Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $34.9200 (1.69%) ($34.8300 - $35.3000) on Thu. Jun. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.9% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $34.9200(1.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    IWM(71%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.31(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.55(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.97(2.8%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   65.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 2.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.47%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.54%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.48%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2009	28.08	33.97	34.55	34.31	34.32	34.75	34.92(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	90	10	11	0.02	69%	0.25	45.8	2.9%	0	0.9	60	NAN
2	Jun_10_2009	28.01	33.79	34.5	34.25	34.17	34.35	34.34(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	30	7	12	0.12	72%	0.25	37	2.9%	0	0.5	56	NAN
3	Jun_9_2009	27.94	33.73	34.45	34.28	34.2	33.9	34.3(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-70	-8	9	0.02	69%	0.22	44.8	3.08%	0	0.5	60	NAN
4	Jun_8_2009	27.88	33.64	34.45	34.55	34.31	33.99	33.94(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-90	-17	22	0.09	69%	0.14	53	3.14%	0	0.3	60	NAN
5	Jun_5_2009	27.84	33.62	34.47	34.78	34.75	34.5	34.04(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-50	-4	48	0.02	64%	0.18	70.9	3.16%	0	0.4	70	NAN

6	Jun_4_2009	27.79	33.5	34.44	34.82	34.91	34.62	34.64(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-50	-4	59	0.02	64%	0.22	73.4	3.29%	0	0.9	71	NAN
7	Jun_3_2009	27.73	33.37	34.36	34.78	34.82	34.99	34.5(-3.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	40	1	74	0.06	64%	0.14	81.2	3.29%	0	0.9	72	NAN
8	Jun_2_2009	27.69	33.22	34.23	34.61	34.72	35.2	35.64(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	110	15	78	0.07	60%	0.14	85.8	3.26%	0	1.9	62	NAN
9	Jun_1_2009	27.65	33.02	33.96	34.39	34.39	34.65	35.06(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	50	13	72	0.08	60%	0.11	101.7	3.41%	0	1.7	63	NAN
10	May_29_2009	27.62	32.8	33.59	34.14	34.1	34.25	34.24(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	30	5	51	0.09	60%	0	101.4	3.43%	0	1.2	53	NAN

11	May_28_2009	27.62	32.6	33.33	34.01	33.99	34.13	34.46(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	30	7	49	0.06	60%	0.07	97.9	3.45%	0	1.5	63	NAN
12	May_27_2009	27.6	32.37	33.02	33.87	33.79	33.96	33.66(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	30	3	41	0.02	60%	0	101.5	3.47%	0	1	58	NAN
13	May_26_2009	27.6	32.15	32.95	33.78	33.75	33.85	34.54(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	20	10	50	0.07	60%	-0.11	95.4	3.45%	0	1.6	64	NAN
14	May_22_2009	27.63	31.87	32.72	33.45	33.57	33.63	33.78(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	11	43	0.03	58%	0.22	90.3	3.54%	0	1.2	59	NAN
15	May_21_2009	27.57	31.65	32.68	32.95	33.24	33.65	33.62(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	110	13	43	0.05	58%	0.04	81.5	3.57%	0	1.2	64	NAN

16	May_20_2009	27.56	31.4	32.47	32.54	32.73	33.5	33.76(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	180	23	43	0.06	58%	0.04	70.4	3.59%	0	1.4	66	NAN
17	May_19_2009	27.55	31.09	32.28	32.03	32.12	32.83	33.18(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	160	15	35	0.1	58%	0.04	58.7	3.62%	0	1.2	65	NAN
18	May_18_2009	27.54	30.81	32.1	32.01	31.74	31.97	32.92(5.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	8	45	0.03	58%	0.04	56.4	3.62%	0	1.1	68	NAN
19	May_15_2009	27.53	30.53	31.99	31.91	31.87	31.41	31.26(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-100	-11	49	0.03	52%	0.15	55.3	3.68%	0	0.4	65	NAN
20	May_14_2009	27.49	30.39	31.96	32.38	32.11	31.51	31.56(1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-160	-14	70	0.02	52%	0	65.1	3.71%	0	0.6	62	NAN

21	May_13_2009	27.49	30.22	31.83	32.36	32.5	32.34	31.24(-5.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-20	-9	80	0.07	52%	0	68.8	3.74%	0	0.5	65	NAN
22	May_12_2009	27.49	30.07	31.72	32.52	32.6	32.72	33.06(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	30	8	108	0.01	55%	0	75.1	3.67%	0	1.5	78	NAN
23	May_11_2009	27.49	29.79	31.32	32.2	32.32	32.67	32.44(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	90	6	109	0.01	55%	0	75.5	3.67%	0	1.4	77	NAN
24	May_8_2009	27.49	29.53	30.97	32.09	32.09	32.48	33.6(6.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	90	20	125	0.04	53%	0	77.6	3.65%	0	2.2	85	NAN
25	May_7_2009	27.49	29.2	30.53	31.5	31.72	31.97	31.48(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	80	12	114	0.04	50%		78.2	3.59%	0	1.4	68	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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