Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 3, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $29.5400 (0.96%) ($29.0800 - $29.9600) on Wed. Aug. 3, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $29.5400(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $22.98(-22.21%)
Resistance Level   $31.72
5 Day Moving Average   $30.48(-3.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.65(-6.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.72(-6.87%)
To recent high   -25.7%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.22% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 9.11%(20%) Average negative next day return: -3.25%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 10.7%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -2.79%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.48%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.14%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2011	35.7	31.72	31.65	30.48	30.47	29.63	29.54(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-190	-34	-61	0.96	31%	-0.2	-78	2.3%	0	-1.6	42	NAN
2	Aug_2_2011	35.77	31.94	31.93	30.92	30.99	30.3	29.26(-3.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-150	-52	-46	0.65	31%	-0.2	-66.2	2.29%	0	-1.9	39	NAN
3	Aug_1_2011	35.84	32.23	32.18	31.72	31.59	31.31	30.44(-3.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-21	-70	-28	1	0.3	33%	-0.17	-51.4	2.25%	0	-1.4	50	NAN
4	Jul_29_2011	35.9	32.49	32.18	32.19	32.13	31.68	31.58(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-100	-19	26	0.51	34%	-0.14	-28.4	2.23%	0	-0.6	57	NAN
5	Jul_28_2011	35.95	32.66	32.18	32.58	32.43	31.86	31.6(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-18	-140	-34	29	0.13	34%	-0.17	-15.5	2.24%	0	-0.7	44	NAN

6	Jul_27_2011	36.01	32.8	32.23	33	32.91	32.59	31.74(-4.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-80	-16	36	0.18	36%	-0.14	-8.1	2.24%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
7	Jul_26_2011	36.06	32.8	32.25	33.08	33.27	33	33.22(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-40	9	34	0.27	38%	-0.11	-12.5	2.22%	0	0.2	45	NAN
8	Jul_25_2011	36.1	32.8	32.03	32.7	33	33.23	32.82(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	80	11	-13	0.35	38%	-0.11	-23.4	2.22%	0	-0.1	39	NAN
9	Jul_22_2011	36.14	32.8	31.83	32.24	32.59	33.54	33.54(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	240	39	-61	0.16	38%	-0.11	-38.3	2.2%	0	0.4	38	NAN
10	Jul_21_2011	36.18	32.9	31.83	31.83	31.84	32.78	33.66(4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	210	44	-95	1.08	38%	-0.08	-46.8	2.22%	0	0.5	41	NAN

11	Jul_20_2011	36.21	32.92	31.73	31.39	31.38	31.65	32.16(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	60	20	-133	0.17	36%	-0.14	-54	2.14%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
12	Jul_19_2011	36.26	33.09	31.88	31.32	31.31	30.91	31.3(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-90	-5	-148	0.17	34%	-0.17	-53.9	2.13%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
13	Jul_18_2011	36.32	33.26	32.24	31.26	31.45	31.11	30.56(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-60	-18	-146	0.13	31%	-0.16	-57.3	2.11%	0	-1.7	38	NAN
14	Jul_15_2011	36.38	33.49	32.75	31.32	31.57	31.71	31.48(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	50	-8	-118	0.26	32%	-0.14	-61.5	2.12%	0	-1.3	46	NAN
15	Jul_14_2011	36.43	33.64	33.11	31.59	31.43	31.8	31.46(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	70	-11	-98	0.64	32%	-0.11	-66.1	2.12%	0	-1.5	41	NAN

16	Jul_13_2011	36.47	33.79	33.41	32.13	31.71	31.43	31.78(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-100	-12	-74	0.29	32%	-0.11	-66.2	2.12%	0	-1.5	40	NAN
17	Jul_12_2011	36.51	34.01	33.63	32.56	32.3	31.07	31.04(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-290	-56	-89	0.84	30%	-0.16	-60.3	2.09%	0	-2.2	31	NAN
18	Jul_11_2011	36.57	34.23	33.89	33.37	33.04	31.98	30.82(-6.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-78	-250	-80	-72	1.06	30%	-0.19	-55	2.09%	0	-2.8	37	NAN
19	Jul_8_2011	36.64	34.46	34.13	34.36	34.07	33.54	32.86(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-36	-130	-38	-28	0.66	32%	-0.14	-53.6	1.95%	0	-1.7	41	NAN
20	Jul_7_2011	36.69	34.63	34.24	34.84	34.71	34.09	34.16(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-13	-140	-17	0	0.2	34%	-0.11	-42.1	1.9%	0	-0.5	50	NAN

21	Jul_6_2011	36.73	34.72	34.25	34.88	34.89	34.6	33.94(-3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-60	-19	3	0.15	36%	-0.08	-40.9	1.9%	0	-0.8	49	NAN
22	Jul_5_2011	36.76	34.85	34.42	34.84	34.97	35.32	35.08(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	80	22	14	0.11	38%	-0.05	-42.2	1.88%	0	0.2	44	NAN
23	Jul_1_2011	36.78	34.9	34.37	34.48	34.55	35.17	35.78(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	33	130	44	-1	0.13	40%	-0.03	-46.4	1.85%	0	0.8	51	NAN
24	Jun_30_2011	36.79	34.96	34.26	33.86	33.96	34.61	35.22(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	140	36	-39	0.16	40%	-0.08	-54.5	1.83%	0	0.2	50	NAN
25	Jun_29_2011	36.82	35.03	34.16	33.58	33.46	33.93	34.36(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	90	21	-79	0.56	37%		-57	1.82%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.