Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 20, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $42.9600 (-1.01%) ($42.7000 - $43.5000) on Tue. Oct. 20, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $42.9600(-1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.23(-0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.52(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.44(3.67%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   27.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.11% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.53%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.2%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.61%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.38%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2009	36.52	41.44	42.52	43.23	43.16	43.24	42.96(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	50	10	9	171	0.1	64%	0.22	51.4	1.36%	0	1.2	64	NAN
2	Oct_19_2009	36.44	41.32	42.32	43.1	43.17	43.1	43.4(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	55	-10	16	170	0.05	64%	0.25	51.2	1.36%	0	1.7	68	NAN
3	Oct_16_2009	36.35	41.16	41.99	42.84	42.9	43.08	43(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	7	148	0.08	64%	0.25	50.5	1.36%	0	1.6	66	NAN
4	Oct_15_2009	36.26	41.05	41.62	42.56	42.74	43.24	43.52(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	67	90	43	140	0.01	69%	0.28	52.1	1.36%	0	2.3	74	NAN
5	Oct_14_2009	36.16	40.9	41.23	42.16	42.3	42.72	43.28(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	80	40	108	0.01	69%	0.25	55	1.46%	0	2.6	74	NAN

6	Oct_13_2009	36.07	40.79	40.97	41.71	41.88	42.25	42.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	70	29	84	0.03	70%	0.17	63	1.45%	0	2	63	NAN
7	Oct_12_2009	36.01	40.69	40.8	41.42	41.55	41.88	42.14(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	70	34	72	0.03	70%	0.25	69.1	1.48%	0	2.2	61	NAN
8	Oct_9_2009	35.92	40.58	40.65	41	41.19	41.51	41.56(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	70	34	52	0.01	70%	0.22	75.2	1.51%	0	1.7	60	NAN
9	Oct_8_2009	35.84	40.5	40.5	40.54	40.74	41.22	41.52(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	100	35	20	0.05	70%	0.22	77.5	1.51%	0	1.8	52	NAN
10	Oct_7_2009	35.76	40.41	40.33	40.16	40.18	40.88	41.06(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	16	120	26	-13	0.08	64%	0.22	84.9	1.53%	0	1.2	50	NAN

11	Oct_6_2009	35.68	40.33	40.26	40.12	40.18	40.26	40.82(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	40	25	-22	0.07	64%	0.22	92.9	1.59%	0	0.8	45	NAN
12	Oct_5_2009	35.6	40.24	40.23	40.11	39.96	39.48	40.02(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-100	-16	-39	0.08	62%	0.25	99.4	1.58%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
13	Oct_2_2009	35.51	40.15	40.26	40.26	40.24	39.67	39.26(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-37	-100	-36	-39	0.07	56%	0.23	81.2	1.58%	0	-1.1	44	NAN
14	Oct_1_2009	35.43	40.07	40.44	40.43	40.57	40.45	39.66(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10	-13	-10	0.03	56%	0.23	64.8	1.63%	0	-0.4	51	NAN
15	Sep_30_2009	35.35	39.94	40.58	40.48	40.59	40.81	40.82(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	50	8	9	0.03	60%	0.23	48.1	1.58%	0	0.7	61	NAN

16	Sep_29_2009	35.27	39.76	40.61	40.42	40.48	40.69	40.8(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	40	12	23	0.01	60%	0.26	38.9	1.58%	0	0.8	66	NAN
17	Sep_28_2009	35.18	39.63	40.58	40.37	40.46	40.37	40.74(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10	5	32	0.03	60%	0.2	39.6	1.58%	0	0.8	69	NAN
18	Sep_25_2009	35.11	39.51	40.52	40.29	40.51	40.27	40.14(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-30	-13	40	0.12	60%	0.26	42.2	1.58%	0	0.5	73	NAN
19	Sep_24_2009	35.02	39.44	40.5	40.47	40.45	40.55	39.92(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	20	-16	72	0.12	60%	0.23	53.9	1.59%	0	0.4	75	NAN
20	Sep_23_2009	34.94	39.36	40.51	40.67	40.63	40.75	40.48(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	20	7	123	0.06	60%	0.26	65.5	1.58%	0	0.8	83	NAN

21	Sep_22_2009	34.85	39.24	40.41	40.83	40.7	40.34	40.58(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-70	-6	151	0.26	54%	0.26	78.2	1.58%	0	1	79	NAN
22	Sep_21_2009	34.76	39.09	40.26	40.8	40.77	40.51	40.32(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-50	-17	148	0.11	54%	0.29	87.9	1.66%	0	0.9	64	NAN
23	Sep_18_2009	34.66	38.95	40.04	40.78	40.86	41.05	41.04(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	40	14	161	0.05	57%	0.32	89.8	1.64%	0	1.5	67	NAN
24	Sep_17_2009	34.55	38.72	39.68	40.53	40.55	41.03	40.94(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	80	22	144	0.08	57%	0.32	83.4	1.64%	0	1.6	65	NAN
25	Sep_16_2009	34.44	38.47	39.27	40.32	40.28	40.67	41.28(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	60	36	128	0.05	57%		78.7	1.65%	0	2	69	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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