Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 27, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $30.2800 (2.09%) ($29.4800 - $30.3600) on Fri. Aug. 27, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $30.2800(2.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(72%)    IWM(69%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(12%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.11(-30.28%)
Resistance Level   $31.63
5 Day Moving Average   $29.84(1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.41(-0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.63(-4.27%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 5.47%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.83%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.1%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.65%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.1%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2010	31.25	31.63	30.41	29.84	29.69	29.91	30.28(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	40	7	-93	0.07	61%	-0.19	-46.3	2.4%	0	-0.9	21	NAN
2	Aug_26_2010	31.31	31.75	30.49	29.82	29.77	29.57	29.66(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-50	-4	-108	0.04	58%	-0.22	-45.6	2.6%	0	-1.4	14	NAN
3	Aug_25_2010	31.38	31.91	30.67	30	29.85	29.48	29.56(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-100	-24	-122	0.11	58%	-0.22	-42.1	2.63%	0	-1.6	14	NAN
4	Aug_24_2010	31.45	32.07	30.88	30.41	30.26	29.98	29.5(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-46	-80	-21	-120	0.74	54%	-0.25	-30.2	2.63%	0	-1.9	12	NAN
5	Aug_23_2010	31.53	32.25	31.28	30.85	30.76	30.23	30.2(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-130	-14	-102	0.04	54%	-0.03	-17.3	2.67%	0	-1.7	13	NAN

6	Aug_20_2010	31.54	32.37	31.62	31.06	31.08	30.54	30.16(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-40	-120	-21	-97	0.07	55%	-0.25	-9.2	2.74%	0	-2	14	NAN
7	Aug_19_2010	31.62	32.47	31.96	31.26	31.33	31.28	30.6(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-0	-11	-80	0.12	55%	-0.19	0.6	2.77%	0	-1.8	36	NAN
8	Aug_18_2010	31.68	32.54	32.26	31.43	31.41	31.62	31.6(-0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	40	5	-65	0.04	57%	-0.13	5.6	2.75%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
9	Aug_17_2010	31.72	32.49	32.47	31.42	31.34	31.38	31.68(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	0	-6	-63	0.04	57%	-0.19	0.9	2.77%	0	-0.8	45	NAN
10	Aug_16_2010	31.78	32.46	32.68	31.81	31.41	31.19	31.24(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-90	-19	-49	0.08	57%	-0.16	8.8	2.76%	0	-1.1	37	NAN

11	Aug_13_2010	31.83	32.47	32.95	32.29	31.97	31.3	31.16(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-180	-23	-24	0.01	52%	-0.16	21.5	2.83%	0	-1.1	44	NAN
12	Aug_12_2010	31.88	32.46	33.12	32.78	32.57	31.62	31.46(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-220	-33	-6	0.02	52%	-0.13	32.8	2.85%	0	-0.9	52	NAN
13	Aug_11_2010	31.92	32.46	33.27	33.2	33.12	32.64	31.56(-6.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-18	-110	-29	17	0.35	52%	-0.16	46.4	2.85%	0	-0.8	54	NAN
14	Aug_10_2010	31.97	32.48	33.39	33.64	33.53	33.52	33.64(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	13	-10	-3	59	0.03	62%	-0.09	61.3	2.75%	0	1	85	NAN
15	Aug_9_2010	32	32.37	33.32	33.68	33.63	33.6	33.64(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10	-0	67	0.05	62%	-0.09	73.6	3.1%	0	1.1	73	NAN

16	Aug_6_2010	32.03	32.23	33.19	33.72	33.67	33.54	33.62(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-30	2	77	0.13	57%	-0.09	86.3	3.1%	0	1.2	71	NAN
17	Aug_5_2010	32.06	32.09	33.01	33.52	33.68	33.66	33.54(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	10	3	75	0.01	55%	-0.09	95.6	3.28%	0	1.3	74	NAN
18	Aug_4_2010	32.09	31.96	32.83	33.36	33.41	33.79	33.74(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	80	8	74	0.05	51%	-0.12	107.6	3.31%	0	1.6	64	NAN
19	Aug_3_2010	32.13	31.79	32.5	33.11	33.2	33.7	33.86(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	110	16	64	0.37	51%	-0.06	106.5	3.4%	0	1.8	66	NAN
20	Aug_2_2010	32.15	31.55	32.21	32.9	32.89	33.03	33.82(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	30	12	55	0.06	51%	-0.09	109.9	3.4%	0	2.1	64	NAN

21	Jul_30_2010	32.18	31.28	31.93	32.59	32.69	32.69	32.62(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	10	3	44	0.04	50%	-0.12	92.6	3.39%	0	1.2	63	NAN
22	Jul_29_2010	32.22	31.07	31.73	32.43	32.59	32.76	32.76(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	50	8	40	0.48	51%	-0.09	79.7	3.4%	0	1.4	63	NAN
23	Jul_28_2010	32.25	30.82	31.6	32.22	32.25	32.68	32.48(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	100	14	40	0.03	51%	-0.12	59.8	3.41%	0	1.2	62	NAN
24	Jul_27_2010	32.29	30.59	31.48	31.77	31.98	32.43	32.84(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	120	21	33	0.22	48%	-0.09	40.3	3.41%	0	1.5	68	NAN
25	Jul_26_2010	32.32	30.41	31.32	31.4	31.42	31.81	32.27(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	90	11	31	0.06	48%		30.2	3.47%	0	1.3	74	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.