Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $25.1400 (-0.4%) ($24.9600 - $25.8600) on Thu. Feb. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.31% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $25.1400(-0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.655% (StdDev 3.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.9(-24.82%)
Resistance Level   $27.44
5 Day Moving Average   $26.17(-3.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.13(-7.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.44(-8.38%)
To recent high   -26.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 4.05% (three month std-dev: 3.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.71%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.3%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.6%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 10.56%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.2%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2009	31.29	27.44	27.13	26.17	25.94	25.31	25.14(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-200	-19	-57	0.03	34%	-0.6	-60.2	3.31%	0	-2.1	38	NAN
2	Feb_18_2009	31.48	27.6	27.37	26.74	26.43	25.42	25.24(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-39	-300	-34	-55	0.03	34%	-0.6	-64.5	3.37%	0	-2.4	32	NAN
3	Feb_17_2009	31.67	27.74	27.68	27.24	27.14	26.56	25.32(-7.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-36	-160	-35	-38	0.02	34%	-1.03	-82.9	3.37%	0	-3	41	NAN
4	Feb_13_2009	32	27.96	27.68	28.01	27.8	27.44	27.4(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-110	-13	-6	0.05	41%	-0.65	-79.5	3.3%	0	-0.8	49	NAN
5	Feb_12_2009	32.21	28.05	27.89	28.26	28.2	27.71	27.76(-0.86%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-5	-130	-8	4	0.1	39%	-0.62	-93.4	3.52%	0	-0.4	54	NAN

6	Feb_11_2009	32.41	28.13	27.9	28.24	28.46	28.17	28(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-50	-3	8	0.02	37%	-0.58	-109	3.56%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
7	Feb_10_2009	32.6	28.25	28.01	28.09	28.34	28.7	27.7(-5.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	120	-1	10	0.1	37%	-0.61	-104.9	3.62%	0	-0.6	48	NAN
8	Feb_9_2009	32.8	28.42	28.05	28.19	28.15	28.75	29.2(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	140	22	25	0.15	39%	-0.58	-89.7	3.57%	0	0.7	58	NAN
9	Feb_6_2009	32.99	28.54	27.91	27.76	27.8	27.98	28.62(3.47%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	10	50	14	-2	0.17	40%	-0.48	-86.9	3.61%	0	0.1	45	NAN
10	Feb_5_2009	33.15	28.78	27.77	27.5	27.43	27.55	27.66(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	20	-2	-28	0.27	38%	-0.48	-69.5	3.66%	0	-0.6	43	NAN

11	Feb_4_2009	33.31	29.04	27.74	27.52	27.48	27.63	27.28(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	30	-5	-39	0.68	43%	-0.54	-62.5	3.7%	0	-0.9	41	NAN
12	Feb_3_2009	33.49	29.32	27.84	27.93	27.62	27.31	28.18(4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-110	-3	-37	0.14	43%	-0.53	-52.4	3.87%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
13	Feb_2_2009	33.67	29.54	27.78	27.9	27.99	27.34	27.04(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-150	-13	-61	0.09	41%	-0.62	-50.1	3.83%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
14	Jan_30_2009	33.88	29.84	28.03	28.07	28.26	27.93	27.32(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-60	-9	-66	0.08	43%	-0.59	-44.9	3.84%	0	-1.1	28	NAN
15	Jan_29_2009	34.08	30.11	28.23	28.05	28.29	28.64	27.79(-5.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	110	5	-82	0.09	43%	-0.55	-43.6	3.88%	0	-1	25	NAN

16	Jan_28_2009	34.27	30.36	28.38	27.96	27.96	28.59	29.3(4.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-13	160	16	-99	0.1	48%	-0.52	-44.4	3.84%	0	-0.5	32	NAN
17	Jan_27_2009	34.45	30.49	28.49	27.75	27.48	27.93	28.06(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	90	10	-117	0.01	44%	-0.58	-48	3.9%	0	-1.1	26	NAN
18	Jan_26_2009	34.65	30.7	28.81	27.66	27.44	27.32	27.9(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-50	-3	-129	0.01	44%	-0.57	-53	3.95%	0	-1.3	27	NAN
19	Jan_23_2009	34.85	30.89	29.2	28.02	27.51	27.03	27.22(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-47	-180	-19	-129	0.07	42%	-0.6	-56.4	4.04%	0	-1.7	21	NAN
20	Jan_22_2009	35.06	31.12	29.85	28.44	28.23	27.56	27.34(-3.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-40	-190	-16	-113	0.04	40%	-0.62	-60.9	4.06%	0	-1.9	24	NAN

21	Jan_21_2009	35.28	31.4	30.43	28.84	28.71	27.98	28.22(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-190	-22	-102	0.18	38%	-0.62	-62.6	4.15%	0	-1.8	27	NAN
22	Jan_20_2009	35.5	31.63	30.92	29.35	29.11	28.89	27.62(-7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-39	-80	-23	-86	0.14	40%	-0.64	-60.2	4.2%	0	-2.5	30	NAN
23	Jan_16_2009	35.73	31.94	31.46	30.11	29.73	29.45	29.7(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-100	-10	-63	0.04	44%	-0.58	-54.5	4.13%	0	-1.7	36	NAN
24	Jan_15_2009	35.94	32.16	31.8	30.58	30.25	29.32	29.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-34	-250	-28	-53	0.09	41%	-0.55	-39.3	4.16%	0	-2.3	40	NAN
25	Jan_14_2009	36.14	32.4	32.17	31.49	31.06	30.02	29.34(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-30	-280	-31	-26	0.02	41%		-7.6	4.33%	0	-2.8	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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