Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $29.0200 (4.69%) ($27.5200 - $29.0600) on Fri. Nov. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.7% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $29.0200(4.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    IWM(73%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -2.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(12%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.35% (StdDev 4.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.16(-40.87%)
Resistance Level   $31.61
5 Day Moving Average   $29.48(-1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.66(-5.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.61(-8.19%)
To recent high   -41.8%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 6.64% (three month std-dev: 4.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 8.18%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 10.91%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.09%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2008	43.53	31.61	30.66	29.48	29.41	28.59	29.02(4.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-200	-17	-95	0.08	38%	-0.57	-38.4	4.7%	0	-1.2	43	NAN
2	Nov_20_2008	43.78	31.68	31.14	29.92	30.02	29.26	27.72(-5.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-46	-170	-31	-90	0.27	38%	-0.59	-43.6	4.65%	0	-2	40	NAN
3	Nov_19_2008	44.04	31.92	31.64	31.02	30.82	30.22	29.2(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-160	-12	-62	0.04	39%	-0.56	-39.3	4.62%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
4	Nov_18_2008	44.29	32.04	32.17	31.24	31.27	30.77	30.82(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-110	-10	-45	0.05	40%	-0.52	-43.2	4.59%	0	-0.7	52	NAN
5	Nov_17_2008	44.52	32.19	32.69	31.43	31.31	31.41	30.64(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	10	-14	-24	0.05	40%	-0.51	-45.3	4.58%	0	-0.8	54	NAN

6	Nov_14_2008	44.75	32.43	32.95	32.03	31.62	31.78	31.24(-5.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-0	-5	10	0.12	39%	-0.51	-41	4.58%	0	-0.6	61	NAN
7	Nov_13_2008	44.98	32.58	33.14	32.57	32.17	31.2	33.2(9.5%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-250	-3	35	0.18	40%	-0.49	-29.4	4.53%	0	0.3	60	NAN
8	Nov_12_2008	45.2	32.65	33.09	32.4	32.58	31.46	30.32(-4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-22	-220	-36	22	0.04	37%	-0.59	-29.8	4.36%	0	-1.2	48	NAN
9	Nov_11_2008	45.47	32.82	33.23	33.24	33.26	33.14	31.76(-5.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-20	-23	49	0.08	38%	-0.55	-21	4.33%	0	-0.5	54	NAN
10	Nov_10_2008	45.72	33.07	33.14	34.12	33.97	33.71	33.64(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-70	3	70	0.11	39%	-0.5	-7.5	4.29%	0	0.3	50	NAN

11	Nov_7_2008	45.95	33.23	32.65	34	34.28	33.37	33.92(4.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-160	-7	35	0.09	39%	-0.52	-10.7	4.29%	0	0.3	46	NAN
12	Nov_6_2008	46.19	33.16	32.26	33.8	34.22	34.24	32.36(-6.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	40	-10	13	0.03	38%	-0.56	-29.3	4.24%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
13	Nov_5_2008	46.45	33.24	32.24	33.86	33.97	35.19	34.52(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	260	26	18	0.06	40%	-0.51	-41.9	4.18%	0	0.6	49	NAN
14	Nov_4_2008	46.69	33.26	31.89	33.19	33.35	34.19	36.14(9.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	30	190	41	-2	0.11	41%	-0.47	-62.6	4.17%	0	1.2	56	NAN
15	Nov_3_2008	46.91	33.24	31.58	32.04	32.38	32.75	33.06(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	110	25	-53	0.03	38%	-0.53	-81.3	3.99%	0	-0.1	41	NAN

16	Oct_31_2008	47.16	33.48	31.8	31.11	31.46	32.52	32.94(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-4	270	23	-83	0.03	37%	-0.55	-82.8	3.99%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
17	Oct_30_2008	47.42	33.84	31.89	30.5	30.54	32.01	32.62(4.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	340	27	-91	0.05	37%	-0.52	-86.5	3.99%	0	-0.4	53	NAN
18	Oct_29_2008	47.67	34.23	32.08	30.5	29.86	30.4	31.18(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	70	16	-97	0.08	35%	-0.6	-83.5	3.93%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
19	Oct_28_2008	47.96	34.81	32.31	30.41	29.98	29.07	30.4(7.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-250	-20	-119	0.07	35%	-0.62	-81.2	3.91%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
20	Oct_27_2008	48.26	35.43	32.96	31.1	30.63	29.33	28.4(-4.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-71	-340	-55	-118	0.08	32%	-0.68	-79.7	3.79%	0	-1.7	37	NAN

21	Oct_24_2008	48.59	36.13	33.88	32.58	32	30.89	29.88(-7.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-300	-38	-80	0.02	33%	-0.65	-71.8	3.76%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
22	Oct_23_2008	48.91	36.98	34.2	33.44	33.34	31.93	32.18(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-310	-29	-90	0.07	34%	-0.61	-64.8	3.68%	0	-1	35	NAN
23	Oct_22_2008	49.21	37.73	34.4	33.98	33.91	33.1	31.2(-7.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-54	-170	-35	-109	0.05	34%	-0.61	-58.1	3.65%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
24	Oct_21_2008	49.51	38.48	34.84	34.45	34.45	34.76	33.82(-5.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	60	-12	-123	0.14	37%	-0.58	-53.6	3.54%	0	-0.9	33	NAN
25	Oct_20_2008	49.8	39.11	35.09	35.11	34.67	34.72	35.8(4.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-30	-3	-133	0.1	38%		-48.5	3.5%	0	-0.7	36	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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