Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.8200 (0.84%) ($40.6600 - $41.0800) on Mon. Jan. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $40.8200(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.28(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.91(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.46(3.45%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.92%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.09%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2010	40.11	39.46	39.91	40.28	40.29	40.61	40.82(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	36	60	23	75	0.01	38%	0.1	35.6	1.63%	0	2.2	80	NAN
2	Jan_8_2010	40.07	39.37	39.75	40.08	40.05	40.19	40.48(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	32	20	18	72	0.23	38%	0.1	21.4	1.63%	0	2	77	NAN
3	Jan_7_2010	40.03	39.3	39.61	39.79	39.92	39.96	40.2(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	20	10	52	0.08	38%	0.1	-5.7	1.63%	0	1.9	58	NAN
4	Jan_6_2010	39.99	39.3	39.46	39.63	39.74	39.91	40.02(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	40	7	41	0.07	40%	0.1	-32.7	1.63%	0	1.8	61	NAN
5	Jan_5_2010	39.95	39.23	39.34	39.53	39.58	39.87	39.9(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	60	12	33	0.04	43%	0.13	-36.4	1.65%	0	1.7	53	NAN

6	Jan_4_2010	39.9	39.24	39.2	39.47	39.52	39.57	39.82(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	10	13	25	0.06	43%	0.15	-29.8	1.67%	0	1.4	56	NAN
7	Dec_31_2009	39.84	39.25	39.07	39.37	39.43	39.3	39.02(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-20	-6	8	0.01	38%	0.08	-36.2	1.65%	0	-0.5	49	NAN
8	Dec_30_2009	39.81	39.32	39.1	39.39	39.46	39.46	39.38(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	5	10	2	15	0.03	38%	0.1	-31.7	1.69%	0	0.1	54	NAN
9	Dec_29_2009	39.77	39.32	39.06	39.25	39.4	39.57	39.54(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	40	12	12	0.03	38%	0.08	-36.3	1.69%	0	0.3	56	NAN
10	Dec_28_2009	39.74	39.37	39.04	39.12	39.15	39.46	39.6(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	60	18	2	0.04	38%	0.2	-45.6	1.69%	0	0.4	43	NAN

11	Dec_24_2009	39.66	39.36	38.98	38.88	38.95	39.23	39.32(0.56%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	12	60	22	-19	0.02	38%	0.08	-65.2	1.68%	0	-0.1	38	NAN
12	Dec_23_2009	39.63	39.44	38.96	38.72	38.68	38.83	39.1(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	20	5	-43	0.02	38%	0.08	-65.6	1.69%	0	-0.5	35	NAN
13	Dec_22_2009	39.6	39.5	38.95	38.78	38.57	38.68	38.7(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	0	-1	-56	0.02	38%	0.08	-67.4	1.68%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
14	Dec_21_2009	39.57	39.6	38.99	38.84	38.76	38.53	38.86(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-50	-3	-67	0.24	37%	0.08	-71.9	1.69%	0	-1	29	NAN
15	Dec_18_2009	39.54	39.66	39.1	38.96	38.83	38.46	38.44(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-80	-25	-66	0.13	37%	0.1	-77.5	1.69%	0	-1.6	42	NAN

16	Dec_17_2009	39.5	39.77	39.28	39.09	39.1	39	38.52(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-20	-11	-48	0.02	37%	0.1	-77.1	1.69%	0	-1.8	43	NAN
17	Dec_16_2009	39.46	39.92	39.46	39.21	39.22	39.19	39.4(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-0	2	-44	0.05	41%	0.13	-71	1.67%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
18	Dec_15_2009	39.41	40.02	39.56	39.14	39.17	39.21	38.98(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	10	-1	-49	0.01	41%	0.1	-67	1.69%	0	-1.3	38	NAN
19	Dec_14_2009	39.37	40.16	39.56	39.15	39.15	39.25	39.46(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	20	1	-50	0.04	41%	0.1	-59	1.68%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
20	Dec_11_2009	39.33	40.24	39.72	39.28	39.1	39.13	39.08(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10	-10	-53	0.03	41%	0.13	-49.1	1.68%	0	-1.3	45	NAN

21	Dec_10_2009	39.28	40.33	39.77	39.52	39.38	39.06	39.12(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-70	-14	-52	0.03	41%	0.13	-40.3	1.68%	0	-1.5	40	NAN
22	Dec_9_2009	39.23	40.44	39.96	39.76	39.72	39.07	39.06(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-120	-35	-53	0.06	41%	0.13	-21	1.69%	0	-1.7	34	NAN
23	Dec_8_2009	39.18	40.55	40.11	40.05	40.14	39.71	39.04(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-37	-70	-34	-47	0.06	44%	0.13	3.9	1.7%	0	-2.1	34	NAN
24	Dec_7_2009	39.13	40.55	40.28	40.35	40.48	40.38	40.08(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10	-4	-30	0.18	46%	0.18	34.4	1.69%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
25	Dec_4_2009	39.06	40.67	40.27	40.23	40.55	40.58	40.32(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	30	10	-41	0.07	47%		40.6	1.71%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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