Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $34.8800 (2.23%) ($34.0000 - $35.0400) on Tue. Feb. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $34.8800(2.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(88%)    EEM(74%)    SPY(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    TIP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.75(-26.18%)
Resistance Level   $35.89
5 Day Moving Average   $34.52(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.73(0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.89(-2.81%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.82% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 5.99%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.99%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2010	39.48	35.89	34.73	34.52	34.29	34.22	34.88(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-30	17	-77	0.08	35%	-0.15	-80.7	1.72%	0	-0.6	38	0
2	Feb_12_2010	39.54	36.13	34.86	34.18	34.26	34.04	34.12(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-40	-6	-115	0.04	31%	-0.15	-80	1.71%	0	-1.1	33	0
3	Feb_11_2010	39.6	36.46	34.99	34.12	34.17	34.36	34.48(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	40	-2	-131	0.05	31%	-0.18	-73.1	1.71%	0	-0.9	39	0
4	Feb_10_2010	39.67	36.76	35.12	34.13	34.09	34.47	34.52(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	70	-2	-147	0.03	31%	-0.15	-68	1.72%	0	-1	35	0
5	Feb_9_2010	39.73	37.04	35.34	34.52	34.24	33.98	34.58(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-52	-80	-19	-152	0.28	35%	-0.15	-62.6	1.72%	0	-1.1	32	0

6	Feb_8_2010	39.79	37.35	35.59	35.02	34.82	33.71	33.22(-1.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-88	-240	-59	-173	0.09	30%	-0.2	-54.5	1.68%	0	-1.8	20	0
7	Feb_5_2010	39.87	37.72	36.02	35.63	35.65	34.51	33.78(-2.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-90	-220	-64	-166	0.1	33%	-0.18	-48.5	1.67%	0	-1.8	23	0
8	Feb_4_2010	39.94	38.05	36.33	35.96	36.23	35.92	34.54(-5.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-71	-40	-37	-174	0.07	34%	-0.17	-46.7	1.68%	0	-1.7	23	0
9	Feb_3_2010	40.01	38.34	36.66	36.21	36.37	36.79	36.5(-1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	90	9	-183	0.02	38%	-0.1	-46.3	1.55%	0	-1	28	0
10	Feb_2_2010	40.05	38.51	36.87	36.27	36.22	36.54	37.08(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-33	60	20	-192	0.07	39%	-0.07	-45.8	1.54%	0	-0.8	34	0

11	Feb_1_2010	40.08	38.65	37.14	36.28	36.16	35.95	36.26(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-50	-11	-216	0.06	36%	-0.1	-45.2	1.52%	0	-1.3	26	0
12	Jan_29_2010	40.12	38.8	37.48	36.5	36.38	35.9	35.4(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-77	-100	-33	-210	0.14	35%	-0.12	-43.8	1.6%	0	-1.9	23	0
13	Jan_28_2010	40.17	39.02	38.02	36.77	36.83	36.38	35.8(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-70	-80	-32	-184	0.09	32%	-0.07	-43.5	1.68%	0	-2	27	0
14	Jan_27_2010	40.2	39.22	38.52	37.15	37.11	36.87	36.8(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-63	-50	-31	-159	0.02	33%	-0.07	-40.6	1.7%	0	-1.8	32	0
15	Jan_26_2010	40.23	39.37	38.86	37.54	37.49	37.29	37.14(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-40	-28	-139	0.04	31%	-0.07	-32.7	1.71%	0	-1.8	34	0

16	Jan_25_2010	40.26	39.5	39.23	38.14	37.94	37.35	37.38(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-120	-34	-105	0.02	31%	0	-18.9	1.74%	0	-1.9	36	0
17	Jan_22_2010	40.26	39.6	39.56	38.64	38.48	37.7	36.72(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-66	-150	-60	-82	0.07	28%	-0.02	-8.7	1.74%	0	-2.8	39	0
18	Jan_21_2010	40.27	39.72	39.93	39.47	39.19	38.53	37.72(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-46	-140	-50	-33	0.1	29%	0.02	16.5	1.72%	0	-2.6	42	0
19	Jan_20_2010	40.26	39.72	40.19	40.08	39.83	39.26	38.76(-3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-24	-120	-34	7	0.09	31%	0.05	45.1	1.69%	0	-1.7	46	0
20	Jan_19_2010	40.24	39.79	40.32	40.36	40.27	39.86	40.12(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-10	-80	-23	29	0.03	33%	0.1	53.6	1.65%	0	0.5	56	0

21	Jan_15_2010	40.2	39.71	40.3	40.5	40.41	40.41	39.86(-2.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10	-16	44	0.03	33%	0.02	48.9	1.64%	0	0.2	57	0
22	Jan_14_2010	40.19	39.69	40.24	40.62	40.62	40.68	40.9(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	10	14	64	0.04	38%	0.07	52.9	1.61%	0	1.6	71	0
23	Jan_13_2010	40.16	39.59	40.08	40.48	40.52	40.42	40.74(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10	3	59	0.03	38%	0.05	52.3	1.64%	0	1.7	74	0
24	Jan_12_2010	40.14	39.52	39.96	40.34	40.37	40.56	40.16(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	40	2	59	0.14	38%	0.07	45.1	1.63%	0	1	67	0
25	Jan_11_2010	40.11	39.46	39.91	40.28	40.29	40.61	40.82(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	36	60	23	75	0.01	38%		35.6	1.63%	0	2.2	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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