Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 26, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $38.2600 (0.31%) ($38.0200 - $38.3000) on Wed. Aug. 26, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $38.2600(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.58(1.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.9(3.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.4(5.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.95%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.64%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.69%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.39%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2009	32.88	36.4	36.9	37.58	37.85	38.2	38.26(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	90	27	88	0.02	47%	0.37	76.2	1.78%	0	2	66	NAN
2	Aug_25_2009	32.76	36.22	36.69	37.14	37.37	38.01	38.14(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	140	39	72	0.02	47%	0.37	69.8	1.8%	0	2.1	63	NAN
3	Aug_24_2009	32.64	36.04	36.44	36.67	36.75	37.5	37.72(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	150	46	50	0.14	47%	0.34	65.3	1.81%	0	2.1	62	NAN
4	Aug_21_2009	32.53	35.9	36.27	36.16	36.19	36.73	37.36(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	29	110	33	18	0.02	47%	0.31	61.6	1.8%	0	2	57	NAN
5	Aug_20_2009	32.43	35.78	36.11	36	35.72	35.99	36.4(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	30	4	4	0.03	43%	0.34	72.1	1.78%	0	0.9	60	NAN

6	Aug_19_2009	32.32	35.69	36.06	36.13	35.82	35.65	36.06(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-60	-1	16	0.04	43%	0.34	80	1.79%	0	0.5	60	NAN
7	Aug_18_2009	32.21	35.6	36.07	36.18	36.12	35.44	35.8(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-140	-17	26	0.03	51%	0.37	84.9	1.79%	0	0.2	62	NAN
8	Aug_17_2009	32.09	35.52	36.1	36.17	36.26	35.98	35.2(-3.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-14	-50	-29	31	0.02	51%	0.31	93.5	1.89%	0	-0.4	58	NAN
9	Aug_14_2009	31.99	35.46	36.22	36.35	36.41	36.8	36.56(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	80	13	69	0.02	57%	0.28	100.4	1.83%	0	1.1	63	NAN
10	Aug_13_2009	31.9	35.29	36.08	36.22	36.27	36.54	37.02(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	60	25	72	0.03	49%	0.35	107	1.82%	0	1.6	70	NAN

11	Aug_12_2009	31.79	35.11	35.89	36	36.05	36.02	36.3(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-0	2	52	0.04	46%	0.35	110.4	1.95%	0	1.1	68	NAN
12	Aug_11_2009	31.68	34.93	35.72	35.98	35.99	35.99	35.76(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	0	-5	54	0.07	46%	0.32	100.8	1.95%	0	0.6	70	NAN
13	Aug_10_2009	31.58	34.72	35.62	36.02	36.06	36.08	36.1(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	10	2	63	0.08	46%	0.38	91.1	2%	0	0.9	73	NAN
14	Aug_7_2009	31.46	34.48	35.52	36.06	36.02	36	35.94(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10	3	72	0.09	55%	0.38	79.7	2.16%	0	0.9	75	NAN
15	Aug_6_2009	31.34	34.2	35.42	35.91	36.04	36	35.92(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	10	7	82	0.17	55%	0.38	68.8	2.17%	0	1	78	NAN

16	Aug_5_2009	31.22	33.95	35.3	35.74	35.82	36.04	36.16(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	50	12	88	0.21	55%	0.45	58.2	2.18%	0	1.2	78	NAN
17	Aug_4_2009	31.08	33.67	35.08	35.42	35.55	36.03	35.98(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	110	22	90	0.71	59%	0.48	48.4	2.18%	0	1.2	80	NAN
18	Aug_3_2009	30.93	33.41	34.9	35.15	35.18	35.6	36.3(3.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	90	23	100	0.04	59%	0.45	42.3	2.23%	0	1.6	89	NAN
19	Jul_31_2009	30.79	33.17	34.64	34.92	34.76	35.08	35.2(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	50	9	107	0.04	56%	0.42	40.2	2.22%	0	1.2	87	NAN
20	Jul_30_2009	30.66	33	34.43	34.86	34.75	34.77	35.08(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10	11	130	0.02	56%	0.46	40.4	2.23%	0	1.2	89	NAN

21	Jul_29_2009	30.52	32.89	34.26	34.78	34.75	34.44	34.54(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-50	-4	143	0.02	56%	0.46	45.2	2.23%	0	1	79	NAN
22	Jul_28_2009	30.38	32.77	34.08	34.68	34.65	34.73	34.62(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	10	1	160	0.04	56%	0.53	48.4	2.26%	0	1.2	81	NAN
23	Jul_27_2009	30.22	32.65	33.76	34.58	34.54	34.86	35.14(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	60	17	171	0.03	56%	0.5	51.3	2.25%	0	1.6	80	NAN
24	Jul_24_2009	30.07	32.48	33.36	34.31	34.31	34.57	34.92(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	50	21	159	0.02	56%	0.5	48.6	2.26%	0	1.8	68	NAN
25	Jul_23_2009	29.92	32.33	32.9	33.94	34.07	34.22	34.7(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	40	16	129	0.05	59%		44.5	2.28%	0	1.9	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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