Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $32.5600 (0.93%) ($31.8800 - $32.7000) on Tue. Sep. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $32.5600(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.78(2.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.4(3.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.85(5.54%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20101014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2010	30.56	30.85	31.4	31.78	31.93	32.28	32.56(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	90	23	104	0.04	57%	-0.13	5.3	2.15%	0	1.8	73	0
2	Sep_13_2010	30.6	30.77	31.09	31.43	31.63	31.9	32.26(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	80	14	79	0.06	57%	-0.13	-18.1	2.16%	0	1.8	64	0
3	Sep_10_2010	30.64	30.7	30.89	31.33	31.32	31.59	31.54(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	60	5	74	0.04	60%	-0.13	-37.4	2.15%	0	1.1	61	0
4	Sep_9_2010	30.68	30.7	30.71	31.3	31.37	31.37	31.4(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	11	65	0.02	60%	-0.2	-50.8	2.26%	0	0.9	55	0
5	Sep_8_2010	30.74	30.69	30.52	31.22	31.29	31.04	31.12(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-50	1	42	0.03	60%	-0.19	-65.4	2.26%	0	0.5	45	0

6	Sep_7_2010	30.8	30.8	30.36	30.94	31.22	31.38	30.84(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	60	8	15	0.12	60%	-0.36	-60.1	2.26%	0	0	43	0
7	Sep_3_2010	30.91	30.92	30.29	30.67	30.92	31.54	31.76(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	160	24	0	0.04	56%	-0.19	-53.7	2.38%	0	0.7	52	0
8	Sep_2_2010	30.97	31	30.12	30.38	30.41	31.07	31.39(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	150	30	-19	0.03	59%	-0.23	-53.5	2.38%	0	0.3	50	0
9	Sep_1_2010	31.04	31.09	30.02	30.03	30.09	30.31	31(4.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	60	23	-44	0.04	59%	-0.19	-54.1	2.4%	0	-0.1	45	0
10	Aug_31_2010	31.1	31.21	30.05	29.74	29.83	29.75	29.72(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10	-0	-68	0.06	55%	-0.26	-53	2.37%	0	-0.9	31	0

11	Aug_30_2010	31.18	31.42	30.23	29.7	29.73	29.88	29.5(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-25	40	-4	-86	0.03	55%	-0.22	-50.6	2.39%	0	-1.2	19	0
12	Aug_27_2010	31.25	31.63	30.41	29.84	29.69	29.91	30.28(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	40	7	-93	0.07	61%	-0.19	-46.3	2.4%	0	-0.9	21	0
13	Aug_26_2010	31.31	31.75	30.49	29.82	29.77	29.57	29.66(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-50	-4	-108	0.04	58%	-0.22	-45.6	2.6%	0	-1.4	14	0
14	Aug_25_2010	31.38	31.91	30.67	30	29.85	29.48	29.56(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-100	-24	-122	0.11	58%	-0.22	-42.1	2.63%	0	-1.6	14	0
15	Aug_24_2010	31.45	32.07	30.88	30.41	30.26	29.98	29.5(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-46	-80	-21	-120	0.74	54%	-0.25	-30.2	2.63%	0	-1.9	12	0

16	Aug_23_2010	31.53	32.25	31.28	30.85	30.76	30.23	30.2(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-130	-14	-102	0.04	54%	-0.03	-17.3	2.67%	0	-1.7	13	0
17	Aug_20_2010	31.54	32.37	31.62	31.06	31.08	30.54	30.16(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-40	-120	-21	-97	0.07	55%	-0.25	-9.2	2.74%	0	-2	14	0
18	Aug_19_2010	31.62	32.47	31.96	31.26	31.33	31.28	30.6(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-0	-11	-80	0.12	55%	-0.19	0.6	2.77%	0	-1.8	36	0
19	Aug_18_2010	31.68	32.54	32.26	31.43	31.41	31.62	31.6(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	40	5	-65	0.04	57%	-0.13	5.6	2.75%	0	-0.9	41	0
20	Aug_17_2010	31.72	32.49	32.47	31.42	31.34	31.38	31.68(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	0	-6	-63	0.04	57%	-0.19	0.9	2.77%	0	-0.8	45	0

21	Aug_16_2010	31.78	32.46	32.68	31.81	31.41	31.19	31.24(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-90	-19	-49	0.08	57%	-0.16	8.8	2.76%	0	-1.1	37	0
22	Aug_13_2010	31.83	32.47	32.95	32.29	31.97	31.3	31.16(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-180	-23	-24	0.01	52%	-0.16	21.5	2.83%	0	-1.1	44	0
23	Aug_12_2010	31.88	32.46	33.12	32.78	32.57	31.62	31.46(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-220	-33	-6	0.02	52%	-0.13	32.8	2.85%	0	-0.9	52	0
24	Aug_11_2010	31.92	32.46	33.27	33.2	33.12	32.64	31.56(-6.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-18	-110	-29	17	0.35	52%	-0.16	46.4	2.85%	0	-0.8	54	0
25	Aug_10_2010	31.97	32.48	33.39	33.64	33.53	33.52	33.64(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10	-3	59	0.03	62%		61.3	2.75%	0	1	85	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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