Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 6, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $38.3400 (-6.3%) ($37.0800 - $39.2200) on Mon. Oct. 6, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $38.3400(-6.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -1.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.205% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $31.52(-17.79%)
Resistance Level   $44.73
5 Day Moving Average   $41.34(-7.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.51(-11.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.73(-14.29%)
To recent high   -28.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 5.86% (three month std-dev: 2.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.85%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.43%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 6.04%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -5.5%(25%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 10.72%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.2%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2008	52.53	44.73	43.51	41.34	41.15	39.92	38.34(-6.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-86	-220	-65	-149	0.31	33%	-0.51	-64.8	2.41%	0	-2.4	37	0
2	Oct_3_2008	52.8	45.21	44.41	42.12	42.31	41.61	40.92(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-66	-100	-49	-116	0.15	35%	-0.43	-73.1	2.32%	0	-2	41	0
3	Oct_2_2008	53.03	45.53	45.13	43.39	42.84	42.38	41(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-62	-110	-56	-78	0.05	35%	-0.41	-70.7	2.32%	0	-2.3	37	0
4	Oct_1_2008	53.25	45.86	45.52	44.72	44.15	43.02	43.34(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-220	-34	-41	0.06	38%	-0.36	-61.1	2.23%	0	-1.4	43	0
5	Sep_30_2008	53.44	46.17	45.54	45.33	45.3	43.3	43.08(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-67	-310	-71	-55	0.08	38%	-0.37	-49.6	2.23%	0	-1.6	43	0

6	Sep_29_2008	53.64	46.5	45.77	46.03	46.26	45.29	42.26(-10.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-67	-130	-75	-42	0.11	38%	-0.39	-39.7	2.22%	0	-2.4	41	0
7	Sep_26_2008	53.85	46.87	46.14	46.99	47.06	47.31	47.26(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	40	-4	8	0.03	43%	-0.28	-26.5	1.8%	0	0.2	49	0
8	Sep_25_2008	54	46.99	46.12	47.13	47.22	47.22	47.66(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	29	29	0.07	42%	-0.28	-20.7	1.83%	0	0.4	52	0
9	Sep_24_2008	54.15	47.03	45.99	46.46	47.08	46.81	46.4(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	11	-0	17	-6	0.1	39%	-0.33	-31.4	1.81%	0	-0.4	47	0
10	Sep_23_2008	54.33	47.13	46	45.79	46.37	47.21	46.56(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	160	17	-52	0.09	39%	-0.31	-43.9	1.81%	0	-0.3	40	0

11	Sep_22_2008	54.5	47.21	45.98	45.48	45.54	47.36	47.08(-1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	38	280	71	-63	0.13	39%	-0.29	-52.2	1.81%	0	-0.1	41	0
12	Sep_19_2008	54.66	47.31	46	45.16	44.76	45.53	47.96(8.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	21	90	59	-94	0.12	39%	-0.29	-58.1	1.81%	0	0.4	43	0
13	Sep_18_2008	54.82	47.35	45.87	45.03	44.37	43.73	44.32(2.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-76	-140	-38	-191	0.91	29%	-0.33	-62.8	1.47%	0	-1.6	25	0
14	Sep_17_2008	55	47.59	46.18	45.49	45.12	43.99	43.04(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-105	-200	-72	-205	0.16	25%	-0.36	-65.8	1.41%	0	-2.6	25	0
15	Sep_16_2008	55.2	47.93	46.83	46.21	45.78	45	45.02(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-96	-150	-70	-172	0.08	27%	-0.33	-76	1.32%	0	-2	34	0

16	Sep_15_2008	55.38	48.17	47.28	46.5	46.35	46.26	45.48(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-20	-33	-134	0.14	27%	-0.32	-85.2	1.32%	0	-2.1	36	0
17	Sep_12_2008	55.56	48.4	47.7	46.92	46.73	46.55	47.3(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-40	3	-100	0.08	30%	-0.29	-92.6	1.25%	0	-0.9	39	0
18	Sep_11_2008	55.72	48.55	47.94	46.86	46.89	46.44	46.62(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-70	-28	-112	0.08	26%	-0.29	-99.6	1.23%	0	-1.6	34	0
19	Sep_10_2008	55.88	48.77	48.17	46.99	47.09	46.9	46.64(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-20	-45	-114	0.09	25%	-0.3	-102.4	1.24%	0	-1.7	35	0
20	Sep_9_2008	56.05	49.03	48.36	47.57	47.42	47.34	46.48(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-20	-34	-88	0.25	25%	-0.3	-90.6	1.25%	0	-2	31	0

21	Sep_8_2008	56.22	49.31	48.57	48.19	48.07	47.28	47.58(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-120	-36	-70	0.27	27%	-0.28	-76.9	1.23%	0	-1.3	34	0
22	Sep_5_2008	56.38	49.52	48.73	48.6	48.6	47.51	46.96(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-88	-160	-91	-77	0.31	26%	-0.27	-66.1	1.25%	0	-1.9	27	0
23	Sep_4_2008	56.53	49.79	48.95	49.18	49.35	48.87	47.3(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-49	-60	-51	-41	0.41	26%	-0.28	-54.3	1.29%	0	-1.9	26	0
24	Sep_3_2008	56.69	50.08	49.14	49.48	49.77	49.69	49.52(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	10	7	-22	1.22	29%	-0.21	-47.4	1.18%	0	-0.4	31	0
25	Sep_2_2008	56.81	50.24	49.12	49.25	49.56	49.84	49.58(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	60	19	-54	0.08	28%		-48.1	1.18%	0	-0.4	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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