Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.8800 (-6.5%) ($25.7000 - $26.4400) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.28% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $25.8800(-6.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.64% (StdDev 3.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

Resistance Level   $28.92
5 Day Moving Average   $27.29(-5.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.04(-4.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.92(-10.51%)
To recent high   -31%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 9.2% (three month std-dev: 3.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.17%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.84%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.54%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -11.43%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 7.84%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.14%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2011	34.64	28.92	27.04	27.29	27.27	26.92	25.88(-6.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-90	-16	-74	0.15	34%	-0.35	-41.3	3.28%	0	-1.1	36	NAN
2	Aug_17_2011	34.76	29.3	27.17	27.46	27.59	27.53	27.68(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-0	14	-85	0.4	35%	-0.26	-37.5	3.2%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
3	Aug_16_2011	34.85	29.52	27.33	26.96	27.14	27.63	27.36(-2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	150	3	-120	0.43	35%	-0.29	-42.3	3.19%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
4	Aug_15_2011	34.95	29.73	27.5	26.99	26.73	27.64	28.08(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	210	28	-133	0.14	35%	-0.26	-42.9	3.18%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
5	Aug_12_2011	35.04	29.86	27.7	26.58	26.49	26.65	27.47(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	30	10	-168	0.18	35%	-0.28	-48.1	3.17%	0	-0.9	35	NAN

6	Aug_11_2011	35.14	30.07	28.08	26.8	26.3	25.82	26.7(5.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-180	-15	-184	0.62	35%	-0.31	-49.8	3.14%	0	-1.4	31	NAN
7	Aug_10_2011	35.25	30.32	28.55	26.87	26.84	26.32	25.21(-8.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-77	-140	-34	-207	0.49	32%	-0.31	-56.5	3.04%	0	-2.2	24	NAN
8	Aug_9_2011	35.36	30.67	29.22	27.74	27.36	26.79	27.5(5.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-190	-25	-186	0.27	34%	-0.28	-59.6	2.89%	0	-1.5	36	NAN
9	Aug_8_2011	35.46	30.86	29.77	28.09	28.03	27.36	26.02(-8.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-170	-40	-177	0.44	31%	-0.28	-68.2	2.79%	0	-2.5	34	NAN
10	Aug_5_2011	35.56	31.13	30.47	28.97	28.78	27.93	28.56(5.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-230	-39	-142	0.95	32%	-0.2	-80.9	2.59%	0	-1.6	45	NAN

11	Aug_4_2011	35.63	31.35	30.96	29.58	29.5	28.7	27.06(-8.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-70	-200	-54	-116	0.89	29%	-0.2	-78	2.5%	0	-2.7	34	NAN
12	Aug_3_2011	35.7	31.72	31.65	30.48	30.47	29.63	29.54(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-190	-34	-61	0.96	31%	-0.2	-78	2.3%	0	-1.6	42	NAN
13	Aug_2_2011	35.77	31.94	31.93	30.92	30.99	30.3	29.26(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-150	-52	-46	0.65	31%	-0.2	-66.2	2.29%	0	-1.9	39	NAN
14	Aug_1_2011	35.84	32.23	32.18	31.72	31.59	31.31	30.44(-3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-21	-70	-28	1	0.3	33%	-0.17	-51.4	2.25%	0	-1.4	50	NAN
15	Jul_29_2011	35.9	32.49	32.18	32.19	32.13	31.68	31.58(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-100	-19	26	0.51	34%	-0.14	-28.4	2.23%	0	-0.6	57	NAN

16	Jul_28_2011	35.95	32.66	32.18	32.58	32.43	31.86	31.6(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-140	-34	29	0.13	34%	-0.17	-15.5	2.24%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
17	Jul_27_2011	36.01	32.8	32.23	33	32.91	32.59	31.74(-4.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-80	-16	36	0.18	36%	-0.14	-8.1	2.24%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
18	Jul_26_2011	36.06	32.8	32.25	33.08	33.27	33	33.22(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-40	9	34	0.27	38%	-0.11	-12.5	2.22%	0	0.2	45	NAN
19	Jul_25_2011	36.1	32.8	32.03	32.7	33	33.23	32.82(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	80	11	-13	0.35	38%	-0.11	-23.4	2.22%	0	-0.1	39	NAN
20	Jul_22_2011	36.14	32.8	31.83	32.24	32.59	33.54	33.54(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	240	39	-61	0.16	38%	-0.11	-38.3	2.2%	0	0.4	38	NAN

21	Jul_21_2011	36.18	32.9	31.83	31.83	31.84	32.78	33.66(4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	210	44	-95	1.08	38%	-0.08	-46.8	2.22%	0	0.5	41	NAN
22	Jul_20_2011	36.21	32.92	31.73	31.39	31.38	31.65	32.16(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	60	20	-133	0.17	36%	-0.14	-54	2.14%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
23	Jul_19_2011	36.26	33.09	31.88	31.32	31.31	30.91	31.3(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-90	-5	-148	0.17	34%	-0.17	-53.9	2.13%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
24	Jul_18_2011	36.32	33.26	32.24	31.26	31.45	31.11	30.56(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-60	-18	-146	0.13	31%	-0.16	-57.3	2.11%	0	-1.7	38	NAN
25	Jul_15_2011	36.38	33.49	32.75	31.32	31.57	31.71	31.48(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	50	-8	-118	0.26	32%		-61.5	2.12%	0	-1.3	46	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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