Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 5, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $28.5600 (5.54%) ($26.7000 - $28.9000) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.59% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $28.5600(5.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.295% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.295% (StdDev 2.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.77(-30.78%)
Resistance Level   $31.13
5 Day Moving Average   $28.97(-1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.47(-6.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.13(-8.26%)
To recent high   -25.2%
To recent low   5.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.17% (three month std-dev: 2.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.91%(83%) Average negative next day return: -1.29%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 4.02%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.51%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.11%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.69%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2011	35.56	31.13	30.47	28.97	28.78	27.93	28.56(5.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-230	-39	-142	0.95	32%	-0.2	-80.9	2.59%	0	-1.6	45	0
2	Aug_4_2011	35.63	31.35	30.96	29.58	29.5	28.7	27.06(-8.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-70	-200	-54	-116	0.89	29%	-0.2	-78	2.5%	0	-2.7	34	0
3	Aug_3_2011	35.7	31.72	31.65	30.48	30.47	29.63	29.54(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-190	-34	-61	0.96	31%	-0.2	-78	2.3%	0	-1.6	42	0
4	Aug_2_2011	35.77	31.94	31.93	30.92	30.99	30.3	29.26(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-150	-52	-46	0.65	31%	-0.2	-66.2	2.29%	0	-1.9	39	0
5	Aug_1_2011	35.84	32.23	32.18	31.72	31.59	31.31	30.44(-3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-21	-70	-28	1	0.3	33%	-0.17	-51.4	2.25%	0	-1.4	50	0

6	Jul_29_2011	35.9	32.49	32.18	32.19	32.13	31.68	31.58(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-100	-19	26	0.51	34%	-0.14	-28.4	2.23%	0	-0.6	57	0
7	Jul_28_2011	35.95	32.66	32.18	32.58	32.43	31.86	31.6(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-140	-34	29	0.13	34%	-0.17	-15.5	2.24%	0	-0.7	44	0
8	Jul_27_2011	36.01	32.8	32.23	33	32.91	32.59	31.74(-4.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-80	-16	36	0.18	36%	-0.14	-8.1	2.24%	0	-0.7	39	0
9	Jul_26_2011	36.06	32.8	32.25	33.08	33.27	33	33.22(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-40	9	34	0.27	38%	-0.11	-12.5	2.22%	0	0.2	45	0
10	Jul_25_2011	36.1	32.8	32.03	32.7	33	33.23	32.82(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	80	11	-13	0.35	38%	-0.11	-23.4	2.22%	0	-0.1	39	0

11	Jul_22_2011	36.14	32.8	31.83	32.24	32.59	33.54	33.54(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	240	39	-61	0.16	38%	-0.11	-38.3	2.2%	0	0.4	38	0
12	Jul_21_2011	36.18	32.9	31.83	31.83	31.84	32.78	33.66(4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	210	44	-95	1.08	38%	-0.08	-46.8	2.22%	0	0.5	41	0
13	Jul_20_2011	36.21	32.92	31.73	31.39	31.38	31.65	32.16(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	60	20	-133	0.17	36%	-0.14	-54	2.14%	0	-0.5	40	0
14	Jul_19_2011	36.26	33.09	31.88	31.32	31.31	30.91	31.3(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-90	-5	-148	0.17	34%	-0.17	-53.9	2.13%	0	-1.1	39	0
15	Jul_18_2011	36.32	33.26	32.24	31.26	31.45	31.11	30.56(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-60	-18	-146	0.13	31%	-0.16	-57.3	2.11%	0	-1.7	38	0

16	Jul_15_2011	36.38	33.49	32.75	31.32	31.57	31.71	31.48(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	50	-8	-118	0.26	32%	-0.14	-61.5	2.12%	0	-1.3	46	0
17	Jul_14_2011	36.43	33.64	33.11	31.59	31.43	31.8	31.46(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	70	-11	-98	0.64	32%	-0.11	-66.1	2.12%	0	-1.5	41	0
18	Jul_13_2011	36.47	33.79	33.41	32.13	31.71	31.43	31.78(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-100	-12	-74	0.29	32%	-0.11	-66.2	2.12%	0	-1.5	40	0
19	Jul_12_2011	36.51	34.01	33.63	32.56	32.3	31.07	31.04(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-290	-56	-89	0.84	30%	-0.16	-60.3	2.09%	0	-2.2	31	0
20	Jul_11_2011	36.57	34.23	33.89	33.37	33.04	31.98	30.82(-6.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-78	-250	-80	-72	1.06	30%	-0.19	-55	2.09%	0	-2.8	37	0

21	Jul_8_2011	36.64	34.46	34.13	34.36	34.07	33.54	32.86(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-36	-130	-38	-28	0.66	32%	-0.14	-53.6	1.95%	0	-1.7	41	0
22	Jul_7_2011	36.69	34.63	34.24	34.84	34.71	34.09	34.16(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-13	-140	-17	0	0.2	34%	-0.11	-42.1	1.9%	0	-0.5	50	0
23	Jul_6_2011	36.73	34.72	34.25	34.88	34.89	34.6	33.94(-3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-60	-19	3	0.15	36%	-0.08	-40.9	1.9%	0	-0.8	49	0
24	Jul_5_2011	36.76	34.85	34.42	34.84	34.97	35.32	35.08(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	80	22	14	0.11	38%	-0.05	-42.2	1.88%	0	0.2	44	0
25	Jul_1_2011	36.78	34.9	34.37	34.48	34.55	35.17	35.78(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	33	130	44	-1	0.13	40%		-46.4	1.85%	0	0.8	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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