Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $36.4400 (0.39%) ($36.2000 - $36.4400) on Thu. Mar. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $36.4400(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    EEM(74%)    SPY(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.18(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.39(2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.96(4.23%)
To recent high   -10.9%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 1.12%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.15%(40%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 2.33%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.32%(60%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 1.92%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.54%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2010	38.29	34.96	35.39	36.18	36.13	36.28	36.44(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	20	20	109	0.01	41%	-0.18	66.2	1.67%	0	1.8	62	0
2	Mar_10_2010	38.36	34.85	35.13	35.89	35.99	36.03	36.3(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	20	16	81	0.01	41%	-0.18	50.7	1.66%	0	1.9	60	0
3	Mar_9_2010	38.43	34.76	34.91	35.63	35.7	35.98	35.92(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	60	15	61	0.04	41%	-0.18	29.1	1.66%	0	1.7	59	0
4	Mar_8_2010	38.5	34.63	34.71	35.32	35.48	35.95	36.18(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	110	38	44	0.07	39%	-0.21	-3.5	1.66%	0	2.2	62	0
5	Mar_5_2010	38.58	34.5	34.55	34.91	35.04	35.41	36.06(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	32	90	34	25	0.08	39%	-0.18	-33.9	1.67%	0	2.5	68	0

6	Mar_4_2010	38.65	34.42	34.42	34.49	34.61	35.02	35(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	20	90	26	2	0.05	35%	-0.23	-77.2	1.63%	0	1.2	55	0
7	Mar_3_2010	38.74	34.48	34.41	34.24	34.27	34.68	35(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	19	90	28	-7	0.05	35%	-0.21	-70.1	1.63%	0	0.8	55	0
8	Mar_2_2010	38.82	34.57	34.39	34.08	33.89	34.19	34.38(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	50	14	-20	0.03	33%	-0.21	-59.9	1.61%	0	-0.2	48	0
9	Mar_1_2010	38.9	34.65	34.43	33.99	33.83	33.87	34.12(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10	2	-15	0.06	36%	-0.18	-63.8	1.61%	0	-0.6	62	0
10	Feb_26_2010	38.97	34.72	34.44	34.14	33.88	33.59	33.96(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-80	-18	-11	0.03	34%	-0.2	-66.4	1.69%	0	-0.8	54	0

11	Feb_25_2010	39.05	34.81	34.5	34.34	34.2	33.79	33.76(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-100	-26	-3	0.03	34%	-0.2	-69.2	1.7%	0	-1.1	45	0
12	Feb_24_2010	39.13	34.95	34.59	34.6	34.52	34.17	34.2(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-80	-21	-4	0.02	34%	-0.18	-67.5	1.7%	0	-0.7	35	0
13	Feb_23_2010	39.2	35.09	34.63	34.74	34.72	34.61	33.92(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-20	-18	-18	0.05	36%	-0.15	-71.7	1.7%	0	-1.1	30	0
14	Feb_22_2010	39.26	35.26	34.58	34.93	34.91	34.88	34.84(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10	9	-24	0.02	38%	-0.13	-72.9	1.69%	0	-0.4	41	0
15	Feb_19_2010	39.31	35.35	34.48	34.78	34.8	34.83	35(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	10	4	-50	0.05	35%	-0.13	-89.9	1.7%	0	-0.3	48	0

16	Feb_18_2010	39.36	35.48	34.43	34.68	34.59	34.95	35.04(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	70	12	-64	0.04	35%	-0.15	-95.9	1.72%	0	-0.3	46	0
17	Feb_17_2010	39.42	35.65	34.54	34.58	34.4	34.77	34.88(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	60	20	-70	0.04	35%	-0.15	-91.5	1.72%	0	-0.5	40	0
18	Feb_16_2010	39.48	35.89	34.73	34.52	34.29	34.22	34.88(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-30	17	-77	0.08	35%	-0.15	-80.7	1.72%	0	-0.6	38	0
19	Feb_12_2010	39.54	36.13	34.86	34.18	34.26	34.04	34.12(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-40	-6	-115	0.04	31%	-0.15	-80	1.71%	0	-1.1	33	0
20	Feb_11_2010	39.6	36.46	34.99	34.12	34.17	34.36	34.48(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	40	-2	-131	0.05	31%	-0.18	-73.1	1.71%	0	-0.9	39	0

21	Feb_10_2010	39.67	36.76	35.12	34.13	34.09	34.47	34.52(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	70	-2	-147	0.03	31%	-0.15	-68	1.72%	0	-1	35	0
22	Feb_9_2010	39.73	37.04	35.34	34.52	34.24	33.98	34.58(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-80	-19	-152	0.28	35%	-0.15	-62.6	1.72%	0	-1.1	32	0
23	Feb_8_2010	39.79	37.35	35.59	35.02	34.82	33.71	33.22(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-88	-240	-59	-173	0.09	30%	-0.2	-54.5	1.68%	0	-1.8	20	0
24	Feb_5_2010	39.87	37.72	36.02	35.63	35.65	34.51	33.78(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-90	-220	-64	-166	0.1	33%	-0.18	-48.5	1.67%	0	-1.8	23	0
25	Feb_4_2010	39.94	38.05	36.33	35.96	36.23	35.92	34.54(-5.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-71	-40	-37	-174	0.07	34%		-46.7	1.68%	0	-1.7	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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