Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 2, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $31.3900 (1.26%) ($31.1400 - $31.4200) on Thu. Sep. 2, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.38% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $31.3900(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.19% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.19% (StdDev 2.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.38(3.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.12(4.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31(1.26%)
To recent high   -7.3%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.45% (three month std-dev: 2.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.26%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.86%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101002

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_2_2010	30.97	31	30.12	30.38	30.41	31.07	31.39(1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	150	30	-19	0.03	59%	-0.23	-53.5	2.38%	0	0.3	50	NAN
2	Sep_1_2010	31.04	31.09	30.02	30.03	30.09	30.31	31(4.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	60	23	-44	0.04	59%	-0.19	-54.1	2.4%	0	-0.1	45	NAN
3	Aug_31_2010	31.1	31.21	30.05	29.74	29.83	29.75	29.72(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10	-0	-68	0.06	55%	-0.26	-53	2.37%	0	-0.9	31	NAN
4	Aug_30_2010	31.18	31.42	30.23	29.7	29.73	29.88	29.5(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-25	40	-4	-86	0.03	55%	-0.22	-50.6	2.39%	0	-1.2	19	NAN
5	Aug_27_2010	31.25	31.63	30.41	29.84	29.69	29.91	30.28(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	40	7	-93	0.07	61%	-0.19	-46.3	2.4%	0	-0.9	21	NAN

6	Aug_26_2010	31.31	31.75	30.49	29.82	29.77	29.57	29.66(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-50	-4	-108	0.04	58%	-0.22	-45.6	2.6%	0	-1.4	14	NAN
7	Aug_25_2010	31.38	31.91	30.67	30	29.85	29.48	29.56(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-100	-24	-122	0.11	58%	-0.22	-42.1	2.63%	0	-1.6	14	NAN
8	Aug_24_2010	31.45	32.07	30.88	30.41	30.26	29.98	29.5(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-46	-80	-21	-120	0.74	54%	-0.25	-30.2	2.63%	0	-1.9	12	NAN
9	Aug_23_2010	31.53	32.25	31.28	30.85	30.76	30.23	30.2(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-130	-14	-102	0.04	54%	-0.03	-17.3	2.67%	0	-1.7	13	NAN
10	Aug_20_2010	31.54	32.37	31.62	31.06	31.08	30.54	30.16(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-40	-120	-21	-97	0.07	55%	-0.25	-9.2	2.74%	0	-2	14	NAN

11	Aug_19_2010	31.62	32.47	31.96	31.26	31.33	31.28	30.6(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-0	-11	-80	0.12	55%	-0.19	0.6	2.77%	0	-1.8	36	NAN
12	Aug_18_2010	31.68	32.54	32.26	31.43	31.41	31.62	31.6(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	40	5	-65	0.04	57%	-0.13	5.6	2.75%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
13	Aug_17_2010	31.72	32.49	32.47	31.42	31.34	31.38	31.68(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	0	-6	-63	0.04	57%	-0.19	0.9	2.77%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
14	Aug_16_2010	31.78	32.46	32.68	31.81	31.41	31.19	31.24(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-90	-19	-49	0.08	57%	-0.16	8.8	2.76%	0	-1.1	37	NAN
15	Aug_13_2010	31.83	32.47	32.95	32.29	31.97	31.3	31.16(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-180	-23	-24	0.01	52%	-0.16	21.5	2.83%	0	-1.1	44	NAN

16	Aug_12_2010	31.88	32.46	33.12	32.78	32.57	31.62	31.46(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-220	-33	-6	0.02	52%	-0.13	32.8	2.85%	0	-0.9	52	NAN
17	Aug_11_2010	31.92	32.46	33.27	33.2	33.12	32.64	31.56(-6.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-18	-110	-29	17	0.35	52%	-0.16	46.4	2.85%	0	-0.8	54	NAN
18	Aug_10_2010	31.97	32.48	33.39	33.64	33.53	33.52	33.64(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10	-3	59	0.03	62%	-0.09	61.3	2.75%	0	1	85	NAN
19	Aug_9_2010	32	32.37	33.32	33.68	33.63	33.6	33.64(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10	-0	67	0.05	62%	-0.09	73.6	3.1%	0	1.1	73	NAN
20	Aug_6_2010	32.03	32.23	33.19	33.72	33.67	33.54	33.62(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-30	2	77	0.13	57%	-0.09	86.3	3.1%	0	1.2	71	NAN

21	Aug_5_2010	32.06	32.09	33.01	33.52	33.68	33.66	33.54(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	10	3	75	0.01	55%	-0.09	95.6	3.28%	0	1.3	74	NAN
22	Aug_4_2010	32.09	31.96	32.83	33.36	33.41	33.79	33.74(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	80	8	74	0.05	51%	-0.12	107.6	3.31%	0	1.6	64	NAN
23	Aug_3_2010	32.13	31.79	32.5	33.11	33.2	33.7	33.86(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	110	16	64	0.37	51%	-0.06	106.5	3.4%	0	1.8	66	NAN
24	Aug_2_2010	32.15	31.55	32.21	32.9	32.89	33.03	33.82(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	30	12	55	0.06	51%	-0.09	109.9	3.4%	0	2.1	64	NAN
25	Jul_30_2010	32.18	31.28	31.93	32.59	32.69	32.69	32.62(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	3	44	0.04	50%		92.6	3.39%	0	1.2	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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