0	-0.9	37	0

11	Sep_1_2011	33.45	26.66	26.32	26.7	26.82	27.06	26.78(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	80	11	-11	0.11	34%	-0.33	-71.6	3.29%	0	0.1	46	0
12	Aug_31_2011	33.56	26.67	26.23	26.51	26.51	26.8	27.22(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	80	9	-25	0.19	35%	-0.33	-82.8	3.3%	0	0.5	53	0
13	Aug_30_2011	33.67	26.77	26.25	26.34	26.29	26.58	26.58(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	70	7	-18	0.34	35%	-0.38	-86.7	3.3%	0	-0.2	59	0
14	Aug_29_2011	33.8	26.89	26.31	26.29	26.24	26.23	26.82(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10	10	-19	0.08	35%	-0.35	-86.9	3.33%	0	-0.1	48	0
15	Aug_26_2011	33.92	27.05	26.42	26.08	26.05	26	26.08(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-20	-0	-19	0.13	35%	-0.35	-81.6	3.31%	0	-0.6	52	0

16	Aug_25_2011	34.04	27.31	26.55	25.89	26.17	26.25	25.84(-1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	50	4	-31	0.16	35%	-0.38	-80.2	3.3%	0	-0.8	42	0
17	Aug_24_2011	34.17	27.58	26.65	25.9	25.95	26.1	26.36(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	50	-6	-38	0.26	35%	-0.32	-79.1	3.3%	0	-0.6	49	0
18	Aug_23_2011	34.28	27.84	26.55	26.16	25.92	26.09	26.36(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	20	-4	-54	0.36	35%	-0.35	-68.8	3.3%	0	-0.6	42	0
19	Aug_22_2011	34.4	28.16	26.66	26.36	26.36	25.8	25.78(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-150	-12	-61	0.26	35%	-0.35	-60	3.3%	0	-1	42	0
20	Aug_19_2011	34.52	28.51	26.7	26.82	26.64	25.76	25.12(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-250	-34	-80	0.23	34%	-0.35	-49.5	3.29%	0	-1.3	37	0

21	Aug_18_2011	34.64	28.92	27.04	27.29	27.27	26.92	25.88(-6.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-90	-16	-74	0.15	34%	-0.35	-41.3	3.28%	0	-1.1	36	0
22	Aug_17_2011	34.76	29.3	27.17	27.46	27.59	27.53	27.68(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-0	14	-85	0.4	35%	-0.26	-37.5	3.2%	0	-0.6	39	0
23	Aug_16_2011	34.85	29.52	27.33	26.96	27.14	27.63	27.36(-2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	150	3	-120	0.43	35%	-0.29	-42.3	3.19%	0	-0.8	38	0
24	Aug_15_2011	34.95	29.73	27.5	26.99	26.73	27.64	28.08(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	210	28	-133	0.14	35%	-0.26	-42.9	3.18%	0	-0.6	36	0
25	Aug_12_2011	35.04	29.86	27.7	26.58	26.49	26.65	27.47(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	30	10	-168	0.18	35%		-48.1	3.17%	0	-0.9	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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