Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $26.7800 (-1.62%) ($26.7400 - $27.5200) on Thu. Sep. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.29% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $26.7800(-1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    TIP(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(11%)    IGOV(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.645% (StdDev 3.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.7(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.32(1.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.66(0.45%)
To recent high   -28.1%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.34% (three month std-dev: 3.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2011	33.45	26.66	26.32	26.7	26.82	27.06	26.78(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	6	80	11	-11	0.11	34%	-0.33	-71.6	3.29%	0	0.1	46	NAN
2	Aug_31_2011	33.56	26.67	26.23	26.51	26.51	26.8	27.22(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	80	9	-25	0.19	35%	-0.33	-82.8	3.3%	0	0.5	53	NAN
3	Aug_30_2011	33.67	26.77	26.25	26.34	26.29	26.58	26.58(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	70	7	-18	0.34	35%	-0.38	-86.7	3.3%	0	-0.2	59	NAN
4	Aug_29_2011	33.8	26.89	26.31	26.29	26.24	26.23	26.82(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10	10	-19	0.08	35%	-0.35	-86.9	3.33%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
5	Aug_26_2011	33.92	27.05	26.42	26.08	26.05	26	26.08(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-20	-0	-19	0.13	35%	-0.35	-81.6	3.31%	0	-0.6	52	NAN

6	Aug_25_2011	34.04	27.31	26.55	25.89	26.17	26.25	25.84(-1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	50	4	-31	0.16	35%	-0.38	-80.2	3.3%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
7	Aug_24_2011	34.17	27.58	26.65	25.9	25.95	26.1	26.36(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	50	-6	-38	0.26	35%	-0.32	-79.1	3.3%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
8	Aug_23_2011	34.28	27.84	26.55	26.16	25.92	26.09	26.36(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	20	-4	-54	0.36	35%	-0.35	-68.8	3.3%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
9	Aug_22_2011	34.4	28.16	26.66	26.36	26.36	25.8	25.78(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-150	-12	-61	0.26	35%	-0.35	-60	3.3%	0	-1	42	NAN
10	Aug_19_2011	34.52	28.51	26.7	26.82	26.64	25.76	25.12(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-250	-34	-80	0.23	34%	-0.35	-49.5	3.29%	0	-1.3	37	NAN

11	Aug_18_2011	34.64	28.92	27.04	27.29	27.27	26.92	25.88(-6.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-90	-16	-74	0.15	34%	-0.35	-41.3	3.28%	0	-1.1	36	NAN
12	Aug_17_2011	34.76	29.3	27.17	27.46	27.59	27.53	27.68(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-0	14	-85	0.4	35%	-0.26	-37.5	3.2%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
13	Aug_16_2011	34.85	29.52	27.33	26.96	27.14	27.63	27.36(-2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	150	3	-120	0.43	35%	-0.29	-42.3	3.19%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
14	Aug_15_2011	34.95	29.73	27.5	26.99	26.73	27.64	28.08(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	210	28	-133	0.14	35%	-0.26	-42.9	3.18%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
15	Aug_12_2011	35.04	29.86	27.7	26.58	26.49	26.65	27.47(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	30	10	-168	0.18	35%	-0.28	-48.1	3.17%	0	-0.9	35	NAN

16	Aug_11_2011	35.14	30.07	28.08	26.8	26.3	25.82	26.7(5.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-180	-15	-184	0.62	35%	-0.31	-49.8	3.14%	0	-1.4	31	NAN
17	Aug_10_2011	35.25	30.32	28.55	26.87	26.84	26.32	25.21(-8.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-77	-140	-34	-207	0.49	32%	-0.31	-56.5	3.04%	0	-2.2	24	NAN
18	Aug_9_2011	35.36	30.67	29.22	27.74	27.36	26.79	27.5(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-190	-25	-186	0.27	34%	-0.28	-59.6	2.89%	0	-1.5	36	NAN
19	Aug_8_2011	35.46	30.86	29.77	28.09	28.03	27.36	26.02(-8.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-170	-40	-177	0.44	31%	-0.28	-68.2	2.79%	0	-2.5	34	NAN
20	Aug_5_2011	35.56	31.13	30.47	28.97	28.78	27.93	28.56(5.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-230	-39	-142	0.95	32%	-0.2	-80.9	2.59%	0	-1.6	45	NAN

21	Aug_4_2011	35.63	31.35	30.96	29.58	29.5	28.7	27.06(-8.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-70	-200	-54	-116	0.89	29%	-0.2	-78	2.5%	0	-2.7	34	NAN
22	Aug_3_2011	35.7	31.72	31.65	30.48	30.47	29.63	29.54(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-190	-34	-61	0.96	31%	-0.2	-78	2.3%	0	-1.6	42	NAN
23	Aug_2_2011	35.77	31.94	31.93	30.92	30.99	30.3	29.26(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-150	-52	-46	0.65	31%	-0.2	-66.2	2.29%	0	-1.9	39	NAN
24	Aug_1_2011	35.84	32.23	32.18	31.72	31.59	31.31	30.44(-3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-21	-70	-28	1	0.3	33%	-0.17	-51.4	2.25%	0	-1.4	50	NAN
25	Jul_29_2011	35.9	32.49	32.23	32.19	32.13	31.68	31.58(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-100	-19	26	0.51	34%		-28.4	2.23%	0	-0.6	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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