Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 13, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $42.2800 (0.33%) ($41.9600 - $42.4400) on Tue. Oct. 13, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $42.2800(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.71(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.97(3.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.79(3.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(74%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(26%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 0.61%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -1.2%(37%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 0.82%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2009	36.07	40.79	40.97	41.71	41.88	42.25	42.28(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	70	29	84	0.03	70%	0.17	63	1.45%	0	2	63	0
2	Oct_12_2009	36.01	40.69	40.8	41.42	41.55	41.88	42.14(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	70	34	72	0.03	70%	0.25	69.1	1.48%	0	2.2	61	0
3	Oct_9_2009	35.92	40.58	40.65	41	41.19	41.51	41.56(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	70	34	52	0.01	70%	0.22	75.2	1.51%	0	1.7	60	0
4	Oct_8_2009	35.84	40.5	40.5	40.54	40.74	41.22	41.52(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	31	100	35	20	0.05	70%	0.22	77.5	1.51%	0	1.8	52	0
5	Oct_7_2009	35.76	40.41	40.33	40.16	40.18	40.88	41.06(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	16	120	26	-13	0.08	64%	0.22	84.9	1.53%	0	1.2	50	0

6	Oct_6_2009	35.68	40.33	40.26	40.12	40.18	40.26	40.82(2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	13	40	25	-22	0.07	64%	0.22	92.9	1.59%	0	0.8	45	0
7	Oct_5_2009	35.6	40.24	40.23	40.11	39.96	39.48	40.02(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-100	-16	-39	0.08	62%	0.25	99.4	1.58%	0	-0.4	48	0
8	Oct_2_2009	35.51	40.15	40.26	40.26	40.24	39.67	39.26(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-37	-100	-36	-39	0.07	56%	0.23	81.2	1.58%	0	-1.1	44	0
9	Oct_1_2009	35.43	40.07	40.44	40.43	40.57	40.45	39.66(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-12	-10	-13	-10	0.03	56%	0.23	64.8	1.63%	0	-0.4	51	0
10	Sep_30_2009	35.35	39.94	40.58	40.48	40.59	40.81	40.82(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	50	8	9	0.03	60%	0.23	48.1	1.58%	0	0.7	61	0

11	Sep_29_2009	35.27	39.76	40.61	40.42	40.48	40.69	40.8(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	40	12	23	0.01	60%	0.26	38.9	1.58%	0	0.8	66	0
12	Sep_28_2009	35.18	39.63	40.58	40.37	40.46	40.37	40.74(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10	5	32	0.03	60%	0.2	39.6	1.58%	0	0.8	69	0
13	Sep_25_2009	35.11	39.51	40.52	40.29	40.51	40.27	40.14(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-30	-13	40	0.12	60%	0.26	42.2	1.58%	0	0.5	73	0
14	Sep_24_2009	35.02	39.44	40.5	40.47	40.45	40.55	39.92(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	20	-16	72	0.12	60%	0.23	53.9	1.59%	0	0.4	75	0
15	Sep_23_2009	34.94	39.36	40.51	40.67	40.63	40.75	40.48(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	36	20	7	123	0.06	60%	0.26	65.5	1.58%	0	0.8	83	0

16	Sep_22_2009	34.85	39.24	40.41	40.83	40.7	40.34	40.58(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-70	-6	151	0.26	54%	0.26	78.2	1.58%	0	1	79	0
17	Sep_21_2009	34.76	39.09	40.26	40.8	40.77	40.51	40.32(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-50	-17	148	0.11	54%	0.29	87.9	1.66%	0	0.9	64	0
18	Sep_18_2009	34.66	38.95	40.04	40.78	40.86	41.05	41.04(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	40	14	161	0.05	57%	0.32	89.8	1.64%	0	1.5	67	0
19	Sep_17_2009	34.55	38.72	39.68	40.53	40.55	41.03	40.94(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	80	22	144	0.08	57%	0.32	83.4	1.64%	0	1.6	65	0
20	Sep_16_2009	34.44	38.47	39.27	40.32	40.28	40.67	41.28(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	59	60	36	128	0.05	57%	0.38	78.7	1.65%	0	2	69	0

21	Sep_15_2009	34.31	38.2	38.84	39.94	39.93	40.07	40.44(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	20	18	93	0.1	49%	0.35	74.7	1.66%	0	1.7	66	0
22	Sep_14_2009	34.19	37.94	38.6	39.63	39.72	39.9	40.18(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	40	21	81	0.19	49%	0.32	63.7	1.73%	0	1.6	68	0
23	Sep_11_2009	34.08	37.75	38.4	39.18	39.45	39.8	39.82(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	80	32	72	0.12	49%	0.32	60.8	1.74%	0	1.6	68	0
24	Sep_10_2009	33.97	37.6	38.26	38.68	38.88	39.53	39.9(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	130	42	70	0.12	49%	0.38	58.2	1.74%	0	1.9	74	0
25	Sep_9_2009	33.84	37.41	38.08	38.04	38.28	39.09	39.36(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	53	170	51	59	0.02	49%		47.8	1.74%	0	1.8	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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