Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $58.3400 (-1.62%) ($58.1400 - $58.9000) on Wed. Jun. 11, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $58.3400(-1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(17%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $55.89(-4.2%)
Resistance Level   $62.17
5 Day Moving Average   $60.16(-3.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.01(-4.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.17(-6.16%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.24%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.6%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.8%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.9%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.11%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2008	60.66	62.17	61.01	60.16	59.85	58.94	58.34(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-89	-120	-70	-146	0.12	51%	-0.03	-40.2	1.34%	0	-2.4	28	0
2	Jun_10_2008	60.68	62.39	61.48	60.72	60.68	59.95	59.3(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-90	-48	-113	0.18	54%	-0.02	-42.8	1.42%	0	-2.4	30	0
3	Jun_9_2008	60.69	62.59	61.88	61.14	61.14	60.75	60.3(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-40	-37	-98	0.43	56%	-0.03	-43.4	1.42%	0	-2.1	31	0
4	Jun_6_2008	60.71	62.69	62.22	61.48	61.41	61.42	60.48(-3.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-0	-21	-83	0.43	53%	-0.03	-44.1	1.44%	0	-2.3	30	0
5	Jun_5_2008	60.73	62.69	62.57	62	61.7	61.52	62.36(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-30	-2	-55	0.16	60%	-0.02	-38.6	1.41%	0	-0.6	44	0

6	Jun_4_2008	60.74	62.81	62.65	62.02	61.98	61.41	61.14(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-70	-32	-65	0.07	58%	-0.05	-39.4	1.4%	0	-2.1	43	0
7	Jun_3_2008	60.77	62.95	62.88	62.38	62.28	61.88	61.4(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-41	-50	-38	-48	0.28	58%	-0.08	-21.6	1.41%	0	-2.1	47	0
8	Jun_2_2008	60.82	63.06	63.12	62.73	62.58	62.56	62(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10	-18	-23	0.1	58%	-0.05	-4	1.41%	0	-1.7	46	0
9	May_30_2008	60.85	63.12	63.35	63.08	62.83	62.69	63.12(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-30	-5	8	0.05	61%	-0.03	12.9	1.4%	0	0	58	0
10	May_29_2008	60.87	63.11	63.38	63.24	63.02	62.61	62.42(-0.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-16	-60	-25	13	0.17	56%	-0.05	23.7	1.41%	0	-1.2	52	0

11	May_28_2008	60.9	63.13	63.43	63.38	63.42	62.98	62.98(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-50	-20	21	0.07	56%	-0.03	30.4	1.44%	0	-0.3	56	0
12	May_27_2008	60.92	63.11	63.38	63.45	63.56	63.44	63.12(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-10	-19	16	0.04	56%	-0.11	29.5	1.44%	0	0	45	0
13	May_23_2008	60.99	63.08	63.36	63.57	63.56	63.86	63.74(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	30	4	27	0.03	59%	-0.05	28.7	1.45%	0	1.1	51	0
14	May_22_2008	61.02	63.05	63.2	63.68	63.63	63.69	63.94(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	0	13	29	0.04	59%	-0.03	37	1.46%	0	1.5	55	0
15	May_21_2008	61.04	62.97	63.05	63.57	63.6	63.4	63.14(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-20	-2	16	0.12	59%	0.03	38.4	1.45%	0	0.3	52	0

16	May_20_2008	61.02	62.95	62.98	63.47	63.52	63.57	63.32(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	10	-1	13	0.11	59%	-0.03	31.4	1.46%	0	0.7	56	0
17	May_19_2008	61.04	62.93	63.02	63.27	63.38	63.81	63.72(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	50	23	23	0.05	59%	-0.07	34.5	1.46%	0	1.4	59	0
18	May_16_2008	61.08	62.91	62.98	63.1	63	63.47	64.28(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	32	50	34	26	0.07	59%	-0.03	47	1.46%	0	2.6	62	0
19	May_15_2008	61.1	62.83	62.84	62.67	62.68	62.95	63.38(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	21	30	25	7	0.06	59%	-0.03	43.1	1.46%	0	1.2	52	0
20	May_14_2008	61.12	62.77	62.79	62.47	62.37	62.53	62.66(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	10	7	-5	0.08	59%	0.02	31.9	1.45%	0	-0.3	52	0

21	May_13_2008	61.11	62.78	62.78	62.43	62.29	62.4	62.3(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	10	-3	-11	0.06	62%	-0.05	29.8	1.46%	0	-0.9	48	0
22	May_12_2008	61.14	62.74	62.82	62.73	62.44	62.22	62.9(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-40	-6	-5	0.06	64%	-0.05	35.4	1.48%	0	0.3	49	0
23	May_9_2008	61.17	62.67	62.78	62.84	62.68	62.19	62.1(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-60	-28	-15	0.09	64%	-0.03	30.3	1.48%	0	-0.8	37	0
24	May_8_2008	61.19	62.64	62.89	63.03	63.09	62.65	62.4(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-50	-23	-5	0.13	60%	-0.1	36.4	1.49%	0	-0.4	47	0
25	May_7_2008	61.25	62.63	62.91	63.14	63.23	63.17	62.44(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-7	-0	-11	7	0.19	60%		46.7	1.53%	0	-0.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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