Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWI: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: EWI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Italy Capped ETF)
EWI latest price $68.5200 (0.41%) ($68.5000 - $68.8600) on Tue. Apr. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $68.5200(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWI advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWI advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWP(91%)    EWG(89%)    SPY(78%)    EEM(75%)    VWO(74%)
Factors Impacting EWI price   EWI will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-35%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $67.67(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.45(1.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.05(3.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWI price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.03%(55%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.5%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.37%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.7%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.49%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2007	66.38	66.05	67.45	67.67	67.87	68.34	68.52(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	60	45	145	0.1	53%	0.06	52.9	1.1%	0	1.6	86	NAN
2	Apr_2_2007	66.34	65.84	67.13	67.38	67.41	67.79	68.24(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	40	29	142	0.09	53%	0.06	46.6	1.1%	0	1.5	87	NAN
3	Mar_30_2007	66.3	65.58	66.82	67.22	67.13	67.41	67.56(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	30	20	135	0.09	53%	0.05	30.1	1.1%	0	1.3	67	NAN
4	Mar_29_2007	66.27	65.4	66.51	67.2	67.05	67.04	67.38(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10	12	129	0.16	53%	0.05	20.6	1.11%	0	1.4	66	NAN
5	Mar_28_2007	66.24	65.27	66.19	67.1	67.04	66.85	66.66(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-20	-13	112	0.04	53%	0.03	9.8	1.1%	0	1	62	NAN

6	Mar_27_2007	66.22	65.22	65.92	67.19	67.09	67.05	67.06(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10	6	123	0	55%	0.05	6	1.1%	0	1.4	70	NAN
7	Mar_26_2007	66.19	65.12	65.57	66.82	66.94	67.22	67.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	30	31	110	0.02	55%	0.06	-11.5	1.11%	0	1.6	70	NAN
8	Mar_23_2007	66.15	65.13	65.3	66.35	66.4	67.13	67.46(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	68	80	53	113	0.06	55%	0.08	-20.9	1.11%	0	1.6	77	NAN
9	Mar_22_2007	66.1	65.11	65.02	65.72	65.83	66.67	66.92(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	84	90	79	100	0.02	53%	0.06	-34.8	1.12%	0	1.2	64	NAN
10	Mar_21_2007	66.06	65.14	64.8	65.13	65.14	65.68	67.08(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	66	60	65	69	0.06	53%	0.06	-45.9	1.13%	0	1.3	59	NAN

11	Mar_20_2007	66.02	65.15	64.49	64.48	64.5	64.99	65.24(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	50	40	17	0.03	45%	0.05	-54.9	1.07%	0	0.1	44	NAN
12	Mar_19_2007	65.99	65.28	64.4	64.13	64.09	64.6	65.04(1.15%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	23	50	33	-8	0.02	47%	0.03	-56	1.13%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
13	Mar_16_2007	65.97	65.43	64.21	64.1	63.87	64.01	64.3(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	0	12	-57	0.02	45%	0.03	-48.7	1.12%	0	-0.6	32	NAN
14	Mar_15_2007	65.95	65.63	64.2	64.22	64.02	63.57	64(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-60	-20	-91	0.02	44%	0.03	-43.6	1.13%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
15	Mar_14_2007	65.93	65.84	64.28	64.42	64.28	63.74	63.84(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-70	-44	-115	0.07	44%	0.03	-38.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	34	NAN

16	Mar_13_2007	65.91	66.03	64.49	64.5	64.67	64.46	63.46(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-10	-22	-117	0.02	44%	0.02	-37.9	1.13%	0	-1.4	33	NAN
17	Mar_12_2007	65.9	66.2	64.66	64.69	64.7	64.83	64.92(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	10	13	-123	0.03	47%	0.06	-38.3	1.09%	0	-0.7	35	NAN
18	Mar_9_2007	65.86	66.31	64.96	64.31	64.56	64.87	64.9(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	50	29	-137	0.01	48%	0.03	-46.3	1.09%	0	-0.8	34	NAN
19	Mar_8_2007	65.84	66.44	65.22	64.17	64.17	64.57	64.96(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-24	40	19	-153	0.02	48%	0.06	-48.4	1.1%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
20	Mar_7_2007	65.8	66.58	65.48	64.15	64.06	64.24	64.24(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-36	20	8	-166	0.01	47%	0.05	-48.8	1.09%	0	-1.4	31	NAN

21	Mar_6_2007	65.77	66.74	65.83	64.51	64.19	63.77	64.42(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-57	-60	-21	-163	0.04	46%	0.05	-44.1	1.09%	0	-1.5	38	NAN
22	Mar_5_2007	65.74	66.88	66.2	64.65	64.63	63.87	63.02(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-108	-80	-84	-179	0.1	43%	0.02	-43	1.05%	0	-2.6	36	NAN
23	Mar_2_2007	65.73	67.12	66.76	65.72	65.26	64.6	64.2(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-96	-90	-87	-124	0.21	46%	0.03	-27.7	1.02%	0	-2.5	39	NAN
24	Mar_1_2007	65.71	67.28	67.19	66.41	66.21	65.38	64.86(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-69	-100	-66	-76	0.03	48%	0.05	-11.6	1.03%	0	-2.5	39	NAN
25	Feb_28_2007	65.68	67.41	67.57	67.01	66.97	65.93	66.06(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-73	-110	-80	-50	0.04	53%		5.8	0.99%	0	-1.7	42	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.