Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 3, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $32.8600 (1.55%) ($32.3400 - $32.8800) on Fri. Dec. 3, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $32.8600(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23.34(-28.97%)
Resistance Level   $33.36
5 Day Moving Average   $31.58(4.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.22(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.36(-1.5%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.65% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2010	33.05	33.36	32.22	31.58	31.51	32.23	32.86(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	150	33	-107	0.1	49%	0.03	-69.5	1.76%	0	-0.3	41	0
2	Dec_2_2010	33.04	33.54	32.33	31.38	31.09	31.56	32.36(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	80	20	-128	0.28	49%	0.03	-64.9	1.75%	0	-0.7	37	0
3	Dec_1_2010	33.03	33.73	32.44	31.42	31.1	30.8	31.44(4.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-44	-100	-6	-157	0.76	50%	0	-60.5	1.72%	0	-1.3	28	0
4	Nov_30_2010	33.03	33.96	32.64	31.6	31.38	30.62	30.22(-2.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-89	-190	-56	-187	0.09	44%	0	-58.2	1.72%	0	-2.2	16	0
5	Nov_29_2010	33.03	34.22	33.05	32.26	31.93	31.4	31(-2.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-84	-150	-57	-166	0.29	46%	0	-57.5	1.72%	0	-2.1	17	0

6	Nov_26_2010	33.03	34.48	33.4	32.94	32.58	32.14	31.9(-1.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-61	-130	-36	-135	0.14	48%	0.09	-52.1	1.7%	0	-1.9	19	0
7	Nov_24_2010	33	34.68	33.67	33.41	33.15	32.46	32.54(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-56	-170	-31	-131	0.27	50%	0.12	-48.8	1.67%	0	-1.8	18	0
8	Nov_23_2010	32.96	34.83	33.94	33.6	33.6	33.01	32.32(-3.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-61	-120	-37	-132	0.54	50%	-0.03	-51.3	1.69%	0	-2.3	22	0
9	Nov_22_2010	32.97	34.99	34.26	33.83	33.86	33.83	33.54(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-0	-16	-121	0.2	54%	0.15	-51.7	1.63%	0	-1.6	30	0
10	Nov_19_2010	32.92	35.11	34.47	33.96	33.9	34.19	34.42(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	50	9	-104	0.03	54%	0.18	-51.6	1.6%	0	-0.8	45	0

11	Nov_18_2010	32.86	35.18	34.59	33.95	33.95	33.88	34.24(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10	5	-104	0.37	54%	0.21	-49.8	1.66%	0	-1.1	38	0
12	Nov_17_2010	32.79	35.27	34.82	34.01	34	33.6	33.5(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-80	-29	-110	0.3	51%	0.18	-49.2	1.64%	0	-2.1	31	0
13	Nov_16_2010	32.73	35.39	35.1	34.35	34.23	34.02	33.45(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-45	-50	-32	-84	0.08	51%	0.12	-40.6	1.64%	0	-2.6	39	0
14	Nov_15_2010	32.69	35.48	35.37	34.75	34.59	34.4	34.2(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-50	-17	-52	0.03	54%	0.15	-31.4	1.62%	0	-2.1	42	0
15	Nov_12_2010	32.64	35.56	35.48	35.04	34.92	34.43	34.36(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-110	-25	-44	0.07	54%	0.15	-11.8	1.62%	0	-2.2	40	0

16	Nov_11_2010	32.59	35.62	35.64	35.32	35.19	34.77	34.52(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-41	-90	-42	-36	0.05	47%	0.15	8.5	1.62%	0	-2.4	39	0
17	Nov_10_2010	32.54	35.69	35.79	35.77	35.55	35.42	35.24(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-14	-40	-18	-2	0.63	49%	0.15	53.6	1.78%	0	-1.1	44	0
18	Nov_9_2010	32.49	35.7	35.79	35.96	35.95	35.6	35.44(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-70	-7	8	0.1	49%	0.15	70.7	1.78%	0	-0.6	48	0
19	Nov_8_2010	32.44	35.67	35.8	36.07	36.02	35.69	35.64(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-70	-17	15	0.2	49%	0.12	77.3	1.78%	0	-0.1	59	0
20	Nov_5_2010	32.4	35.63	35.81	35.98	36.15	36.3	35.78(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	40	1	17	0.14	49%	0.15	84.3	1.78%	0	0.3	50	0

21	Nov_4_2010	32.35	35.58	35.82	35.99	36.01	36.35	36.74(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	70	20	30	0.33	52%	0.19	86.8	1.75%	0	2.1	61	0
22	Nov_3_2010	32.29	35.47	35.73	35.82	35.78	35.99	36.2(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	40	16	22	0.08	52%	0.16	92.4	1.74%	0	1.4	54	0
23	Nov_2_2010	32.24	35.39	35.68	35.62	35.74	35.67	36(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-0	10	13	0.02	56%	0.22	91.2	1.74%	0	1.2	55	0
24	Nov_1_2010	32.17	35.31	35.57	35.5	35.55	35.56	35.18(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	10	-10	-1	0.06	53%	0.19	68.7	1.77%	0	-0.2	56	0
25	Oct_29_2010	32.11	35.21	35.64	35.61	35.56	35.8	35.82(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	40	7	22	0.03	56%		68.1	1.76%	0	0.8	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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