Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $35.9800 (-0.88%) ($35.6600 - $36.2600) on Tue. Aug. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $35.9800(-0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.42(1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.08(2.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.67(6.86%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.64% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.41%(75%) Average negative next day return: -2.64%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.89%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -5.12%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.17%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.01%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2009	31.08	33.67	35.08	35.42	35.55	36.03	35.98(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	110	22	90	0.71	59%	0.48	48.4	2.18%	0	1.2	80	0
2	Aug_3_2009	30.93	33.41	34.9	35.15	35.18	35.6	36.3(3.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	42	90	23	100	0.04	59%	0.45	42.3	2.23%	0	1.6	89	0
3	Jul_31_2009	30.79	33.17	34.64	34.92	34.76	35.08	35.2(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	50	9	107	0.04	56%	0.42	40.2	2.22%	0	1.2	87	0
4	Jul_30_2009	30.66	33	34.43	34.86	34.75	34.77	35.08(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10	11	130	0.02	56%	0.46	40.4	2.23%	0	1.2	89	0
5	Jul_29_2009	30.52	32.89	34.26	34.78	34.75	34.44	34.54(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-50	-4	143	0.02	56%	0.46	45.2	2.23%	0	1	79	0

6	Jul_28_2009	30.38	32.77	34.08	34.68	34.65	34.73	34.62(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	10	1	160	0.04	56%	0.53	48.4	2.26%	0	1.2	81	0
7	Jul_27_2009	30.22	32.65	33.76	34.58	34.54	34.86	35.14(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	60	17	171	0.03	56%	0.5	51.3	2.25%	0	1.6	80	0
8	Jul_24_2009	30.07	32.48	33.36	34.31	34.31	34.57	34.92(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	50	21	159	0.02	56%	0.5	48.6	2.26%	0	1.8	68	0
9	Jul_23_2009	29.92	32.33	32.9	33.94	34.07	34.22	34.7(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	40	16	129	0.05	59%	0.44	44.5	2.28%	0	1.9	65	0
10	Jul_22_2009	29.79	32.17	32.51	33.66	33.71	34.05	34.04(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	80	13	99	0.04	59%	0.44	40.3	2.31%	0	1.6	54	0

11	Jul_21_2009	29.66	32.03	32.14	33.39	33.48	33.92	34.12(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	100	33	82	0.05	59%	0.41	31.4	2.31%	0	2	57	0
12	Jul_20_2009	29.54	31.89	31.8	32.8	33.05	33.36	33.76(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	90	29	43	0.02	54%	0.37	9.6	2.31%	0	1.9	57	0
13	Jul_17_2009	29.43	31.82	31.58	32.27	32.41	33.04	33.1(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	150	29	16	0.02	54%	0.31	-16.2	2.38%	0	1.5	55	0
14	Jul_16_2009	29.34	31.78	31.44	31.68	31.83	32.74	33.26(1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	30	210	42	-7	0.07	54%	0.34	-49.6	2.38%	0	1.8	55	0
15	Jul_15_2009	29.24	31.71	31.37	31.2	31.11	31.78	32.72(4.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	22	140	36	-22	0.09	54%	0.27	-82.9	2.37%	0	1.3	57	0

16	Jul_14_2009	29.16	31.7	31.32	30.73	30.72	30.93	31.18(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	50	15	-46	0.08	49%	0.28	-108.5	2.31%	0	-0.7	49	0
17	Jul_13_2009	29.08	31.8	31.42	30.65	30.56	30.43	31.08(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-40	-7	-53	0.07	49%	0.24	-108	2.31%	0	-0.9	48	0
18	Jul_10_2009	29.01	31.97	31.52	30.79	30.68	30.51	30.18(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-50	-18	-57	0.08	46%	0.17	-84.5	2.28%	0	-1.8	32	0
19	Jul_9_2009	28.96	32.2	31.73	31.14	31	30.68	30.82(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-90	-21	-44	0.09	46%	0.21	-68.7	2.28%	0	-1.3	38	0
20	Jul_8_2009	28.9	32.37	31.82	31.57	31.37	30.86	30.38(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-130	-30	-34	0.17	46%	0.17	-57.7	2.28%	0	-1.7	37	0

21	Jul_7_2009	28.85	32.57	31.95	31.99	32.01	31.33	30.78(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-150	-24	-21	0.19	46%	0.07	-54.8	2.29%	0	-1.6	36	0
22	Jul_6_2009	28.83	32.73	32.04	32.29	32.33	31.87	31.78(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-100	-22	-20	0.61	49%	0.21	-55.2	2.28%	0	-0.9	36	0
23	Jul_2_2009	28.77	32.84	32.13	32.35	32.54	32.69	31.96(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	50	-3	-24	0.08	55%	0.14	-52.7	2.3%	0	-0.8	30	0
24	Jul_1_2009	28.73	32.97	32.17	32.4	32.48	32.79	32.96(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	70	20	-31	0.01	59%	0.17	-50.4	2.32%	0	-0	32	0
25	Jun_30_2009	28.68	33.04	32.09	32.12	32.18	32.38	32.48(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	50	12	-61	0.06	55%		-49.2	2.36%	0	-0.4	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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