Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $35.6800 (0.85%) ($35.4400 - $35.7000) on Thu. Oct. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $35.6800(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(73%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.08(1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.61(3.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.83(5.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.71%(40%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 2.73%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.5%(40%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 2.82%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.57%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2010	31.28	33.83	34.61	35.08	35.09	35.47	35.68(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	80	24	88	0.06	59%	0.29	71	1.88%	0	1.8	69	NAN
2	Oct_13_2010	31.19	33.66	34.4	34.85	34.88	34.97	35.38(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	20	15	87	0.09	59%	0.22	75	1.88%	0	1.8	75	NAN
3	Oct_12_2010	31.12	33.51	34.19	34.68	34.73	34.7	34.74(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-0	1	79	0.14	59%	0.23	82.9	1.88%	0	1.4	66	NAN
4	Oct_11_2010	31.05	33.4	34.08	34.6	34.69	34.78	34.74(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	30	14	89	0.01	59%	0.16	92.8	1.88%	0	1.5	65	NAN
5	Oct_8_2010	31	33.27	33.92	34.26	34.52	34.75	34.84(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	70	17	78	0.9	59%	0.23	82.7	1.88%	0	1.7	67	NAN

6	Oct_7_2010	30.93	33.1	33.77	34.06	34.11	34.61	34.54(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	110	18	83	0.11	64%	0.19	80.1	1.88%	0	1.6	70	NAN
7	Oct_6_2010	30.87	32.95	33.55	33.88	33.91	34.28	34.52(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	80	27	73	0.09	64%	0.19	75.5	1.99%	0	1.7	65	NAN
8	Oct_5_2010	30.81	32.78	33.37	33.64	33.71	33.62	34.36(4.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10	10	59	0.08	64%	0.16	74.8	2%	0	1.7	63	NAN
9	Oct_4_2010	30.76	32.6	33.21	33.49	33.52	33.53	33.02(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	0	-9	48	0.11	61%	0.13	84.1	1.96%	0	0.5	55	NAN
10	Oct_1_2010	30.72	32.54	33.18	33.51	33.58	33.81	33.88(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	50	12	62	0.06	64%	0.13	93.5	1.93%	0	1.6	65	NAN

11	Sep_30_2010	30.68	32.41	32.99	33.44	33.42	33.52	33.6(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	20	15	64	0.88	64%	0.07	105.1	1.95%	0	1.5	69	NAN
12	Sep_29_2010	30.66	32.28	32.87	33.16	33.32	33.35	33.36(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	20	8	56	0.08	58%	0.07	104.3	1.95%	0	1.3	69	NAN
13	Sep_28_2010	30.64	32.11	32.77	33.04	33.06	33.32	33.58(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	60	6	59	0.04	58%	0.07	89.8	2.06%	0	1.6	73	NAN
14	Sep_27_2010	30.62	31.91	32.66	32.89	32.96	33.3	33.14(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	80	17	72	0.08	58%	0.13	75.2	2.06%	0	1.2	73	NAN
15	Sep_24_2010	30.58	31.77	32.57	32.79	32.86	32.8	33.5(4.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10	17	72	0.16	58%	0.2	73.4	2.06%	0	1.7	63	NAN

16	Sep_23_2010	30.52	31.57	32.38	32.48	32.61	32.63	32.2(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	20	-7	50	0.05	53%	0.03	61.1	2.04%	0	0.6	59	NAN
17	Sep_22_2010	30.51	31.45	32.31	32.52	32.55	32.92	32.79(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	80	12	65	0.24	53%	0.03	50.4	2.02%	0	1.2	68	NAN
18	Sep_21_2010	30.5	31.29	32.15	32.46	32.39	32.6	32.84(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	40	14	75	0.34	53%	-0.03	39.3	2.05%	0	1.4	76	NAN
19	Sep_20_2010	30.51	31.15	31.95	32.4	32.39	32.6	32.62(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	22	-30	2	81	0.28	53%	-0.03	35.4	2.05%	0	1.3	77	NAN
20	Sep_17_2010	30.52	31.02	31.86	32.33	32.25	32.18	31.96(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-20	-1	92	0.04	51%	-0.07	31.1	2.04%	0	0.9	64	NAN

21	Sep_16_2010	30.54	30.95	31.8	32.24	32.3	32.32	32.4(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	10	9	109	0.01	51%	-0.03	25.5	2.03%	0	1.4	71	NAN
22	Sep_15_2010	30.55	30.9	31.66	32.04	32.11	32.33	32.46(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	50	12	115	0.03	57%	-0.03	21.8	2.03%	0	1.6	72	NAN
23	Sep_14_2010	30.56	30.85	31.4	31.78	31.93	32.28	32.56(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	90	23	104	0.04	57%	-0.13	5.3	2.15%	0	1.8	73	NAN
24	Sep_13_2010	30.6	30.77	31.09	31.43	31.63	31.9	32.26(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	80	14	79	0.06	57%	-0.13	-18.1	2.16%	0	1.8	64	NAN
25	Sep_10_2010	30.64	30.7	30.89	31.33	31.32	31.59	31.54(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	60	5	74	0.04	60%		-37.4	2.15%	0	1.1	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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