Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $49.7800 (-0.28%) ($49.6200 - $50.6000) on Mon. Aug. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $49.7800(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $47.23(-5.12%)
Resistance Level   $52.06
5 Day Moving Average   $50.6(-1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.46(-3.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.06(-4.38%)
To recent high   -22.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.15% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.31%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.63%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2008	58.1	52.06	51.46	50.6	50.42	50.07	49.78(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-60	-34	-97	0.02	25%	-0.14	-40.9	1.17%	0	-2	28	NAN
2	Aug_15_2008	58.18	52.24	51.64	51.04	50.87	50.26	49.92(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-58	-90	-48	-89	0.08	25%	-0.14	-27.2	1.19%	0	-2.3	32	NAN
3	Aug_14_2008	58.26	52.4	51.84	51.44	51.4	50.77	50.34(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-59	-90	-50	-84	0.12	25%	-0.15	-16.9	1.2%	0	-2.5	30	NAN
4	Aug_13_2008	58.35	52.5	52.03	51.87	51.67	51.48	51.12(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-50	-40	-44	-68	0.09	26%	-0.12	-10.9	1.2%	0	-1.9	37	NAN
5	Aug_12_2008	58.42	52.55	52.21	52.23	52.07	52.03	51.84(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10	-5	-42	0.1	27%	-0.07	-1.5	1.19%	0	-1	35	NAN

6	Aug_11_2008	58.46	52.55	52.31	52.46	52.27	51.86	52(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-70	-9	-36	0.09	27%	-0.12	-4.3	1.21%	0	-0.7	39	NAN
7	Aug_8_2008	58.53	52.52	52.37	52.33	52.38	52.11	51.9(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-30	-21	-55	0.13	27%	-0.07	-16.8	1.21%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
8	Aug_7_2008	58.57	52.54	52.51	52.28	52.36	52.68	52.48(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	50	5	-45	0.13	25%	-0.05	-28.1	1.2%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
9	Aug_6_2008	58.6	52.58	52.56	52.28	52.28	52.66	52.94(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	60	27	-33	0.02	25%	-0.1	-32.4	1.22%	0	0.5	56	NAN
10	Aug_5_2008	58.66	52.58	52.62	52.2	52.19	52.05	52.98(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-20	6	-25	0.1	25%	-0.09	-38.8	1.23%	0	0.6	60	NAN

11	Aug_4_2008	58.71	52.55	52.66	52.18	52.2	51.91	51.36(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-40	-33	-23	0.08	19%	-0.1	-43.9	1.16%	0	-1.6	56	NAN
12	Aug_1_2008	58.77	52.64	52.87	52.42	52.47	52.33	51.66(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-20	-22	8	0.04	19%	-0.14	-42.1	1.16%	0	-1.4	52	NAN
13	Jul_31_2008	58.85	52.75	53	52.76	52.62	52.49	52.08(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-30	-17	34	0.03	19%	-0.1	-27.4	1.16%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
14	Jul_30_2008	58.91	52.82	53.03	52.94	52.84	52.62	52.9(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-30	-17	35	0.34	19%	-0.12	-31.3	1.16%	0	0.1	46	NAN
15	Jul_29_2008	58.98	52.84	52.93	53.12	53.04	52.76	52.92(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-40	-25	36	0.14	19%	-0.07	-44.1	1.16%	0	0.1	53	NAN

16	Jul_28_2008	59.02	52.88	52.76	53.23	53.34	53.07	52.56(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-30	-17	29	0.04	19%	-0.08	-54.2	1.15%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
17	Jul_25_2008	59.07	52.93	52.69	53.38	53.34	53.32	53.32(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10	-9	31	0.04	20%	-0.1	-64.1	1.15%	0	0.5	52	NAN
18	Jul_24_2008	59.13	52.94	52.59	53.28	53.39	53.61	53.02(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	40	17	22	0.04	20%	-0.12	-90.5	1.15%	0	0.1	44	NAN
19	Jul_23_2008	59.2	53.04	52.61	53.11	53.2	53.46	53.76(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	40	37	20	0.02	21%	-0.08	-93.7	1.14%	0	0.8	49	NAN
20	Jul_22_2008	59.25	53.16	52.46	52.7	52.78	53.17	53.48(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	60	39	-11	0.29	21%	-0.12	-90.6	1.14%	0	0.3	50	NAN

21	Jul_21_2008	59.32	53.29	52.4	52.22	52.3	52.94	53.3(0.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	26	90	48	-41	0.04	21%	-0.1	-94.6	1.14%	0	0	45	NAN
22	Jul_18_2008	59.38	53.43	52.35	51.92	51.79	52.39	52.86(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	70	39	-70	0.03	21%	-0.15	-95.8	1.14%	0	-0.4	44	NAN
23	Jul_17_2008	59.47	53.66	52.43	51.81	51.68	51.66	52.16(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10	11	-88	0.64	18%	-0.15	-84.6	1.13%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
24	Jul_16_2008	59.56	53.93	52.57	52.06	51.72	51.19	51.72(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-90	-41	-111	0.1	24%	-0.15	-75.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	28	NAN
25	Jul_15_2008	59.65	54.26	52.73	52.2	52.22	51.7	51.08(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-69	-70	-48	-133	0.52	21%		-70.7	1.17%	0	-1.5	20	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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