Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $51.3600 (-0.58%) ($51.2000 - $51.8200) on Mon. Aug. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $51.3600(-0.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $52.55
5 Day Moving Average   $52.18(-1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.66(-2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.55(-2.26%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.61%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.93%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.12%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.88%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2008	58.71	52.55	52.66	52.18	52.2	51.91	51.36(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-40	-33	-23	0.08	19%	-0.1	-43.9	1.16%	0	-1.6	56	NAN
2	Aug_1_2008	58.77	52.64	52.87	52.42	52.47	52.33	51.66(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-20	-22	8	0.04	19%	-0.14	-42.1	1.16%	0	-1.4	52	NAN
3	Jul_31_2008	58.85	52.75	53	52.76	52.62	52.49	52.08(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-30	-17	34	0.03	19%	-0.1	-27.4	1.16%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
4	Jul_30_2008	58.91	52.82	53.03	52.94	52.84	52.62	52.9(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-30	-17	35	0.34	19%	-0.12	-31.3	1.16%	0	0.1	46	NAN
5	Jul_29_2008	58.98	52.84	52.93	53.12	53.04	52.76	52.92(0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-40	-25	36	0.14	19%	-0.07	-44.1	1.16%	0	0.1	53	NAN

6	Jul_28_2008	59.02	52.88	52.76	53.23	53.34	53.07	52.56(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-30	-17	29	0.04	19%	-0.08	-54.2	1.15%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
7	Jul_25_2008	59.07	52.93	52.69	53.38	53.34	53.32	53.32(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10	-9	31	0.04	20%	-0.1	-64.1	1.15%	0	0.5	52	NAN
8	Jul_24_2008	59.13	52.94	52.59	53.28	53.39	53.61	53.02(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	40	17	22	0.04	20%	-0.12	-90.5	1.15%	0	0.1	44	NAN
9	Jul_23_2008	59.2	53.04	52.61	53.11	53.2	53.46	53.76(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	40	37	20	0.02	21%	-0.08	-93.7	1.14%	0	0.8	49	NAN
10	Jul_22_2008	59.25	53.16	52.46	52.7	52.78	53.17	53.48(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	60	39	-11	0.29	21%	-0.12	-90.6	1.14%	0	0.3	50	NAN

11	Jul_21_2008	59.32	53.29	52.4	52.22	52.3	52.94	53.3(0.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	26	90	48	-41	0.04	21%	-0.1	-94.6	1.14%	0	0	45	NAN
12	Jul_18_2008	59.38	53.43	52.35	51.92	51.79	52.39	52.86(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	70	39	-70	0.03	21%	-0.15	-95.8	1.14%	0	-0.4	44	NAN
13	Jul_17_2008	59.47	53.66	52.43	51.81	51.68	51.66	52.16(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10	11	-88	0.64	18%	-0.15	-84.6	1.13%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
14	Jul_16_2008	59.56	53.93	52.57	52.06	51.72	51.19	51.72(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-90	-41	-111	0.1	24%	-0.15	-75.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	28	NAN
15	Jul_15_2008	59.65	54.26	52.73	52.2	52.22	51.7	51.08(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-69	-70	-48	-133	0.52	21%	-0.15	-70.7	1.17%	0	-1.5	20	NAN

16	Jul_14_2008	59.74	54.63	53.01	52.59	52.67	52.26	51.78(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-50	-33	-130	0.18	22%	-0.12	-69.1	1.16%	0	-1.3	22	NAN
17	Jul_11_2008	59.81	54.93	53.21	52.82	52.82	52.75	52.32(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-57	-10	-29	-142	0.13	22%	-0.12	-72.7	1.16%	0	-1.2	23	NAN
18	Jul_10_2008	59.88	55.21	53.36	53.13	53	53.08	53.38(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	0	1	-152	0.1	24%	-0.1	-79.6	1.15%	0	-0.9	22	NAN
19	Jul_9_2008	59.94	55.45	53.53	53.17	53.21	52.89	52.42(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-40	-15	-185	0.09	18%	-0.12	-83.3	1.12%	0	-1.4	13	NAN
20	Jul_8_2008	60.01	55.79	53.92	53.35	53.51	52.92	53.06(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-76	-70	-34	-203	0.07	19%	-0.13	-85.9	1.12%	0	-1.3	12	NAN

21	Jul_7_2008	60.09	56.15	54.24	53.5	53.58	53.53	52.9(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-83	-0	-38	-217	0.2	19%	-0.07	-84.4	1.12%	0	-1.4	13	NAN
22	Jul_3_2008	60.13	56.53	54.59	53.66	53.83	54.1	53.88(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	40	23	-203	0.17	21%	-0.1	-78.7	1.1%	0	-1	21	NAN
23	Jul_2_2008	60.19	56.94	54.96	53.62	53.81	53.63	53.6(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-10	-8	-220	0.18	21%	-0.08	-78.2	1.1%	0	-1.3	20	NAN
24	Jul_1_2008	60.24	57.31	55.38	53.95	53.82	53.56	53.3(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-98	-40	-55	-227	0.13	29%	-0.07	-78.7	1.11%	0	-1.5	16	NAN
25	Jun_30_2008	60.28	57.72	55.9	54.59	54.37	53.99	53.82(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-60	-34	-187	0.05	29%		-76.7	1.16%	0	-1.5	14	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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