Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.3200 (0%) ($40.0200 - $41.0500) on Fri. Dec. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $40.3200(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $40.67
5 Day Moving Average   $40.23(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.27(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.67(-0.86%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2009	39.06	40.67	40.27	40.23	40.55	40.58	40.32(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	30	10	-41	0.07	47%	0.18	40.6	1.71%	0	-0.5	44	0
2	Dec_3_2009	38.99	40.66	40.3	40.05	40.27	40.59	40.32(-0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	70	3	-53	0.02	47%	0.21	30.3	1.72%	0	-0.5	49	0
3	Dec_2_2009	38.91	40.61	40.4	40.05	39.95	40.53	40.48(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	80	15	-41	0.01	47%	0.23	35.1	1.73%	0	-0.2	45	0
4	Dec_1_2009	38.82	40.52	40.49	40.2	40.01	39.96	40.54(2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-20	16	-39	0.01	45%	0.26	22.8	1.73%	0	0	46	0
5	Nov_30_2009	38.72	40.45	40.61	40.23	40.03	39.36	39.48(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-130	-28	-51	0.02	42%	0.23	12.3	1.74%	0	-1	39	0

6	Nov_27_2009	38.63	40.41	40.79	40.32	40.36	40.06	39.44(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-50	-27	-38	0.02	42%	0.44	-2	1.74%	0	-0.9	50	0
7	Nov_25_2009	38.46	40.45	40.93	40.55	40.49	40.69	41.04(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	30	-1	-13	0.03	45%	0.26	-7.7	1.65%	0	0.6	60	0
8	Nov_24_2009	38.36	40.34	40.96	40.64	40.43	40.67	40.5(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	30	1	10	0.04	45%	0.24	-22.4	1.65%	0	0.2	62	0
9	Nov_23_2009	38.27	40.32	41.03	40.84	40.66	40.29	40.68(1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-80	-7	39	0.05	45%	0.08	-29.1	1.65%	0	0.3	67	0
10	Nov_20_2009	38.24	40.33	41.09	41.07	40.83	40.2	39.92(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-18	-130	-42	56	0.05	46%	0.21	-32.2	1.67%	0	-0.4	61	0

11	Nov_19_2009	38.16	40.43	41.12	41.33	41.33	41.04	40.6(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-50	-14	97	0.03	48%	0.18	-26.4	1.65%	0	0.1	69	0
12	Nov_18_2009	38.09	40.54	41.07	41.34	41.41	41.46	41.5(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	25	10	-2	104	0.02	50%	0.24	-26.9	1.63%	0	0.7	57	0
13	Nov_17_2009	38	40.57	40.85	41.32	41.28	41.62	41.48(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	50	9	113	0.03	46%	0.26	-28.3	1.64%	0	0.7	65	0
14	Nov_16_2009	37.9	40.63	40.57	41.26	41.29	41.37	41.86(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	20	20	100	0.03	46%	0.26	-25.7	1.71%	0	0.8	57	0
15	Nov_13_2009	37.8	40.69	40.27	41.13	41.1	40.94	41.22(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-30	-1	70	0.05	48%	0.24	-23.8	1.71%	0	0.3	51	0

16	Nov_12_2009	37.71	40.76	39.99	40.88	41.13	41.21	40.64(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	30	7	33	0.13	48%	0.24	-22.9	1.71%	0	-0.1	43	0
17	Nov_11_2009	37.62	40.89	39.94	40.74	40.85	41.27	41.38(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	80	26	12	0.02	50%	0.27	-19.4	1.7%	0	0.3	41	0
18	Nov_10_2009	37.52	40.97	39.66	40.29	40.46	41.06	41.18(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	23	120	42	-34	0.15	50%	0.27	-20.8	1.71%	0	0.1	43	0
19	Nov_9_2009	37.42	41.02	39.54	39.76	40	40.44	41.22(3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	100	43	-82	0.13	50%	0.21	-25.4	1.71%	0	0.1	41	0
20	Nov_6_2009	37.34	41.06	39.47	39.29	39.33	39.86	40(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-17	100	23	-137	0.03	47%	0.21	-27.7	1.67%	0	-0.6	34	0

21	Nov_5_2009	37.26	41.14	39.64	38.96	39.1	39.56	39.92(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	90	24	-160	0.07	47%	0.22	-27.5	1.68%	0	-0.7	36	0
22	Nov_4_2009	37.18	41.23	39.92	39.03	38.88	38.8	39.14(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-41	-30	3	-173	0.19	45%	0.16	-22.3	1.66%	0	-1.2	31	0
23	Nov_3_2009	37.12	41.34	40.25	38.95	39.08	38.65	38.54(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-65	-70	-22	-195	0.04	48%	0.16	-24.1	1.66%	0	-1.7	29	0
24	Nov_2_2009	37.06	41.47	40.69	39.26	39.28	38.96	38.84(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-70	-60	-34	-179	0.1	48%	0.11	-20.2	1.69%	0	-1.7	37	0
25	Oct_30_2009	37.02	41.55	41.14	39.67	39.61	39.51	38.38(-4.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-20	-35	-154	0.11	48%		-15.5	1.69%	0	-2.1	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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