Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 26, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $40.8800 (-2.81%) ($40.6600 - $42.3200) on Mon. Oct. 26, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.44% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $40.8800(-2.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.72% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.72% (StdDev 1.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

Resistance Level   $41.79
5 Day Moving Average   $42.31(-3.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.67(-4.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.79(-2.18%)
To recent high   -6.1%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 1.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.09%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.05%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.69%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.05%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2009	36.82		42.67	42.31	42.31	41.87	40.88(-2.81%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-30	-70	-45	17	0.13	55%	0.19	38.1	1.44%	0	-0.7	55	0
2	Oct_23_2009	36.75	41.79	42.83	42.81	42.73	42.46	42.06(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-50	-22	78	0.08	60%	0.19	50.7	1.39%	0	0.2	70	0
3	Oct_22_2009	36.68	41.7	42.8	43	42.99	42.75	43.04(1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-40	-14	119	0.07	64%	0.25	50.2	1.36%	0	1	82	0
4	Oct_21_2009	36.59	41.55	42.66	43.1	43.05	43	42.6(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10	-16	146	0.14	64%	0.19	50.5	1.36%	0	0.8	75	0
5	Oct_20_2009	36.52	41.44	42.52	43.23	43.16	43.24	42.96(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	10	9	171	0.1	64%	0.22	51.4	1.36%	0	1.2	64	0

6	Oct_19_2009	36.44	41.32	42.32	43.1	43.17	43.1	43.4(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10	16	170	0.05	64%	0.25	51.2	1.36%	0	1.7	68	0
7	Oct_16_2009	36.35	41.16	41.99	42.84	42.9	43.08	43(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	7	148	0.08	64%	0.25	50.5	1.36%	0	1.6	66	0
8	Oct_15_2009	36.26	41.05	41.62	42.56	42.74	43.24	43.52(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	90	43	140	0.01	69%	0.28	52.1	1.36%	0	2.3	74	0
9	Oct_14_2009	36.16	40.9	41.23	42.16	42.3	42.72	43.28(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	80	40	108	0.01	69%	0.25	55	1.46%	0	2.6	74	0
10	Oct_13_2009	36.07	40.79	40.97	41.71	41.88	42.25	42.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	70	29	84	0.03	70%	0.17	63	1.45%	0	2	63	0

11	Oct_12_2009	36.01	40.69	40.8	41.42	41.55	41.88	42.14(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	70	34	72	0.03	70%	0.25	69.1	1.48%	0	2.2	61	0
12	Oct_9_2009	35.92	40.58	40.65	41	41.19	41.51	41.56(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	70	34	52	0.01	70%	0.22	75.2	1.51%	0	1.7	60	0
13	Oct_8_2009	35.84	40.5	40.5	40.54	40.74	41.22	41.52(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	100	35	20	0.05	70%	0.22	77.5	1.51%	0	1.8	52	0
14	Oct_7_2009	35.76	40.41	40.33	40.16	40.18	40.88	41.06(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	16	120	26	-13	0.08	64%	0.22	84.9	1.53%	0	1.2	50	0
15	Oct_6_2009	35.68	40.33	40.26	40.12	40.18	40.26	40.82(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	40	25	-22	0.07	64%	0.22	92.9	1.59%	0	0.8	45	0

16	Oct_5_2009	35.6	40.24	40.23	40.11	39.96	39.48	40.02(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-100	-16	-39	0.08	62%	0.25	99.4	1.58%	0	-0.4	48	0
17	Oct_2_2009	35.51	40.15	40.26	40.26	40.24	39.67	39.26(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-37	-100	-36	-39	0.07	56%	0.23	81.2	1.58%	0	-1.1	44	0
18	Oct_1_2009	35.43	40.07	40.44	40.43	40.57	40.45	39.66(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10	-13	-10	0.03	56%	0.23	64.8	1.63%	0	-0.4	51	0
19	Sep_30_2009	35.35	39.94	40.58	40.48	40.59	40.81	40.82(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	50	8	9	0.03	60%	0.23	48.1	1.58%	0	0.7	61	0
20	Sep_29_2009	35.27	39.76	40.61	40.42	40.48	40.69	40.8(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	40	12	23	0.01	60%	0.26	38.9	1.58%	0	0.8	66	0

21	Sep_28_2009	35.18	39.63	40.58	40.37	40.46	40.37	40.74(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10	5	32	0.03	60%	0.2	39.6	1.58%	0	0.8	69	0
22	Sep_25_2009	35.11	39.51	40.52	40.29	40.51	40.27	40.14(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-30	-13	40	0.12	60%	0.26	42.2	1.58%	0	0.5	73	0
23	Sep_24_2009	35.02	39.44	40.5	40.47	40.45	40.55	39.92(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	20	-16	72	0.12	60%	0.23	53.9	1.59%	0	0.4	75	0
24	Sep_23_2009	34.94	39.36	40.51	40.67	40.63	40.75	40.48(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	20	7	123	0.06	60%	0.26	65.5	1.58%	0	0.8	83	0
25	Sep_22_2009	34.85	39.24	40.41	40.83	40.7	40.34	40.58(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-70	-6	151	0.26	54%		78.2	1.58%	0	1	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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