Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 7, 2008

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $65.6800 (0.95%) ($65.3200 - $65.9600) on Mon. Jan. 7, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $65.6800(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(92%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(10%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $60.39(-8.05%)
Resistance Level   $67.56
5 Day Moving Average   $65.89(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.93(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.56(-2.78%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 3.37% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.93%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.03%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.96%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.66%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.25%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2008	68.89	67.56	65.93	65.89	66.22	65.63	65.68(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-50	-35	-61	0.13	40%	0.01	-54.6	1.5%	0	-0.8	35	0
2	Jan_4_2008	68.88	67.86	65.86	66.19	66.46	66.36	65.06(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	0	-25	-80	0.19	40%	0.01	-47	1.49%	0	-1.2	28	0
3	Jan_3_2008	68.87	68.16	66.1	66.35	66.78	66.81	66.48(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	20	17	-82	0.09	42%	0.04	-44.8	1.48%	0	-0.7	28	0
4	Jan_2_2008	68.84	68.37	66.28	66.24	66.51	66.55	66.34(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-24	20	2	-103	0.08	42%	0.06	-43.6	1.49%	0	-0.8	35	0
5	Dec_31_2007	68.8	68.58	66.41	66.08	66.23	66.74	65.88(-1.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	60	16	-127	0.25	45%	0	-42.2	1.49%	0	-1.1	28	0

6	Dec_28_2007	68.8	68.83	66.71	65.96	65.99	66.47	67.18(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	50	44	-135	0.07	46%	-0.03	-43.5	1.49%	0	-0.7	34	0
7	Dec_27_2007	68.82	69.01	67.02	65.49	65.54	65.72	65.86(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-38	20	7	-174	0.02	44%	-0.04	-45.2	1.47%	0	-1.3	28	0
8	Dec_26_2007	68.85	69.28	67.58	65.84	65.2	65.52	65.92(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-57	10	-19	-172	0.02	44%	-0.01	-39.9	1.48%	0	-1.4	32	0
9	Dec_24_2007	68.86	69.48	68.03	66.36	65.85	65.37	65.56(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-70	-7	-156	0.02	44%	-0.01	-34.4	1.46%	0	-1.8	33	0
10	Dec_21_2007	68.87	69.65	68.69	66.81	66.56	64.88	65.26(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-101	-190	-80	-165	0.02	44%	-0.03	-35.3	1.46%	0	-2.2	32	0

11	Dec_20_2007	68.89	69.91	69.34	67.57	67.31	66.33	64.84(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-123	-110	-113	-151	0.08	44%	-0.04	-26.2	1.46%	0	-2.9	30	0
12	Dec_19_2007	68.92	70.13	70.06	68.76	68.48	68.25	67.64(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-46	-40	-34	-82	0.04	48%	0.01	-14.4	1.37%	0	-1.8	37	0
13	Dec_18_2007	68.91	70.13	70.43	69.57	69.18	68.3	68.48(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-110	-42	-60	0.05	53%	0.01	1.1	1.36%	0	-1.4	38	0
14	Dec_17_2007	68.9	70.24	70.66	69.96	70.03	68.72	67.84(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-74	-130	-80	-54	0.04	53%	0.01	10.3	1.45%	0	-1.9	46	0
15	Dec_14_2007	68.89	70.36	70.98	70.85	70.83	70.07	69.04(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-53	-80	-68	-9	0.04	55%	0.03	40.4	1.45%	0	-1.1	57	0

16	Dec_13_2007	68.87	70.38	70.98	71.36	71.51	71.34	70.78(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10	-17	34	0.05	58%	0.01	50.6	1.42%	0	0.3	55	0
17	Dec_12_2007	68.86	70.32	71.18	71.56	71.71	71.59	71.7(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10	3	62	0.07	58%	0.04	54.2	1.41%	0	1.2	65	0
18	Dec_11_2007	68.83	70.23	71.12	71.44	71.54	71.68	70.46(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	13	20	-5	67	0.09	56%	-0.01	49.1	1.39%	0	0.2	55	0
19	Dec_10_2007	68.84	70.1	71.05	71.46	71.48	71.83	72.28(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	40	31	94	0.1	60%	0.01	36.2	1.36%	0	1.8	69	0
20	Dec_7_2007	68.83	69.89	70.67	71.13	71.08	71.4	71.58(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	30	17	69	0.03	58%	0	18.8	1.36%	0	1.4	55	0

21	Dec_6_2007	68.83	69.79	70.5	70.97	70.89	71.14	71.76(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	20	19	70	0.06	58%	0	13.6	1.37%	0	1.7	60	0
22	Dec_5_2007	68.83	69.69	70.17	70.76	70.87	70.75	71.1(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10	5	51	0.05	55%	-0.01	-1.4	1.37%	0	1.4	55	0
23	Dec_4_2007	68.84	69.68	70	70.78	70.87	70.65	70.6(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10	-7	46	0.14	55%	-0.01	-2	1.39%	0	0.9	52	0
24	Dec_3_2007	68.85	69.66	69.75	70.55	70.77	70.98	70.62(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	30	23	52	0.06	55%	-0.01	-13.5	1.4%	0	0.9	60	0
25	Nov_30_2007	68.86	69.67	69.69	70.11	70.3	70.88	70.76(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	70	26	49	0.02	56%		-26.3	1.4%	0	1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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