Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $32.4400 (-3.45%) ($32.1600 - $32.7000) on Mon. May. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.67% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $32.4400(-3.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(75%)    EEM(74%)    VWO(72%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.835% (StdDev 3.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.2(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.32(3.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.79(8.9%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   68.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 6.38% (three month std-dev: 3.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.2%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.82%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.2%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.02%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.1%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090611

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_11_2009	27.49	29.79	31.32	32.2	32.32	32.67	32.44(-3.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	90	6	109	0.01	55%	0	75.5	3.67%	0	1.4	77	0
2	May_8_2009	27.49	29.53	30.97	32.09	32.09	32.48	33.6(6.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	90	20	125	0.04	53%	0	77.6	3.65%	0	2.2	85	0
3	May_7_2009	27.49	29.2	30.53	31.5	31.72	31.97	31.48(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	80	12	114	0.04	50%	-0.11	78.2	3.59%	0	1.4	68	0
4	May_6_2009	27.52	28.96	30.25	31.21	31.34	31.69	32(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	90	14	109	0.07	50%	-0.07	77.9	3.61%	0	1.9	71	0
5	May_5_2009	27.54	28.66	29.81	30.8	30.91	31.48	31.46(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	140	19	97	0.06	50%	0	76.2	3.63%	0	1.8	71	0

6	May_4_2009	27.54	28.42	29.41	30.3	30.5	30.99	31.9(4.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	41	130	26	86	0.02	50%	0	80.5	3.62%	0	2.4	76	0
7	May_1_2009	27.54	28.18	28.92	29.69	29.78	30.35	30.66(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	140	12	60	0.04	50%	-0.04	88.7	3.6%	0	2.1	73	0
8	Apr_30_2009	27.55	27.98	28.66	29.43	29.44	30.01	30.04(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	140	18	62	0.04	50%	-0.07	93.5	3.62%	0	1.9	73	0
9	Apr_29_2009	27.57	27.76	28.47	29.14	29.21	29.22	29.92(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	10	17	61	0.07	48%	-0.04	83.8	3.63%	0	2	74	0
10	Apr_28_2009	27.58	27.53	28.27	28.66	28.84	28.88	28.96(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	30	4	52	0.06	50%	-0.07	72.4	3.67%	0	1.4	74	0

11	Apr_27_2009	27.6	27.3	28.13	28.36	28.56	29.2	28.86(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	180	17	51	0.05	50%	0	47.7	3.71%	0	1.3	66	0
12	Apr_24_2009	27.6	27.15	27.98	28	28	28.8	29.38(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	200	19	42	0.04	50%	0	47.5	3.68%	0	1.9	62	0
13	Apr_23_2009	27.6	27.02	27.75	27.79	27.6	27.91	28.58(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	60	11	33	0.05	50%	-0.04	59.8	3.7%	0	1.5	62	0
14	Apr_22_2009	27.61	26.9	27.57	27.73	27.61	27.19	27.54(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-120	-5	32	0.14	48%	-0.07	73.9	3.67%	0	0.6	65	0
15	Apr_21_2009	27.63	26.79	27.44	27.84	27.78	27.29	27.44(1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-130	-12	38	0.04	48%	-0.04	86.7	3.69%	0	0.6	67	0

16	Apr_20_2009	27.64	26.73	27.37	27.85	28	28.03	27.08(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	11	20	-4	57	0.09	45%	-0.14	107.6	3.7%	0	0.3	71	0
17	Apr_17_2009	27.68	26.6	27.41	27.92	27.97	28.28	28.32(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	80	11	75	0.04	47%	0	107.2	3.76%	0	1.5	64	0
18	Apr_16_2009	27.68	26.39	27.26	27.68	27.72	27.97	28.28(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	70	12	68	0.06	47%	-0.11	107.6	3.79%	0	1.6	56	0
19	Apr_15_2009	27.71	26.18	27.01	27.38	27.46	27.67	28.06(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	60	12	55	0.22	47%	-0.11	111.1	3.79%	0	1.5	57	0
20	Apr_14_2009	27.74	25.91	26.73	26.98	27.19	27.48	27.52(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	100	9	42	0.14	45%	-0.14	98.5	3.78%	0	1.2	61	0

21	Apr_13_2009	27.78	25.65	26.42	26.98	26.82	27.26	27.42(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	110	6	25	0.04	45%	-0.07	94	3.83%	0	1.1	55	0
22	Apr_9_2009	27.8	25.39	26.25	26.83	26.63	26.9	27.14(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	50	8	36	0.17	44%	-0.07	90.1	3.81%	0	1	63	0
23	Apr_8_2009	27.82	25.15	26.22	26.79	26.62	26.38	26.76(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	15	-80	4	49	0.08	44%	-0.14	88.2	3.86%	0	0.9	62	0
24	Apr_7_2009	27.86	24.88	26.17	26.58	26.65	26.36	26.08(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-70	-2	54	0.07	44%	-0.18	78.4	3.85%	0	0.6	61	0
25	Apr_6_2009	27.91	24.64	26.1	26.42	26.45	26.86	26.74(-2.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	110	12	71	0.35	44%		66.3	3.84%	0	0.9	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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