Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $34.2800 (-4.99%) ($34.1400 - $35.0200) on Wed. Jun. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $34.2800(-4.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.54(-7.99%)
Resistance Level   $36.15
5 Day Moving Average   $35.42(-3.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.96(-4.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.15(-5.17%)
To recent high   -14.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.48%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.86%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.43%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.42%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.55%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2011	37.08	36.15	35.96	35.42	35.37	35.31	34.28(-4.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-20	-28	-57	0.34	37%	-0.05	-53.2	1.8%	0	-2.4	44	NAN
2	Jun_14_2011	37.1	36.28	36.18	35.77	35.77	35.67	36.08(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-4	-20	2	-23	0.18	40%	0	-56.8	1.7%	0	-0.3	55	NAN
3	Jun_13_2011	37.1	36.32	36.29	35.89	35.81	35.44	35.26(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-80	-26	-12	0.43	37%	-0.03	-58.2	1.67%	0	-1.6	52	NAN
4	Jun_10_2011	37.11	36.41	36.4	36.08	36.19	35.87	35.16(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-50	-28	-2	0.14	35%	-0.03	-56.3	1.68%	0	-2	45	NAN
5	Jun_9_2011	37.12	36.52	36.5	36.5	36.43	36.19	36.32(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-50	-16	13	0.04	38%	0.03	-45.1	1.67%	0	-0.3	42	NAN

6	Jun_8_2011	37.11	36.57	36.47	36.59	36.61	36.51	36.04(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-20	-9	10	0.11	38%	0.05	-52.3	1.67%	0	-0.8	44	NAN
7	Jun_7_2011	37.09	36.67	36.43	36.64	36.75	36.67	36.66(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-3	-10	-5	3	0.18	39%	-0.03	-55.5	1.66%	0	-0	49	NAN
8	Jun_6_2011	37.1	36.71	36.43	36.76	36.71	36.72	36.24(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-0	-6	-3	0.15	39%	0.03	-62.8	1.65%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
9	Jun_3_2011	37.09	36.77	36.43	36.75	36.87	36.83	37.26(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	0	15	-2	0.13	41%	0.11	-80.9	1.62%	0	0.7	52	NAN
10	Jun_2_2011	37.05	36.79	36.31	36.51	36.71	36.69	36.76(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	10	3	-21	0.28	44%	0.08	-98.6	1.62%	0	-0	44	NAN

11	Jun_1_2011	37.02	36.9	36.32	36.33	36.5	36.91	36.28(-2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	4	90	15	-29	0.08	42%	0.11	-92	1.62%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
12	May_31_2011	36.98	37.06	36.38	36.17	36.26	36.74	37.28(3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	20	100	40	-40	0.26	44%	0.3	-78.2	1.61%	0	0.2	41	NAN
13	May_27_2011	36.87	37.18	36.32	35.79	35.86	36.1	36.18(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	50	14	-82	0.63	40%	0.11	-65.5	1.56%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
14	May_26_2011	36.83	37.37	36.39	35.8	35.63	35.79	36.04(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-30	20	-8	-96	0.15	40%	0.08	-55.2	1.58%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
15	May_25_2011	36.8	37.57	36.52	36.09	35.79	35.62	35.86(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-60	-12	-87	0.11	40%	0.08	-42.3	1.59%	0	-1.1	33	NAN

16	May_24_2011	36.77	37.77	36.67	36.34	36.18	35.48	35.5(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-150	-31	-98	0.07	40%	0.05	-30.7	1.59%	0	-1.6	24	NAN
17	May_23_2011	36.75	37.94	36.94	36.61	36.51	35.97	35.38(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-60	-110	-45	-104	0.28	40%	0.08	-20.4	1.59%	0	-1.9	21	NAN
18	May_20_2011	36.72	38.09	37.17	36.9	36.83	36.88	36.22(-3.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-31	0	-11	-90	0.27	38%	0.11	-14.2	1.71%	0	-1.5	23	NAN
19	May_19_2011	36.68	38.2	37.3	37.04	36.9	37.05	37.5(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	20	10	-101	0.56	41%	0.14	-11.6	1.67%	0	-0.6	25	NAN
20	May_18_2011	36.63	38.2	37.33	37.02	36.85	36.77	37.08(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-30	-4	-127	0.14	41%	0.14	-14.1	1.68%	0	-1	23	NAN

21	May_17_2011	36.58	38.2	37.53	37.08	36.96	36.76	36.86(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-50	-17	-138	0.23	41%	0.11	-17.4	1.67%	0	-1.2	24	NAN
22	May_16_2011	36.54	38.21	37.8	37.34	37.2	36.92	36.82(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-60	-17	-118	0.38	43%	0.03	-19	1.68%	0	-1.2	38	NAN
23	May_13_2011	36.53	38.27	38.09	37.48	37.48	37.16	36.92(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-60	-14	-98	0.81	43%	0.11	-19.3	1.67%	0	-1.2	44	NAN
24	May_12_2011	36.49	38.33	38.42	37.58	37.58	37.47	37.44(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-20	-15	-77	0.07	43%	0.14	-18.6	1.67%	0	-0.8	48	NAN
25	May_11_2011	36.44	38.37	38.69	37.68	37.7	37.8	37.34(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	20	-11	-51	0.16	43%		-18	1.69%	0	-0.9	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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