Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 15, 2007

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $72.1600 (0.78%) ($71.6800 - $72.6400) on Tue. May. 15, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $72.1600(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.67(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.92(0.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.85(0.43%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 0.75% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2007	67.84	71.85	71.92	71.67	71.58	71.9	72.16(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	8	30	15	-15	0.11	49%	0.07	52	1.13%	0	0.6	48	0
2	May_14_2007	67.79	71.8	71.91	71.62	71.59	71.58	71.6(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	-0	10	-15	0.05	51%	0.09	59	1.13%	0	-0.4	53	0
3	May_11_2007	67.73	71.77	71.96	71.84	71.57	71.25	71.8(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-40	-26	-16	0.07	53%	0.1	81.4	1.13%	0	0	55	0
4	May_10_2007	67.66	71.71	72.01	71.95	71.88	71.6	70.64(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-22	-30	-27	-6	0.11	51%	0.07	84	1.12%	0	-1.5	45	0
5	May_9_2007	67.61	71.69	72.18	72.18	72.2	71.89	72.14(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-4	-30	-12	19	0.09	54%	0.06	86.3	1.1%	0	0.5	64	0

6	May_8_2007	67.57	71.57	72.2	72.2	72.15	72.17	71.9(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-0	-20	26	0.21	54%	0.09	86.6	1.1%	0	0.4	57	0
7	May_7_2007	67.51	71.46	72.17	72.24	72.28	72.5	72.72(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	20	23	48	0.55	58%	0.09	81.3	1.09%	0	1.2	66	0
8	May_4_2007	67.45	71.27	72.03	72.24	72.16	72.14	72.36(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	0	5	38	1.44	58%	0.07	85.7	1.08%	0	1	65	0
9	May_3_2007	67.4	71.12	71.95	72.1	72.13	72.06	71.76(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-10	40	0.03	58%	0.07	89.7	1.08%	0	0.6	66	0
10	May_2_2007	67.35	70.97	71.87	72.18	72.2	72.18	72.28(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-0	-1	54	0.03	58%	0.07	93.5	1.09%	0	1.1	76	0

11	May_1_2007	67.3	70.79	71.76	72.21	72.21	72.19	72.1(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	18	-0	1	70	0.05	58%	0.07	96.1	1.09%	0	1	78	0
12	Apr_30_2007	67.25	70.6	71.67	72.07	72.22	72.19	72.02(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	10	9	80	0.01	59%	0.07	92	1.08%	0	1.1	73	0
13	Apr_27_2007	67.2	70.38	71.57	71.93	72.01	72.23	72.32(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	20	11	93	0.07	59%	0.09	83.7	1.07%	0	1.4	81	0
14	Apr_26_2007	67.14	70.14	71.38	71.78	71.79	72.22	72.2(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	40	32	105	0.08	59%	0.09	80.1	1.08%	0	1.4	74	0
15	Apr_25_2007	67.08	69.87	71.16	71.5	71.61	71.8	72.4(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	20	38	106	0.12	57%	0.07	70.2	1.08%	0	1.6	78	0

16	Apr_24_2007	67.03	69.6	70.87	71.26	71.21	71.35	71.42(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	10	-0	89	0.05	55%	0.07	73.1	1.09%	0	1.2	76	0
17	Apr_23_2007	66.98	69.4	70.7	71.21	71.14	71.43	71.3(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	19	107	0.02	56%	0.07	80.3	1.09%	0	1.2	77	0
18	Apr_20_2007	66.93	69.21	70.46	71.16	71.1	71.07	71.56(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10	20	117	0.04	56%	0.07	90.5	1.08%	0	1.5	82	0
19	Apr_19_2007	66.88	68.97	70.22	70.93	70.97	70.85	70.82(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10	-6	113	0.07	58%	0.06	98.6	1.08%	0	1.2	81	0
20	Apr_18_2007	66.84	68.78	70.01	70.76	70.88	71.13	71.22(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	50	30	22	133	0.03	58%	0.09	107.9	1.09%	0	1.7	88	0

21	Apr_17_2007	66.78	68.49	69.74	70.4	70.51	71.08	71.16(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	60	39	137	0.04	58%	0.09	103.6	1.09%	0	1.7	81	0
22	Apr_16_2007	66.72	68.18	69.45	70.12	70.11	70.63	71.04(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	50	53	138	0.01	58%	0.07	97.8	1.1%	0	1.8	76	0
23	Apr_13_2007	66.67	67.85	69.1	69.66	69.76	69.94	70.42(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	20	33	114	0.02	58%	0.06	85.4	1.09%	0	1.6	73	0
24	Apr_12_2007	66.63	67.53	68.79	69.4	69.42	69.94	69.96(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	20	10	98	0.03	59%	0.06	76	1.1%	0	1.4	75	0
25	Apr_11_2007	66.59	67.23	68.47	69.16	69.28	69.58	69.42(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	40	26	92	0.09	59%		68.3	1.1%	0	1.2	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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