Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 24, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $53.0200 (-1.38%) ($52.9600 - $53.9200) on Thu. Jul. 24, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $53.0200(-1.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.28(-0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.59(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.94(0.15%)
To recent high   -17.5%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2008	59.13	52.94	52.59	53.28	53.39	53.61	53.02(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	40	17	22	0.04	20%	-0.12	-90.5	1.15%	0	0.1	44	0
2	Jul_23_2008	59.2	53.04	52.61	53.11	53.2	53.46	53.76(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	40	37	20	0.02	21%	-0.08	-93.7	1.14%	0	0.8	49	0
3	Jul_22_2008	59.25	53.16	52.46	52.7	52.78	53.17	53.48(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	27	60	39	-11	0.29	21%	-0.12	-90.6	1.14%	0	0.3	50	0
4	Jul_21_2008	59.32	53.29	52.4	52.22	52.3	52.94	53.3(0.83%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	26	90	48	-41	0.04	21%	-0.1	-94.6	1.14%	0	0	45	0
5	Jul_18_2008	59.38	53.43	52.35	51.92	51.79	52.39	52.86(1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	70	39	-70	0.03	21%	-0.15	-95.8	1.14%	0	-0.4	44	0

6	Jul_17_2008	59.47	53.66	52.43	51.81	51.68	51.66	52.16(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10	11	-88	0.64	18%	-0.15	-84.6	1.13%	0	-0.8	39	0
7	Jul_16_2008	59.56	53.93	52.57	52.06	51.72	51.19	51.72(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-90	-41	-111	0.1	24%	-0.15	-75.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	28	0
8	Jul_15_2008	59.65	54.26	52.73	52.2	52.22	51.7	51.08(-1.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-69	-70	-48	-133	0.52	21%	-0.15	-70.7	1.17%	0	-1.5	20	0
9	Jul_14_2008	59.74	54.63	53.01	52.59	52.67	52.26	51.78(-1.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-50	-33	-130	0.18	22%	-0.12	-69.1	1.16%	0	-1.3	22	0
10	Jul_11_2008	59.81	54.93	53.21	52.82	52.82	52.75	52.32(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-57	-10	-29	-142	0.13	22%	-0.12	-72.7	1.16%	0	-1.2	23	0

11	Jul_10_2008	59.88	55.21	53.36	53.13	53	53.08	53.38(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	0	1	-152	0.1	24%	-0.1	-79.6	1.15%	0	-0.9	22	0
12	Jul_9_2008	59.94	55.45	53.53	53.17	53.21	52.89	52.42(-1.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-58	-40	-15	-185	0.09	18%	-0.12	-83.3	1.12%	0	-1.4	13	0
13	Jul_8_2008	60.01	55.79	53.92	53.35	53.51	52.92	53.06(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-76	-70	-34	-203	0.07	19%	-0.13	-85.9	1.12%	0	-1.3	12	0
14	Jul_7_2008	60.09	56.15	54.24	53.5	53.58	53.53	52.9(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-83	-0	-38	-217	0.2	19%	-0.07	-84.4	1.12%	0	-1.4	13	0
15	Jul_3_2008	60.13	56.53	54.59	53.66	53.83	54.1	53.88(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-34	40	23	-203	0.17	21%	-0.1	-78.7	1.1%	0	-1	21	0

16	Jul_2_2008	60.19	56.94	54.96	53.62	53.81	53.63	53.6(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-61	-10	-8	-220	0.18	21%	-0.08	-78.2	1.1%	0	-1.3	20	0
17	Jul_1_2008	60.24	57.31	55.38	53.95	53.82	53.56	53.3(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-98	-40	-55	-227	0.13	29%	-0.07	-78.7	1.11%	0	-1.5	16	0
18	Jun_30_2008	60.28	57.72	55.9	54.59	54.37	53.99	53.82(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-60	-34	-187	0.05	29%	-0.03	-76.7	1.16%	0	-1.5	14	0
19	Jun_27_2008	60.3	58.13	56.36	55.11	54.92	54.08	53.68(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-95	-120	-63	-191	0.03	29%	-0.08	-74.4	1.16%	0	-1.7	11	0
20	Jun_26_2008	60.35	58.61	56.8	55.67	55.55	54.75	53.7(-2.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-111	-110	-83	-194	0.26	29%	-0.07	-73.8	1.16%	0	-2	11	0

21	Jun_25_2008	60.39	59.05	57.24	56.48	56.13	55.76	55.26(-2.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-92	-60	-59	-190	0.06	39%	-0.05	-71.6	1.11%	0	-1.6	10	0
22	Jun_24_2008	60.42	59.44	57.56	57	56.73	56.34	56.5(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-60	-32	-177	0.08	47%	-0.08	-69.1	1.12%	0	-1.3	25	0
23	Jun_23_2008	60.47	59.77	57.84	57.42	57.14	56.51	56.4(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-87	-90	-55	-182	0.02	47%	-0.07	-67.8	1.14%	0	-1.5	23	0
24	Jun_20_2008	60.51	60.14	58.22	57.82	57.74	57.12	56.48(-2.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-80	-80	-48	-174	0.03	47%	-0.07	-65	1.15%	0	-1.6	22	0
25	Jun_19_2008	60.55	60.51	58.62	58.11	58.15	57.78	57.78(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	-40	-25	-178	0.49	42%		-62.5	1.12%	0	-1.3	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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