Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 26, 2007

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $69.5400 (0.7%) ($69.4900 - $69.7400) on Wed. Sep. 26, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $69.5400(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.21(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.46(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.66(2.78%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.23%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.53%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.23%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2007	69.12	67.66	68.46	69.21	69.24	69.21	69.54(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-0	12	97	0.04	50%	-0.03	56.3	1.4%	0	1.5	66	0
2	Sep_25_2007	69.14	67.45	68.21	69.08	69.11	69.04	69.06(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10	-8	89	0.09	50%	-0.06	57.1	1.4%	0	1.3	65	0
3	Sep_24_2007	69.18	67.35	67.97	69.03	69.15	69.28	69.02(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	20	23	93	0.02	50%	-0.06	68.4	1.4%	0	1.4	53	0
4	Sep_21_2007	69.22	67.28	67.65	68.43	68.82	69.18	69.4(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	50	32	66	0.04	48%	-0.03	70.2	1.41%	0	1.9	57	0
5	Sep_20_2007	69.24	67.12	67.27	67.94	68.05	69.03	69.04(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	110	40	46	0.05	47%	-0.04	77.8	1.42%	0	1.9	61	0

6	Sep_19_2007	69.27	66.97	67.02	67.6	67.46	68.46	68.88(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	59	100	65	41	0.08	48%	-0.06	88.6	1.43%	0	2	56	0
7	Sep_18_2007	69.31	66.75	66.77	67.22	67.07	67.07	68.8(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	-10	36	23	0.12	48%	-0.04	70.1	1.44%	0	2.1	64	0
8	Sep_17_2007	69.34	66.55	66.66	66.78	66.76	66.47	66.04(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-30	-23	-11	0.01	43%	-0.09	55.2	1.33%	0	-0.5	46	0
9	Sep_14_2007	69.4	66.49	66.82	66.73	66.81	67.07	66.92(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	30	10	-1	0.02	46%	-0.09	43.2	1.33%	0	0.4	46	0
10	Sep_13_2007	69.46	66.33	66.8	66.48	66.62	67.06	67.38(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	50	32	0	0.04	48%	-0.07	11.4	1.34%	0	0.9	54	0

11	Sep_12_2007	69.51	66.15	66.78	66.34	66.19	66.55	66.94(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	30	16	-5	0.01	46%	-0.06	-10.1	1.36%	0	0.6	53	0
12	Sep_11_2007	69.55	66.07	66.64	66.27	66.16	66.19	66.64(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-0	5	-6	0.05	46%	-0.07	-21.7	1.37%	0	0.4	60	0
13	Sep_10_2007	69.6	66.03	66.69	66.55	66.23	65.83	65.78(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-20	-60	-28	5	0.05	46%	-0.09	-21.8	1.36%	0	-0.2	56	0
14	Sep_7_2007	69.66	66.05	66.89	66.92	66.64	66.13	65.66(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-18	-70	-35	35	0.18	46%	-0.07	-15.2	1.37%	0	-0.3	56	0
15	Sep_6_2007	69.71	66.19	66.98	67.14	67.18	66.64	66.7(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-50	-21	67	0.15	46%	-0.07	-5.1	1.39%	0	0.4	65	0

16	Sep_5_2007	69.76	66.29	66.95	67.27	67.17	67.16	66.58(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10	-16	90	0.08	46%	-0.07	1.3	1.4%	0	0.2	63	0
17	Sep_4_2007	69.81	66.35	66.76	67.02	67.22	67.72	68.04(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	60	32	99	0.15	48%	-0.04	-0.4	1.38%	0	1.1	60	0
18	Aug_31_2007	69.84	66.31	66.44	66.85	66.81	67.18	67.64(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	40	19	83	0.02	48%	-0.04	-3.4	1.37%	0	0.9	56	0
19	Aug_30_2007	69.87	66.25	66.14	66.9	66.68	66.72	66.72(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10	8	74	0.01	46%	-0.03	-2.2	1.35%	0	0.3	51	0
20	Aug_29_2007	69.89	66.25	65.83	66.82	66.88	66.43	67.36(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-40	-0	37	0.03	46%	-0.04	-3.8	1.35%	0	0.7	43	0

21	Aug_28_2007	69.92	66.27	65.83	66.6	66.78	66.63	65.36(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10	-22	-12	0.02	43%	-0.04	-12.8	1.29%	0	-0.6	35	0
22	Aug_27_2007	69.95	66.27	65.47	66.41	66.77	67.33	67.16(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	70	44	-12	0.03	45%	-0.04	-23.5	1.26%	0	0.5	44	0
23	Aug_24_2007	69.98	66.36	65.3	65.93	66.09	66.93	67.88(2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	36	100	60	-37	0.03	44%	-0.01	-42.7	1.26%	0	1	49	0
24	Aug_23_2007	69.99	66.28	65.1	65.29	65.43	66.2	66.34(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	32	90	64	-66	0.03	41%	-0.04	-68.1	1.24%	0	0	49	0
25	Aug_22_2007	70.02	66.33	65.29	64.71	64.94	65.26	66.26(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	20	50	55	-85	0.08	41%		-84.7	1.24%	0	-0	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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