Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $31.8800 (-5.96%) ($31.6800 - $32.6000) on Tue. May. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $31.8800(-5.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    EEM(74%)    SPY(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.15(-21.11%)
Resistance Level   $35.65
5 Day Moving Average   $33.35(-4.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.44(-7.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.65(-10.58%)
To recent high   -16.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.6% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(71%) Average negative next day return: -3.02%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.95%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -5.65%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.88%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.44%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2010	36.7	35.65	34.44	33.35	33.46	33.01	31.88(-5.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-86	-80	-45	-208	0.24	42%	-0.22	-55.9	1.7%	0	-2.3	19	0
2	May_3_2010	36.78	35.92	34.96	33.73	33.83	33.86	33.9(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-60	20	-18	-184	0.24	46%	-0.14	-57.5	1.67%	0	-1.4	31	0
3	Apr_30_2010	36.83	36.1	35.21	34.12	34.01	33.9	33.52(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-30	-25	-173	0.05	51%	-0.16	-50.1	1.7%	0	-1.9	28	0
4	Apr_29_2010	36.89	36.29	35.54	34.66	34.52	33.81	34.02(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-160	-31	-148	0.07	51%	-0.14	-39.5	1.71%	0	-1.8	36	0
5	Apr_28_2010	36.94	36.43	35.92	35.05	35.01	34.12	33.42(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-80	-180	-64	-128	0.07	47%	-0.16	-32.5	1.69%	0	-2.7	37	0

6	Apr_27_2010	37	36.59	36.39	35.7	35.53	35.23	33.8(-5.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-55	-70	-49	-74	0.11	47%	-0.19	-21.4	1.72%	0	-3.2	38	0
7	Apr_26_2010	37.07	36.75	36.76	36.34	36.04	35.9	35.82(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-10	-50	-6	-23	0.04	52%	-0.11	0.6	1.57%	0	-1.6	43	0
8	Apr_23_2010	37.11	36.79	36.91	36.45	36.29	35.82	36.22(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-100	-17	-21	0.06	54%	-0.13	8.2	1.58%	0	-1.1	43	0
9	Apr_22_2010	37.16	36.78	36.97	36.57	36.39	36.18	36(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-60	-37	-27	0.04	51%	-0.11	7.9	1.59%	0	-1.4	42	0
10	Apr_21_2010	37.2	36.79	36.99	36.94	36.71	36.76	36.66(-0.87%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-7	-10	-9	1	0.12	50%	-0.11	17.4	1.6%	0	-0.2	53	0

11	Apr_20_2010	37.24	36.78	36.99	37.21	36.99	36.59	36.98(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-90	-7	15	0.05	47%	-0.08	27.7	1.64%	0	0.4	56	0
12	Apr_19_2010	37.27	36.78	36.96	37.26	37.21	36.65	36.38(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-21	-110	-32	11	0.05	46%	-0.08	30.4	1.67%	0	-0.6	49	0
13	Apr_16_2010	37.3	36.75	37.05	37.44	37.46	37.39	36.84(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10	-11	37	0.05	46%	0	37.3	1.67%	0	0.2	55	0
14	Apr_15_2010	37.3	36.74	37.09	37.4	37.51	37.76	37.86(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	60	24	62	0.06	46%	-0.11	38	1.65%	0	1.9	69	0
15	Apr_14_2010	37.34	36.69	36.95	37.04	37.18	37.54	37.98(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	33	80	28	48	0.39	46%	-0.05	29.2	1.68%	0	2.4	70	0

16	Apr_13_2010	37.36	36.62	36.78	36.69	36.71	37.27	37.26(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.3	22	110	20	26	0.08	44%	-0.11	22.2	1.66%	0	1.5	57	0
17	Apr_12_2010	37.4	36.57	36.72	36.63	36.47	36.83	37.26(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	60	22	27	0.18	44%	-0.08	21.4	1.67%	0	1.7	59	0
18	Apr_9_2010	37.43	36.53	36.64	36.64	36.34	36.15	36.66(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-60	-6	19	0.04	44%	-0.11	28.8	1.66%	0	0.3	55	0
19	Apr_8_2010	37.47	36.52	36.64	36.74	36.54	36.12	36.04(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-12	-100	-20	13	0.08	41%	-0.16	53.8	1.66%	0	-1.3	43	0
20	Apr_7_2010	37.53	36.54	36.57	36.83	36.82	36.53	36.24(-1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-8	-60	-14	11	0.06	41%	-0.13	79.2	1.66%	0	-0.8	41	0

21	Apr_6_2010	37.58	36.53	36.6	36.86	36.85	36.96	36.96(-0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	2	20	-2	15	0.21	43%	-0.13	96.3	1.64%	0	1.1	51	0
22	Apr_5_2010	37.63	36.49	36.53	36.8	36.79	37.11	37.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	60	20	20	0.01	43%	-0.21	120.2	1.64%	0	2.1	61	0
23	Apr_1_2010	37.71	36.42	36.42	36.64	36.64	36.73	37.2(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	20	19	9	0.08	46%	-0.11	113.7	1.65%	0	1.7	57	0
24	Mar_31_2010	37.75	36.32	36.36	36.38	36.48	36.48	36.48(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	10	3	-10	0.1	43%	-0.13	102.2	1.64%	0	0.3	51	0
25	Mar_30_2010	37.8	36.25	36.41	36.27	36.39	36.56	36.4(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	40	5	-9	0.04	43%		81	1.65%	0	0.2	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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