Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $30.5800 (-3.17%) ($30.5800 - $31.3800) on Fri. Jul. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.41% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $30.5800(-3.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(73%)    IWM(70%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-34%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.705% (StdDev 3.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.17(-1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.6(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.98(2%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.1% (three month std-dev: 3.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.99%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.79%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2010	32.53	29.98	30.6	31.17	31.27	31.22	30.58(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-0	-3	80	0.26	44%	-0.09	22.9	3.41%	0	0.5	58	NAN
2	Jul_15_2010	32.56	29.99	30.41	31.25	31.21	31.36	31.58(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	30	5	85	0.06	44%	-0.09	33.9	3.4%	0	1.3	67	NAN
3	Jul_14_2010	32.59	29.94	30.02	31.11	31.03	31.32	31.36(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	60	8	70	0.41	45%	-0.09	47.1	3.4%	0	1.2	58	NAN
4	Jul_13_2010	32.62	29.91	29.66	30.94	30.89	31.05	31.46(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	30	17	56	0.56	45%	-0.09	60.3	3.41%	0	1.3	56	NAN
5	Jul_12_2010	32.65	29.8	29.42	30.43	30.53	30.75	30.88(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	60	14	30	0.03	45%	-0.12	62.9	3.4%	0	0.9	48	NAN

6	Jul_9_2010	32.69	29.7	29.26	29.94	30.11	30.74	30.98(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	160	22	7	0.3	46%	-0.12	60.5	3.41%	0	1.1	46	NAN
7	Jul_8_2010	32.73	29.57	29.05	29.42	29.53	30.31	30.86(1.11%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	19	200	31	-17	0.12	46%	-0.12	47.2	3.41%	0	1.2	47	NAN
8	Jul_7_2010	32.77	29.38	28.92	28.77	28.91	29.49	30.52(5.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	9	160	27	-45	0.15	45%	-0.15	21.5	3.41%	0	0.9	46	NAN
9	Jul_6_2010	32.82	29.21	28.85	28.22	28.4	28.75	28.92(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-14	110	7	-78	0.08	43%	-0.15	5.4	3.34%	0	-0.2	32	NAN
10	Jul_2_2010	32.87	29.1	29.02	28.27	28.15	28.34	28.4(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	30	-2	-75	0.06	43%	-0.18	-0.4	3.3%	0	-0.5	46	NAN

11	Jul_1_2010	32.93	29.03	29.28	28.48	28.37	28.06	28.4(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-90	-4	-58	0.08	44%	-0.21	-4.7	3.33%	0	-0.4	50	NAN
12	Jun_30_2010	33	29.05	29.53	28.62	28.63	27.96	27.6(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-160	-24	-50	0.03	44%	-0.21	2.1	3.29%	0	-1	49	NAN
13	Jun_29_2010	33.07	29.12	29.87	29.08	29	28.67	27.76(-4.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-90	-23	-13	0.07	44%	-0.15	13.6	3.29%	0	-0.9	60	NAN
14	Jun_28_2010	33.12	29.14	30.21	29.56	29.46	29.29	29.2(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-50	-10	32	0.03	46%	-0.15	22	3.24%	0	0	70	NAN
15	Jun_25_2010	33.17	29.11	30.26	29.88	29.74	29.33	29.46(1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-110	-16	60	0.33	46%	-0.15	25.8	3.25%	0	0.2	74	NAN

16	Jun_24_2010	33.22	29.1	30.22	30.22	30.2	29.63	29.06(-2.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-130	-19	86	0.24	46%	-0.24	37.1	3.24%	0	-0	69	NAN
17	Jun_23_2010	33.3	29.02	30.2	30.59	30.59	30.14	29.94(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-100	-15	104	0.4	46%	-0.21	37.7	3.23%	0	0.6	58	NAN
18	Jun_22_2010	33.37	28.92	29.93	30.76	30.82	30.77	30.12(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10	-9	105	0.11	46%	-0.18	39.6	3.23%	0	0.8	58	NAN
19	Jun_21_2010	33.43	28.82	29.63	30.96	30.86	31.04	30.82(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	30	9	118	0.08	46%	-0.15	41	3.22%	0	1.3	66	NAN
20	Jun_18_2010	33.48	28.73	29.21	30.68	30.76	30.88	31.14(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	40	15	100	0.02	46%	-0.15	38.6	3.22%	0	1.7	62	NAN

21	Jun_17_2010	33.53	28.56	28.77	30.23	30.43	30.69	30.94(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	80	16	69	0.07	46%	-0.18	23.2	3.22%	0	1.8	55	NAN
22	Jun_16_2010	33.59	28.45	28.51	29.74	29.89	30.64	30.8(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	190	30	66	0.73	46%	-0.18	5.3	3.22%	0	1.9	65	NAN
23	Jun_15_2010	33.65	28.32	28.28	28.96	29.3	30.16	31.11(5.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	43	240	42	47	0.22	46%	-0.21	-24.7	3.23%	0	2.5	61	NAN
24	Jun_14_2010	33.72	28.21	27.92	28.11	28.43	29.15	29.42(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	210	32	11	0.1	43%	-0.21	-66.7	3.14%	0	1.3	56	NAN
25	Jun_11_2010	33.79	28.18	27.81	27.52	27.72	28.44	28.89(1.51%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	16	200	27	-19	0.41	43%		-82.8	3.13%	0	0.8	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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