Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $37.2800 (0.22%) ($37.0000 - $37.3200) on Mon. Apr. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $37.2800(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    SPY(74%)    EEM(73%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.8(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.53(2.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.49(2.16%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.04% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.02%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.4%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2010	37.63	36.49	36.53	36.8	36.79	37.11	37.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	60	20	20	0.01	43%	-0.21	120.2	1.64%	0	2.1	61	NAN
2	Apr_1_2010	37.71	36.42	36.42	36.64	36.64	36.73	37.2(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	20	19	9	0.08	46%	-0.11	113.7	1.65%	0	1.7	57	NAN
3	Mar_31_2010	37.75	36.32	36.36	36.38	36.48	36.48	36.48(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	10	3	-10	0.1	43%	-0.13	102.2	1.64%	0	0.3	51	NAN
4	Mar_30_2010	37.8	36.25	36.41	36.27	36.39	36.56	36.4(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	40	5	-9	0.04	43%	-0.13	81	1.65%	0	0.2	52	NAN
5	Mar_29_2010	37.85	36.16	36.44	36.29	36.22	36.48	36.66(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	40	12	3	0.02	43%	-0.08	71.4	1.64%	0	0.7	60	NAN

6	Mar_26_2010	37.88	36.04	36.44	36.21	36.15	36.22	36.48(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	10	11	-1	0.05	43%	-0.11	57.3	1.63%	0	0.5	54	NAN
7	Mar_25_2010	37.92	35.92	36.41	36.17	36.05	35.96	35.9(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-30	-10	-8	0.01	43%	-0.08	45.6	1.63%	0	-0	50	NAN
8	Mar_24_2010	37.95	35.82	36.47	36.34	36.1	36.07	35.92(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-30	-14	13	0.04	43%	-0.08	42.5	1.64%	0	0.1	64	NAN
9	Mar_23_2010	37.98	35.74	36.51	36.56	36.34	36.15	36.48(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-50	-5	42	0.02	43%	-0.08	43.3	1.64%	0	0.7	71	NAN
10	Mar_22_2010	38.01	35.62	36.47	36.56	36.53	36.13	36.28(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-80	-15	57	0.03	43%	-0.05	41.9	1.64%	0	0.6	75	NAN

11	Mar_19_2010	38.03	35.55	36.46	36.62	36.69	36.52	36.26(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-30	-14	79	0.02	43%	-0.11	45.8	1.63%	0	0.7	77	NAN
12	Mar_18_2010	38.07	35.48	36.45	36.68	36.68	36.93	36.74(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	50	5	111	0.02	43%	-0.05	50.5	1.64%	0	1.2	84	NAN
13	Mar_17_2010	38.09	35.39	36.28	36.62	36.64	36.85	37.02(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	40	21	129	0.18	41%	-0.08	53.5	1.64%	0	1.6	90	NAN
14	Mar_16_2010	38.12	35.28	36.08	36.47	36.45	36.44	36.8(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-0	8	125	0.03	41%	-0.1	55.4	1.66%	0	1.6	79	NAN
15	Mar_15_2010	38.16	35.18	35.85	36.3	36.35	36.42	36.3(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	32	20	2	120	0.05	41%	-0.16	61	1.66%	0	1.2	78	NAN

16	Mar_12_2010	38.22	35.07	35.64	36.27	36.25	36.46	36.52(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	40	11	119	0.01	41%	-0.18	64.2	1.65%	0	1.6	65	NAN
17	Mar_11_2010	38.29	34.96	35.39	36.18	36.13	36.28	36.44(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	20	20	109	0.01	41%	-0.18	66.2	1.67%	0	1.8	62	NAN
18	Mar_10_2010	38.36	34.85	35.13	35.89	35.99	36.03	36.3(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	20	16	81	0.01	41%	-0.18	50.7	1.66%	0	1.9	60	NAN
19	Mar_9_2010	38.43	34.76	34.91	35.63	35.7	35.98	35.92(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	60	15	61	0.04	41%	-0.18	29.1	1.66%	0	1.7	59	NAN
20	Mar_8_2010	38.5	34.63	34.71	35.32	35.48	35.95	36.18(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	110	38	44	0.07	39%	-0.21	-3.5	1.66%	0	2.2	62	NAN

21	Mar_5_2010	38.58	34.5	34.55	34.91	35.04	35.41	36.06(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	32	90	34	25	0.08	39%	-0.18	-33.9	1.67%	0	2.5	68	NAN
22	Mar_4_2010	38.65	34.42	34.42	34.49	34.61	35.02	35(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	20	90	26	2	0.05	35%	-0.23	-77.2	1.63%	0	1.2	55	NAN
23	Mar_3_2010	38.74	34.48	34.41	34.24	34.27	34.68	35(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	19	90	28	-7	0.05	35%	-0.21	-70.1	1.63%	0	0.8	55	NAN
24	Mar_2_2010	38.82	34.57	34.39	34.08	33.89	34.19	34.38(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	50	14	-20	0.03	33%	-0.21	-59.9	1.61%	0	-0.2	48	NAN
25	Mar_1_2010	38.9	34.65	34.43	33.99	33.83	33.87	34.12(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10	2	-15	0.06	36%		-63.8	1.61%	0	-0.6	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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