Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $38.7000 (1.26%) ($38.4000 - $38.7400) on Tue. Apr. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $38.7000(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.89(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.8(2.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.8(2.38%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.87%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.58%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.81%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110526

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_26_2011	35.75	37.8	37.8	37.89	38.11	38.4	38.7(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	23	70	31	-3	0.17	48%	0.17	35.2	1.66%	0	1.5	60	NAN
2	Apr_25_2011	35.69	37.72	37.76	37.44	37.64	38.13	38.22(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	9	110	20	-24	0.06	48%	0.25	15.4	1.66%	0	0.8	56	NAN
3	Apr_21_2011	35.6	37.66	37.79	37.35	37.2	37.83	38.06(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	12	110	22	-19	0.26	50%	0.2	19.5	1.65%	0	0.7	57	NAN
4	Apr_20_2011	35.53	37.63	37.8	37.34	37.11	37.16	37.66(2.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-10	14	-13	0.28	50%	0.23	35.2	1.66%	0	0	57	NAN
5	Apr_19_2011	35.45	37.63	37.86	37.43	37.17	36.57	36.82(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-130	-31	-19	0.14	47%	0.17	56	1.64%	0	-1.2	45	NAN

6	Apr_18_2011	35.39	37.59	37.95	37.69	37.56	37.07	36.44(-3.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-34	-100	-43	-5	0.31	47%	0.11	76.4	1.64%	0	-1.9	49	NAN
7	Apr_15_2011	35.35	37.63	38.1	38.1	38.02	37.77	37.76(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-50	-19	35	0.26	51%	0.08	90.6	1.57%	0	0.2	62	NAN
8	Apr_14_2011	35.32	37.54	38.07	38.27	38.24	38.06	38.04(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-40	-11	53	0.1	54%	0.14	80.1	1.58%	0	0.6	67	NAN
9	Apr_13_2011	35.27	37.42	37.99	38.31	38.42	38.27	38.1(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-20	-6	54	0.03	54%	0.17	60.4	1.61%	0	0.7	57	NAN
10	Apr_12_2011	35.21	37.24	37.94	38.37	38.42	38.42	38.1(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	10	-1	67	0.05	59%	0.14	48.4	1.61%	0	0.8	65	NAN

11	Apr_11_2011	35.16	37.13	37.83	38.26	38.4	38.58	38.52(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	40	16	67	0.14	59%	0.11	41.1	1.72%	0	1.3	70	NAN
12	Apr_8_2011	35.12	37.02	37.68	38.08	38.13	38.38	38.6(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	50	16	60	0.07	59%	0.14	36.7	1.72%	0	1.6	67	NAN
13	Apr_7_2011	35.07	36.9	37.51	37.85	37.89	38.21	38.24(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	60	20	59	0.05	59%	0.14	30.2	1.73%	0	1.4	73	NAN
14	Apr_6_2011	35.02	36.8	37.43	37.63	37.66	37.88	38.38(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	31	40	19	67	0.05	57%	0.14	19.7	1.73%	0	1.8	78	NAN
15	Apr_5_2011	34.97	36.73	37.27	37.46	37.38	37.58	37.56(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	30	9	77	0.92	55%	0.09	17.2	1.73%	0	1	80	NAN

16	Apr_4_2011	34.94	36.7	37.18	37.33	37.32	37.45	37.64(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	20	16	82	0.04	55%	0.11	18.1	1.73%	0	1.2	62	NAN
17	Apr_1_2011	34.9	36.66	37.11	37.2	37.09	37.18	37.42(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	3	77	0.18	55%	0.09	12.9	1.72%	0	1	56	NAN
18	Mar_31_2011	34.87	36.62	36.96	37.12	37.09	37.19	37.16(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	20	3	69	0.13	55%	0.06	10.6	1.73%	0	0.7	55	NAN
19	Mar_30_2011	34.85	36.63	36.8	37.19	37.05	37.01	37.5(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-20	7	69	0.27	55%	0.06	20.3	1.73%	0	1.1	58	NAN
20	Mar_29_2011	34.83	36.59	36.49	37.05	37.04	36.91	36.92(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-30	-3	33	0.09	55%	0.03	21.5	1.72%	0	0.5	47	NAN

21	Mar_28_2011	34.82	36.59	36.39	37.01	37.02	37.08	37.02(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	5	10	-0	21	0.06	55%	0.03	23.8	1.72%	0	0.6	48	NAN
22	Mar_25_2011	34.81	36.56	36.32	36.99	36.93	37.17	36.98(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	40	15	23	0.1	55%	0	18.5	1.71%	0	0.6	50	NAN
23	Mar_24_2011	34.81	36.54	36.26	36.78	36.81	36.95	37.54(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	30	27	13	0.19	55%	0.06	4	1.71%	0	1.4	53	NAN
24	Mar_23_2011	34.79	36.47	36.11	36.34	36.51	36.95	36.8(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	50	21	-23	0.24	53%	0.03	-21.9	1.71%	0	0.5	46	NAN
25	Mar_22_2011	34.78	36.43	36.14	35.84	36.22	36.68	36.72(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	120	25	-46	0.25	53%		-46.7	1.71%	0	0.4	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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