Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $43.0400 (-4.4%) ($42.8800 - $44.1500) on Wed. Sep. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $43.0400(-4.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(75%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.78(-9.9%)
Resistance Level   $47.59
5 Day Moving Average   $45.49(-5.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.18(-6.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.59(-9.56%)
To recent high   -26.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.68% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.86%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.98%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.14%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.25%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.96%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.11%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2008	55	47.59	46.18	45.49	45.12	43.99	43.04(-4.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-105	-200	-72	-205	0.16	25%	-0.36	-65.8	1.41%	0	-2.6	25	NAN
2	Sep_16_2008	55.2	47.93	46.83	46.21	45.78	45	45.02(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-96	-150	-70	-172	0.08	27%	-0.33	-76	1.32%	0	-2	34	NAN
3	Sep_15_2008	55.38	48.17	47.28	46.5	46.35	46.26	45.48(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-20	-33	-134	0.14	27%	-0.32	-85.2	1.32%	0	-2.1	36	NAN
4	Sep_12_2008	55.56	48.4	47.7	46.92	46.73	46.55	47.3(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-40	3	-100	0.08	30%	-0.29	-92.6	1.25%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
5	Sep_11_2008	55.72	48.55	47.94	46.86	46.89	46.44	46.62(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-70	-28	-112	0.08	26%	-0.29	-99.6	1.23%	0	-1.6	34	NAN

6	Sep_10_2008	55.88	48.77	48.17	46.99	47.09	46.9	46.64(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-20	-45	-114	0.09	25%	-0.3	-102.4	1.24%	0	-1.7	35	NAN
7	Sep_9_2008	56.05	49.03	48.36	47.57	47.42	47.34	46.48(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-20	-34	-88	0.25	25%	-0.3	-90.6	1.25%	0	-2	31	NAN
8	Sep_8_2008	56.22	49.31	48.57	48.19	48.07	47.28	47.58(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-120	-36	-70	0.27	27%	-0.28	-76.9	1.23%	0	-1.3	34	NAN
9	Sep_5_2008	56.38	49.52	48.73	48.6	48.6	47.51	46.96(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-88	-160	-91	-77	0.31	26%	-0.27	-66.1	1.25%	0	-1.9	27	NAN
10	Sep_4_2008	56.53	49.79	48.95	49.18	49.35	48.87	47.3(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-49	-60	-51	-41	0.41	26%	-0.28	-54.3	1.29%	0	-1.9	26	NAN

11	Sep_3_2008	56.69	50.08	49.14	49.48	49.77	49.69	49.52(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	10	7	-22	1.22	29%	-0.21	-47.4	1.18%	0	-0.4	31	NAN
12	Sep_2_2008	56.81	50.24	49.12	49.25	49.56	49.84	49.58(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	60	19	-54	0.08	28%	-0.28	-48.1	1.18%	0	-0.4	27	NAN
13	Aug_29_2008	56.97	50.33	49.13	49	49.14	49.85	49.66(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	110	35	-82	0.02	28%	-0.23	-57.1	1.2%	0	-0.5	26	NAN
14	Aug_28_2008	57.1	50.42	49.14	48.89	48.84	49.29	49.84(2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	60	46	-103	0.03	28%	-0.23	-63.2	1.2%	0	-0.4	28	NAN
15	Aug_27_2008	57.23	50.53	49.17	48.73	48.65	48.44	48.82(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-40	0	-156	0.07	24%	-0.23	-66.5	1.16%	0	-1.1	12	NAN

16	Aug_26_2008	57.36	50.73	49.38	48.76	48.69	48.39	48.36(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-71	-50	-32	-188	0.21	24%	-0.24	-68.8	1.15%	0	-1.5	4	NAN
17	Aug_25_2008	57.5	50.96	49.72	48.96	48.88	48.85	48.34(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-62	-10	-21	-183	0.03	24%	-0.23	-70.9	1.16%	0	-1.7	4	NAN
18	Aug_22_2008	57.63	51.18	50.08	49.25	49.06	49	49.1(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-20	-9	-161	0.09	25%	-0.23	-71.9	1.15%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
19	Aug_21_2008	57.76	51.4	50.36	49.42	49.32	48.91	49.02(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-60	-25	-156	0.03	25%	-0.21	-70.7	1.17%	0	-1.7	31	NAN
20	Aug_20_2008	57.88	51.6	50.7	49.68	49.6	49.12	49(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-70	-51	-151	0.21	25%	-0.21	-65.6	1.17%	0	-1.9	29	NAN

21	Aug_19_2008	58	51.84	51.09	50.1	50	49.74	49.36(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-63	-40	-42	-126	0.07	25%	-0.17	-55.6	1.17%	0	-2	26	NAN
22	Aug_18_2008	58.1	52.06	51.46	50.6	50.42	50.07	49.78(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-60	-34	-97	0.02	25%	-0.14	-40.9	1.17%	0	-2	28	NAN
23	Aug_15_2008	58.18	52.24	51.64	51.04	50.87	50.26	49.92(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-58	-90	-48	-89	0.08	25%	-0.14	-27.2	1.19%	0	-2.3	32	NAN
24	Aug_14_2008	58.26	52.4	51.84	51.44	51.4	50.77	50.34(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-59	-90	-50	-84	0.12	25%	-0.15	-16.9	1.2%	0	-2.5	30	NAN
25	Aug_13_2008	58.35	52.5	52.03	51.87	51.67	51.48	51.12(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-40	-44	-68	0.09	26%		-10.9	1.2%	0	-1.9	37	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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