Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $30.3800 (-1.3%) ($29.9500 - $30.8600) on Wed. Jul. 8, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $30.3800(-1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $25.25(-16.89%)
Resistance Level   $32.37
5 Day Moving Average   $31.57(-3.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.82(-4.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.37(-6.15%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.95%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.33%(29%) Average negative next three day return: -4.73%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 3.57%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.21%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2009	28.9	32.37	31.82	31.57	31.37	30.86	30.38(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-31	-130	-30	-34	0.17	46%	0.17	-57.7	2.28%	0	-1.7	37	NAN
2	Jul_7_2009	28.85	32.57	31.95	31.99	32.01	31.33	30.78(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-150	-24	-21	0.19	46%	0.07	-54.8	2.29%	0	-1.6	36	NAN
3	Jul_6_2009	28.83	32.73	32.04	32.29	32.33	31.87	31.78(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-100	-22	-20	0.61	49%	0.21	-55.2	2.28%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
4	Jul_2_2009	28.77	32.84	32.13	32.35	32.54	32.69	31.96(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	50	-3	-24	0.08	55%	0.14	-52.7	2.3%	0	-0.8	30	NAN
5	Jul_1_2009	28.73	32.97	32.17	32.4	32.48	32.79	32.96(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	70	20	-31	0.01	59%	0.17	-50.4	2.32%	0	-0	32	NAN

6	Jun_30_2009	28.68	33.04	32.17	32.12	32.18	32.38	32.48(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	50	12	-61	0.06	55%	0.1	-49.2	2.36%	0	-0.4	34	NAN
7	Jun_29_2009	28.65	33.19	32.09	31.92	32	32.18	32.26(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	50	10	-77	0.07	55%	0.14	-48.2	2.51%	0	-0.7	33	NAN
8	Jun_26_2009	28.61	33.33	32.18	31.77	31.79	31.97	32.1(-0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	40	1	-90	0.01	51%	0.18	-48.1	2.57%	0	-1	36	NAN
9	Jun_25_2009	28.56	33.44	32.41	31.89	31.71	31.81	32.2(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	10	0	-84	0.02	55%	0.18	-44.7	2.58%	0	-1	36	NAN
10	Jun_24_2009	28.51	33.55	32.66	31.93	31.91	31.62	31.58(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-70	-4	-82	0.05	51%	0.11	-43.3	2.62%	0	-1.6	26	NAN

11	Jun_23_2009	28.48	33.67	32.94	32.05	32.05	31.6	31.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-35	-100	-19	-84	0.06	57%	0.18	-42.1	2.68%	0	-1.9	27	NAN
12	Jun_22_2009	28.43	33.83	33.23	32.28	32.24	32.2	31.48(-3.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-32	-10	-16	-78	0.07	57%	0.14	-33.5	2.88%	0	-2.2	22	NAN
13	Jun_19_2009	28.39	33.96	33.49	32.65	32.52	32.5	32.7(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-20	-6	-70	0.03	60%	0.18	-16	2.84%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
14	Jun_18_2009	28.34	34.02	33.63	33.03	32.72	32.28	32.4(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-120	-21	-65	0.03	63%	0.11	5.9	2.84%	0	-1.9	39	NAN
15	Jun_17_2009	28.31	34.1	33.86	33.53	33.26	32.53	32.18(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-33	-180	-27	-49	0.02	63%	0.14	39.3	2.92%	0	-2.5	37	NAN

16	Jun_16_2009	28.27	34.16	34.1	33.96	33.96	33.17	32.66(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-27	-160	-25	-31	0.04	63%	0.18	64.8	2.92%	0	-2.2	46	NAN
17	Jun_15_2009	28.22	34.19	34.4	34.29	34.37	33.99	33.3(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	-70	-17	-11	0.07	63%	0.21	86.8	2.9%	0	-1.4	44	NAN
18	Jun_12_2009	28.16	34.11	34.59	34.42	34.54	34.74	34.6(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	50	4	9	0.01	69%	0.28	55.3	2.85%	0	0.5	57	NAN
19	Jun_11_2009	28.08	33.97	34.55	34.31	34.32	34.75	34.92(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	90	10	11	0.02	69%	0.25	45.8	2.9%	0	0.9	60	NAN
20	Jun_10_2009	28.01	33.79	34.5	34.25	34.17	34.35	34.34(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	30	7	12	0.12	72%	0.25	37	2.9%	0	0.5	56	NAN

21	Jun_9_2009	27.94	33.73	34.45	34.28	34.2	33.9	34.3(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-70	-8	9	0.02	69%	0.22	44.8	3.08%	0	0.5	60	NAN
22	Jun_8_2009	27.88	33.64	34.45	34.55	34.31	33.99	33.94(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-90	-17	22	0.09	69%	0.14	53	3.14%	0	0.3	60	NAN
23	Jun_5_2009	27.84	33.62	34.47	34.78	34.75	34.5	34.04(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-50	-4	48	0.02	64%	0.18	70.9	3.16%	0	0.4	70	NAN
24	Jun_4_2009	27.79	33.5	34.44	34.82	34.91	34.62	34.64(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-50	-4	59	0.02	64%	0.22	73.4	3.29%	0	0.9	71	NAN
25	Jun_3_2009	27.73	33.37	34.36	34.78	34.82	34.99	34.5(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	40	1	74	0.06	64%		81.2	3.29%	0	0.9	72	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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