Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $37.6200 (1.95%) ($37.0200 - $37.6200) on Wed. Feb. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $37.6200(1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.1(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.08(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.77(2.31%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.71% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.4%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.6%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.07%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.9%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.73%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2011	34.42	36.77	37.08	37.1	36.96	37.12	37.62(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	20	14	25	0.12	49%	0.12	95.9	1.64%	0	1.3	56	0
2	Feb_15_2011	34.38	36.65	37.03	37.02	36.8	36.85	36.9(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10	-2	24	0.08	47%	0.12	108.1	1.65%	0	0.4	57	0
3	Feb_14_2011	34.34	36.56	37.08	37.09	36.87	36.8	36.94(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-30	0	40	0.53	47%	0.09	130.9	1.65%	0	0.5	58	0
4	Feb_11_2011	34.31	36.47	37.02	37.08	36.87	36.75	37.12(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-50	-5	37	0.27	45%	0.15	136.5	1.65%	0	0.8	55	0
5	Feb_10_2011	34.26	36.33	37.02	37.08	36.95	36.95	36.9(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10	-6	28	0.04	45%	0.15	125.8	1.68%	0	0.6	57	0

6	Feb_9_2011	34.21	36.18	36.88	37.08	36.98	37.15	37.26(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	30	8	47	0.42	45%	0.12	112.8	1.67%	0	1	65	0
7	Feb_8_2011	34.17	35.93	36.78	37.04	36.86	36.95	37.24(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	0	2	54	0.39	45%	0.15	85.4	1.67%	0	1	67	0
8	Feb_7_2011	34.12	35.67	36.67	37.08	36.9	36.81	36.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-30	4	70	0.26	45%	0.15	72.3	1.67%	0	0.8	67	0
9	Feb_4_2011	34.07	35.45	36.63	36.95	36.97	36.78	36.9(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-30	4	77	0.36	43%	0.15	63.7	1.7%	0	0.9	67	0
10	Feb_3_2011	34.02	35.23	36.57	36.69	36.84	37	36.92(-0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	40	-2	81	0.16	43%	0.12	57.4	1.71%	0	1	72	0

11	Feb_2_2011	33.98	35.03	36.44	36.68	36.69	37.17	37.22(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	90	23	109	0.1	45%	0.15	58.5	1.71%	0	1.2	77	0
12	Feb_1_2011	33.93	34.81	36.24	36.49	36.57	36.68	37.44(3.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	30	26	131	0.38	44%	0.15	58.3	1.73%	0	1.5	84	0
13	Jan_31_2011	33.88	34.58	35.99	36.23	36.36	36.21	36.26(1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	-20	-8	138	0.51	41%	0.15	57.8	1.7%	0	1	82	0
14	Jan_28_2011	33.83	34.4	35.87	36.28	36.3	36.47	35.6(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	39	30	-6	173	0.15	41%	0.12	60	1.69%	0	0.7	76	0
15	Jan_27_2011	33.79	34.24	35.74	36.41	36.33	36.51	36.86(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	72	30	23	220	0.78	43%	0.18	61.1	1.65%	0	1.6	86	0

16	Jan_26_2011	33.73	34.02	35.43	36.15	36.17	36.14	36.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	-0	11	214	0.37	43%	0.18	60.2	1.64%	0	1.4	75	0
17	Jan_25_2011	33.67	33.82	35.02	35.94	35.96	36.15	36.16(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	40	9	198	0.39	43%	0.06	59.3	1.64%	0	1.5	75	0
18	Jan_24_2011	33.65	33.63	34.61	35.71	35.78	36.21	36.52(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	90	31	188	0.07	43%	0.15	60.1	1.64%	0	2	79	0
19	Jan_21_2011	33.6	33.43	34.18	35.39	35.45	35.76	36.24(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	70	34	170	0.29	43%	0.15	59.2	1.63%	0	2.1	78	0
20	Jan_20_2011	33.55	33.24	33.78	34.97	35.06	35.35	35.56(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	70	26	144	0.12	44%	0.15	58.6	1.62%	0	2	78	0

21	Jan_19_2011	33.5	33.08	33.5	34.59	34.77	35.13	35.24(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	90	43	132	0.24	42%	0.18	53.6	1.65%	0	2.2	74	0
22	Jan_18_2011	33.44	32.93	33.25	33.95	34.27	34.77	35(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	60	130	47	100	0.29	42%	0.24	35.6	1.67%	0	2.4	74	0
23	Jan_14_2011	33.36	32.78	33.02	33.32	33.52	34.41	34.92(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	56	200	52	68	0.14	42%	0.18	13.8	1.67%	0	3	71	0
24	Jan_13_2011	33.3	32.66	32.79	32.78	32.8	33.78	34.12(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	53	210	57	39	0.16	40%	0.12	-10.3	1.65%	0	2.9	64	0
25	Jan_12_2011	33.26	32.58	32.6	32.43	32.33	32.62	33.68(5.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	25	50	32	3	0.09	40%		-41	1.66%	0	2.9	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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