Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $47.3000 (-4.48%) ($47.2000 - $49.2000) on Thu. Sep. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $47.3000(-4.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(75%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

Resistance Level   $49.79
5 Day Moving Average   $49.18(-3.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.95(-3.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.79(-5%)
To recent high   -24.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.81%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.33%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.98%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.06%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2008	56.53	49.79	48.95	49.18	49.35	48.87	47.3(-4.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-49	-60	-51	-41	0.41	26%	-0.28	-54.3	1.29%	0	-1.9	26	NAN
2	Sep_3_2008	56.69	50.08	49.14	49.48	49.77	49.69	49.52(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	10	7	-22	1.22	29%	-0.21	-47.4	1.18%	0	-0.4	31	NAN
3	Sep_2_2008	56.81	50.24	49.12	49.25	49.56	49.84	49.58(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	60	19	-54	0.08	28%	-0.28	-48.1	1.18%	0	-0.4	27	NAN
4	Aug_29_2008	56.97	50.33	49.13	49	49.14	49.85	49.66(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	110	35	-82	0.02	28%	-0.23	-57.1	1.2%	0	-0.5	26	NAN
5	Aug_28_2008	57.1	50.42	49.14	48.89	48.84	49.29	49.84(2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	60	46	-103	0.03	28%	-0.23	-63.2	1.2%	0	-0.4	28	NAN

6	Aug_27_2008	57.23	50.53	49.17	48.73	48.65	48.44	48.82(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-40	0	-156	0.07	24%	-0.23	-66.5	1.16%	0	-1.1	12	NAN
7	Aug_26_2008	57.36	50.73	49.38	48.76	48.69	48.39	48.36(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-71	-50	-32	-188	0.21	24%	-0.24	-68.8	1.15%	0	-1.5	4	NAN
8	Aug_25_2008	57.5	50.96	49.72	48.96	48.88	48.85	48.34(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-62	-10	-21	-183	0.03	24%	-0.23	-70.9	1.16%	0	-1.7	4	NAN
9	Aug_22_2008	57.63	51.18	50.08	49.25	49.06	49	49.1(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-20	-9	-161	0.09	25%	-0.23	-71.9	1.15%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
10	Aug_21_2008	57.76	51.4	50.36	49.42	49.32	48.91	49.02(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-58	-60	-25	-156	0.03	25%	-0.21	-70.7	1.17%	0	-1.7	31	NAN

11	Aug_20_2008	57.88	51.6	50.7	49.68	49.6	49.12	49(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-76	-70	-51	-151	0.21	25%	-0.21	-65.6	1.17%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
12	Aug_19_2008	58	51.84	51.09	50.1	50	49.74	49.36(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-63	-40	-42	-126	0.07	25%	-0.17	-55.6	1.17%	0	-2	26	NAN
13	Aug_18_2008	58.1	52.06	51.46	50.6	50.42	50.07	49.78(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-60	-34	-97	0.02	25%	-0.14	-40.9	1.17%	0	-2	28	NAN
14	Aug_15_2008	58.18	52.24	51.64	51.04	50.87	50.26	49.92(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-58	-90	-48	-89	0.08	25%	-0.14	-27.2	1.19%	0	-2.3	32	NAN
15	Aug_14_2008	58.26	52.4	51.84	51.44	51.4	50.77	50.34(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-59	-90	-50	-84	0.12	25%	-0.15	-16.9	1.2%	0	-2.5	30	NAN

16	Aug_13_2008	58.35	52.5	52.03	51.87	51.67	51.48	51.12(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-40	-44	-68	0.09	26%	-0.12	-10.9	1.2%	0	-1.9	37	NAN
17	Aug_12_2008	58.42	52.55	52.21	52.23	52.07	52.03	51.84(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10	-5	-42	0.1	27%	-0.07	-1.5	1.19%	0	-1	35	NAN
18	Aug_11_2008	58.46	52.55	52.31	52.46	52.27	51.86	52(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-70	-9	-36	0.09	27%	-0.12	-4.3	1.21%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
19	Aug_8_2008	58.53	52.52	52.37	52.33	52.38	52.11	51.9(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-30	-21	-55	0.13	27%	-0.07	-16.8	1.21%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
20	Aug_7_2008	58.57	52.54	52.51	52.28	52.36	52.68	52.48(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	50	5	-45	0.13	25%	-0.05	-28.1	1.2%	0	-0.1	48	NAN

21	Aug_6_2008	58.6	52.58	52.56	52.28	52.28	52.66	52.94(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	60	27	-33	0.02	25%	-0.1	-32.4	1.22%	0	0.5	56	NAN
22	Aug_5_2008	58.66	52.58	52.62	52.2	52.19	52.05	52.98(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-20	6	-25	0.1	25%	-0.09	-38.8	1.23%	0	0.6	60	NAN
23	Aug_4_2008	58.71	52.55	52.66	52.18	52.2	51.91	51.36(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-40	-33	-23	0.08	19%	-0.1	-43.9	1.16%	0	-1.6	56	NAN
24	Aug_1_2008	58.77	52.64	52.87	52.42	52.47	52.33	51.66(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-20	-22	8	0.04	19%	-0.14	-42.1	1.16%	0	-1.4	52	NAN
25	Jul_31_2008	58.85	52.75	53	52.76	52.62	52.49	52.08(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-30	-17	34	0.03	19%		-27.4	1.16%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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