Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $33.6600 (4.66%) ($33.0800 - $33.9600) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $33.6600(4.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(90%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.83(5.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.73(6.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.9(2.31%)
To recent high   -16.5%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.68% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.45%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -4.15%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.47%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2011	36.18	32.9		31.83	31.84	32.78	33.66(4.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	210	44	-95	1.08	38%	-0.08	-46.8	2.22%	0	0.5	41	NAN
2	Jul_20_2011	36.21	32.92	31.73	31.39	31.38	31.65	32.16(2.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	60	20	-133	0.17	36%	-0.14	-54	2.14%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
3	Jul_19_2011	36.26	33.09	31.88	31.32	31.31	30.91	31.3(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-90	-5	-148	0.17	34%	-0.17	-53.9	2.13%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
4	Jul_18_2011	36.32	33.26	32.24	31.26	31.45	31.11	30.56(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-60	-18	-146	0.13	31%	-0.16	-57.3	2.11%	0	-1.7	38	NAN
5	Jul_15_2011	36.38	33.49	32.75	31.32	31.57	31.71	31.48(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	50	-8	-118	0.26	32%	-0.14	-61.5	2.12%	0	-1.3	46	NAN

6	Jul_14_2011	36.43	33.64	33.11	31.59	31.43	31.8	31.46(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	70	-11	-98	0.64	32%	-0.11	-66.1	2.12%	0	-1.5	41	NAN
7	Jul_13_2011	36.47	33.79	33.41	32.13	31.71	31.43	31.78(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-100	-12	-74	0.29	32%	-0.11	-66.2	2.12%	0	-1.5	40	NAN
8	Jul_12_2011	36.51	34.01	33.63	32.56	32.3	31.07	31.04(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-290	-56	-89	0.84	30%	-0.16	-60.3	2.09%	0	-2.2	31	NAN
9	Jul_11_2011	36.57	34.23	33.89	33.37	33.04	31.98	30.82(-6.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-78	-250	-80	-72	1.06	30%	-0.19	-55	2.09%	0	-2.8	37	NAN
10	Jul_8_2011	36.64	34.46	34.13	34.36	34.07	33.54	32.86(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-36	-130	-38	-28	0.66	32%	-0.14	-53.6	1.95%	0	-1.7	41	NAN

11	Jul_7_2011	36.69	34.63	34.24	34.84	34.71	34.09	34.16(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-13	-140	-17	0	0.2	34%	-0.11	-42.1	1.9%	0	-0.5	50	NAN
12	Jul_6_2011	36.73	34.72	34.25	34.88	34.89	34.6	33.94(-3.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-14	-60	-19	3	0.15	36%	-0.08	-40.9	1.9%	0	-0.8	49	NAN
13	Jul_5_2011	36.76	34.85	34.42	34.84	34.97	35.32	35.08(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	80	22	14	0.11	38%	-0.05	-42.2	1.88%	0	0.2	44	NAN
14	Jul_1_2011	36.78	34.9	34.37	34.48	34.55	35.17	35.78(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	33	130	44	-1	0.13	40%	-0.03	-46.4	1.85%	0	0.8	51	NAN
15	Jun_30_2011	36.79	34.96	34.26	33.86	33.96	34.61	35.22(2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	140	36	-39	0.16	40%	-0.08	-54.5	1.83%	0	0.2	50	NAN

16	Jun_29_2011	36.82	35.03	34.16	33.58	33.46	33.93	34.36(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	90	21	-79	0.56	37%	-0.05	-57	1.82%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
17	Jun_28_2011	36.84	35.12	34.15	33.57	33.24	33.31	33.74(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10	-8	-108	0.07	35%	-0.11	-52.3	1.8%	0	-1.1	39	NAN
18	Jun_27_2011	36.88	35.3	34.37	33.97	33.5	32.98	33.32(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-150	-24	-101	0.18	35%	-0.08	-38.6	1.79%	0	-1.5	34	NAN
19	Jun_24_2011	36.91	35.45	34.57	34.24	34.07	33.18	32.68(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-61	-200	-46	-106	0.25	35%	-0.14	-35.4	1.78%	0	-2.3	34	NAN
20	Jun_23_2011	36.96	35.63	34.83	34.7	34.5	34.02	33.78(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-110	-37	-98	0.09	37%	-0.08	-36.7	1.76%	0	-1.8	33	NAN

21	Jun_22_2011	36.99	35.74	35.08	34.79	34.9	34.97	34.34(-3.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-20	20	1	-83	0.19	37%	-0.08	-43.9	1.75%	0	-1.5	39	NAN
22	Jun_21_2011	37.02	35.81	35.25	34.78	34.82	34.99	35.72(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	40	6	-89	0.14	43%	-0.03	-55.3	1.68%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
23	Jun_20_2011	37.03	35.8	35.33	34.85	34.62	34.84	34.68(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	20	-5	-97	0.28	40%	-0.03	-60.8	1.68%	0	-1.3	36	NAN
24	Jun_17_2011	37.04	35.88	35.48	34.97	34.98	34.65	34.96(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-18	-70	5	-87	0.38	43%	-0.05	-63.3	1.69%	0	-1.1	45	NAN
25	Jun_16_2011	37.06	36	35.7	35.01	35.04	34.41	34.26(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-58	-120	-46	-95	0.1	38%		-59.4	1.71%	0	-2	43	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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