Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $36.2800 (0.33%) ($36.0000 - $36.4200) on Wed. Jan. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $36.2800(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.15(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.43(2.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.02(6.64%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   20.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.7% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.85%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.09%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2011	33.73	34.02	35.43	36.15	36.17	36.14	36.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	-0	11	214	0.37	43%	0.18	60.2	1.64%	0	1.4	75	NAN
2	Jan_25_2011	33.67	33.82	35.02	35.94	35.96	36.15	36.16(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	40	9	198	0.39	43%	0.06	59.3	1.64%	0	1.5	75	NAN
3	Jan_24_2011	33.65	33.63	34.61	35.71	35.78	36.21	36.52(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	90	31	188	0.07	43%	0.15	60.1	1.64%	0	2	79	NAN
4	Jan_21_2011	33.6	33.43	34.18	35.39	35.45	35.76	36.24(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	70	34	170	0.29	43%	0.15	59.2	1.63%	0	2.1	78	NAN
5	Jan_20_2011	33.55	33.24	33.78	34.97	35.06	35.35	35.56(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	70	26	144	0.12	44%	0.15	58.6	1.62%	0	2	78	NAN

6	Jan_19_2011	33.5	33.08	33.5	34.59	34.77	35.13	35.24(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	65	90	43	132	0.24	42%	0.18	53.6	1.65%	0	2.2	74	NAN
7	Jan_18_2011	33.44	32.93	33.25	33.95	34.27	34.77	35(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	60	130	47	100	0.29	42%	0.24	35.6	1.67%	0	2.4	74	NAN
8	Jan_14_2011	33.36	32.78	33.02	33.32	33.52	34.41	34.92(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	56	200	52	68	0.14	42%	0.18	13.8	1.67%	0	3	71	NAN
9	Jan_13_2011	33.3	32.66	32.79	32.78	32.8	33.78	34.12(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	53	210	57	39	0.16	40%	0.12	-10.3	1.65%	0	2.9	64	NAN
10	Jan_12_2011	33.26	32.58	32.6	32.43	32.33	32.62	33.68(5.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	25	50	32	3	0.09	40%	0.15	-41	1.66%	0	2.9	60	NAN

11	Jan_11_2011	33.21	32.56	32.47	32.28	32.17	31.83	32.02(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-80	-18	-29	0.06	33%	0.03	-44.2	1.52%	0	-1.6	37	NAN
12	Jan_10_2011	33.2	32.63	32.52	32.46	32.36	32.05	31.84(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-29	-80	-31	-22	0.08	33%	0.06	-13.3	1.52%	0	-2.1	43	NAN
13	Jan_7_2011	33.18	32.68	32.6	32.67	32.7	32.52	32.26(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-9	-40	-13	2	0.38	33%	0.06	4	1.52%	0	-1.3	54	NAN
14	Jan_6_2011	33.16	32.72	32.64	32.77	32.7	32.68	32.34(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-30	-7	11	0.63	33%	0.03	20	1.52%	0	-1.2	42	NAN
15	Jan_5_2011	33.15	32.74	32.68	32.78	32.86	32.89	32.94(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	10	-0	15	1.25	40%	0.03	41.3	1.5%	0	0.7	55	NAN

16	Jan_4_2011	33.14	32.71	32.66	32.69	32.8	33.04	32.92(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	60	13	7	0.4	38%	0.06	63.2	1.59%	0	0.7	40	NAN
17	Jan_3_2011	33.12	32.68	32.6	32.59	32.65	32.83	32.88(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	40	13	-10	0.31	38%	0.03	71.4	1.62%	0	0.6	39	NAN
18	Dec_31_2010	33.11	32.67	32.6	32.52	32.53	32.56	32.76(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	10	4	-26	0.17	38%	0.06	79.6	1.63%	0	0.3	47	NAN
19	Dec_30_2010	33.09	32.65	32.53	32.51	32.47	32.48	32.38(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-0	-5	-31	0.22	38%	0.03	74.3	1.63%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
20	Dec_29_2010	33.08	32.61	32.56	32.58	32.55	32.5	32.52(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10	-1	-27	0.02	38%	-0.06	54.3	1.63%	0	-0.2	47	NAN

21	Dec_28_2010	33.1	32.51	32.64	32.61	32.59	32.46	32.42(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-30	-5	-16	0.02	38%	-0.03	13.6	1.63%	0	-0.1	54	NAN
22	Dec_27_2010	33.11	32.45	32.74	32.6	32.65	32.59	32.54(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-3	-10	-2	-4	0.04	38%	-0.03	-8.7	1.64%	0	0.1	56	NAN
23	Dec_23_2010	33.12	32.42	32.78	32.54	32.67	32.72	32.7(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	20	2	-6	0.2	42%	-0.03	-25.1	1.71%	0	0.4	48	NAN
24	Dec_22_2010	33.13	32.41	32.79	32.56	32.54	32.71	32.72(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	30	4	1	0.06	42%	-0.06	-30.3	1.72%	0	0.4	55	NAN
25	Dec_21_2010	33.15	32.39	32.8	32.54	32.52	32.62	32.68(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	20	2	13	1.26	42%		-37.5	1.72%	0	0.4	64	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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